HIGHER PRODUCTION AND NEW ORDERS BOOST PHL MANUFACTURING FOR NOV By Bianca Cuaresma
@BcuaresmaBM
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HE Philippine manufacturing sector grew strongly anew in November this year, buoyed by higher production and new orders for the month. The country’s headline Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) rose in November to 54.2 from the 54 in October this year, signalling an improvement in the health of the country’s manufacturing sector. The PMI is a composite index aimed to gauge the health of
Workers are seen at a semiconductor factory in Laguna in this 2018 file photo. The Philippine manufacturing sector grew strongly anew in November this year, buoyed by higher production and new orders for the month. NONIE REYES
DEPT. OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY
2018 BANTOG DATA MEDIA AWARDS CHAMPION
the country’s manufacturing sector. It is calculated as a weighted average of five individual subcomponents. Readings above the 50 threshold signal a growth in the manufacturing sector, while readings below 50 show deterioration in the industry. Despite the improvement, the country’s manufacturing sector has still been outpaced by Vietnam during the month, whose PMI recorded a sharp increase to hit 56.5 during the month. The Philippines’ sNovember PMI is the fourth consecutive month that the index has risen for the country. David Owen, an economist from IHS Markit—the institution that compiles the PMI survey of the region—said the development is a strong indicator for growth in the last months of the year, but also warned of bumps ahead for the industry. See “Manufacturing,” A8
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Tuesday, December 4, 2018 Vol. 14 No. 55
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Consumers, labor: Price spikes to follow tax hike
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By Elijah Felice E. Rosales @alyasjah & Samuel P. Medenilla @sam_medenilla
ONSUMER groups on Monday warned prices of basic goods will remain high if the government proceeds with its plan to implement the next round of the tax hike on fuel in 2019.
“Inflation will remain elevated. We have six to seven layers of the supply chain that use fuel and power.” —Dimagiba
L abor g roups on Mond ay weighed in on the issue as well, and called on President Duterte to junk the recommendation of his economic managers to push
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More food for Filipinos Manny B. Villar
THE ENTREPRENEUR
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believe the passage of the rice tariffication bill by the bicameral conference committee of the Senate and the House of Representatives will mean more affordable food on the dