BusinessMirror December 06, 2018

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FROM TRADE ROW TO DIGITAL ARMS RACE By Cai U. Ordinario

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BROADER LOOK » A4-A5

PHL, ASIAN NEIGHBORS MULL OVER GAINS,LOSSES AFTER BIRTHING WORLD’S LARGEST TRADE DEAL

DEPT. OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY

2018 BANTOG DATA MEDIA AWARDS CHAMPION

@caiordinario

ONG KONG, China—The trade dispute between the United States and China could lead to a digital arms race between the two countries, increasing uncertainty in the technology sector, according to Canalys. In his opening speech at this year’s Canalys Channels Forum here, Canalys President and CEO Steve Brazier said “global supercomputer arms race” will also impact on areas like artificial intelligence, the economy and health care. Canalys Senior Analyst Jordan de Leon even said this could also create two separate technology ecosystems that may not interoperate with each other. This, he said, is the reason “there’s never really any true winner in a trade war.” “It’s not just the trade war and the politics of China and the US. We also see a global supercomputer arms race,” Brazier said. “Future battles may not be physical wars. They will be cyber wars. The people, the countries with the most advanced computing and power, are the ones

that will win,” he added. Brazier said this war will be waged on three fronts— cloud, 5G and exascale computing, which refers to systems capable of a quintillion calculations per second. He said China will emerge the winner in exascale and will just be a few years behind South Korea when it comes to 5G. However, the US is a year delayed on all three fronts. “That’s really what is going on. That’s really what spooked the US. Not just the competition on the economic front. But the ability [of ] China to lead the next wave of innovation inside the technology industry,” Brazier said. Because of the trade tensions, de Leon said China and the US may try to outdo each other in terms of their trade investments, particularly in Asia. This may work out for some countries, especially those who will become hosts to companies that will be transferring their operations to not be affected by the trade war. See “Digital,” A8

BusinessMirror A broader look at today’s business

www.businessmirror.com.ph

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Thursday, December 6, 2018 Vol. 14 No. 57

‘High prices to bite even with lower Nov inflation’

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By Elijah Felice E. Rosales @alyasjah & Bernadette D. Nicolas @BNicolasB

ONSUMERS will continue to feel the pangs of high prices in the months to come even as inflation slowed to 6 percent in November, because the tax hike on fuel next year will permanently make basic goods costly, sector leaders said on Thursday. They said this just hours after the inflation report came out and the Executive announced it was withdrawing the planned suspen-

sion of the second-round fuel tax in January. Budget Secretary and Development Budget Coordination

Committee (DBCC) Chairman Benjamin E. Diokno immediately allayed fears that prices of goods will rise with the government’s

”Core inflation went up from 4.9 percent to 5.1 percent, meaning high inflation solidified for the year. The 6-percent November inflation was largely due to price reductions on fuel and agricultural products, like rice.... However, prices of manufactured and processed food remain high.”— Dimagiba

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@BcuaresmaBM

OCAL economic managers described the inflation development on Wednesday as “comforting” and “encouraging,” as the report on the consumer price growth finally showed a slowdown in November this year. The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) released the November 2018 report on inflation on Wednesday, saying the growth of consumer prices went down to 6 percent in November this year. This is the first monthly inflation slowdown for the year after months of consecutive acceleration in inflation since January 2018. November’s print is a significant deceleration from the 6.7 percent in October this year, but still higher than the 3-percent inflation seen in the same month last year. The PSA also said this is the first time month-on-month inflation hit a negative at 0.3 percent since February 2016. Inflation in 2018—which is now at an 11-month average of 5.2 percent— rose significantly from the withintarget 2.9-percent average in 2017 due largely to a confluence of factors, including rice-supply issues, lingering tax-reform effects, higher global prices and a weaker currency, among others.

Just transition toward a digital economy Rene E. Ofreneo

LABOREM EXERCENS

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decision to push through with the next increase of P2 a liter in fuel excise tax. He said imported oil prices are projected to remain cheap until 2022, thus ensuring there won’t be

N the run-up to the G-20 Summit in Argentina, the trade unions from the G-20 countries held their own “The Summit of the Labor 20.” The L20 Summit came up with a Declaration asking the G-20 leaders to heed labor’s call for new architecture of economic globalization, one that is just, equitable and sustainable. One of the L20 demands is a call on governments to prepare the work force for a “just transition to a digital future of work.” This is a popular call because there is so much anxiety among workers all over the world on how the technology revolution or the Fourth Industrial Revolution is “disrupting” or subverting existing jobs and work arrangements. There are also threats of mass layoffs due to robotization, automation, AI and other technological advances.

See “High prices,” A2

Continued on A7

Inflation busters

THIS prompted local economic managers to deploy several measures to pull the stubborn inflation back

PESO EXCHANGE RATES

PHL nickel ore exports seen falling to 9-yr low in 2019

5.2%

By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas

See “Inflation,” A2

@jearcalas

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vember, the BSP decided to continue its tightening cycle by approving a 25-basis-point hike, increasing the overnight reverse repurchase (RRP) interest rate to 4.75 percent from 4.5 percent. The increase was also adopted in line with interest rates on the overnight lending and deposit facilities of the Central Bank. The move to raise rates was explained to help tame inflationary pressures. Inflation for August hit a nineyear high of 6.4 percent, followed by a 6.7-percent inflation rate for

HILIPPINE nickel ore shipments in 2019 may fall by a fifth to a nine-year low of 24 million wet metric tons (WMT) following the decision of the government to minimize the disturbed area of mining operations. Philippine Nickel Industry Association (PNIA) President Dante R. Bravo attributed the projected decline in nickel shipments to the policy of the Department of Environment Natural Resources (DENR). “If you limit the open areas, that means you lose certain flexibilities because the mineralization is different across mining concessions,” Bravo told reporters in a news briefing in Quezon City on Wednesday. “There are areas that have bigger deposits, while there are areas wherein deposits are less. With that, it is likely that production would be reduced by 10 to 20 percent,” he added. Based on government data compiled and computed by the BusinessMirror, the projected shipments of 24 million WMT of nickel ore for next year will be the lowest since 2010, when the country exported around 20.264 million WMT. Under the DENR’s Department Administrative Order (DAO) 201819, mining firms’ scale of operations would be limited depending on their annual metal output.

See “Rate hikes,” A8

See “Nickel ore,” A8

Inflation’s 11-month average in 2018

to the 2 to 4 percent target range for next year at least. “The November headline inflation at 6 percent is very encouraging. For the first time we are seeing significant negative monthon-month growth after inflation plateaued at around 6.7 percent,” Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Governor Nestor A. Espenilla Jr. said. Also, the Department of Finance (DOF), Department of Budget and Management (DBM) and the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) said in a joint statement that they are “pleased” with the slowdown, which indicates the “efficacy of the anti-inflationary measures” taken by the government. “It is comforting for us that the slowdown will alleviate the struggles of poor Filipinos, especially now that the holiday season is just around the corner,” the joint statement read. Chief Presidential Legal Counsel and Presidential Spokesman Salvador S. Panelo also welcomed the development, attributing the slowdown to the “President’s empathy to public clamor” and his “decisive action” in response.

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Inflation slows to 6% in Nov 2018–PSA By Bianca Cuaresma

2017 EJAP JOURNALISM AWARDS

CHAMPIONS AGAIN! Ateneo de Manila beats University of the Philippines by a mile, 99-81, in Game Two to repeat as champions in Season 81 of the University Athletic Association of the Philippines men’s basketball action witnessed by a crowd of 23,471 faithfuls from both sides of Katipunan on Wednesday at the Smart Araneta Coliseum. See story on C3. NONOY LACZA

As inflation dips, further rate hikes weighed By Rea Cu

@ReaCuBM

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HE rate hikes implemented by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) have managed to anchor the inflation level of the country, but the decision of the Monetary Board (MB) on whether or not to raise rates further at its next meeting has yet to be made based on an assessment of other economic indicators, Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III said on Wednesday. “Well, that’s what it seems. So I just

have to say that, using a nautical term, the President as the captain of the ship has seen the headwinds that we are facing and has tacked [it] very well,” Dominguez said. When asked if the MB will put on hold further rate hikes, especially during its policy meeting on December 13 as inflation is expected to trend downward, the finance chief pointed out that MB members would still have to assess other economic indicators. “We’ll see what the numbers tell us,” he added. At the MB’s policy meeting in No-

n US 52.5420 n JAPAN 0.4657 n UK 66.7966 n HK 6.7336 n CHINA 7.6844 n SINGAPORE 38.4979 n AUSTRALIA 38.5396 n EU 59.5826 n SAUDI ARABIA 14.0056

Source: BSP (5 December 2018 )


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BusinessMirror December 06, 2018 by BusinessMirror - Issuu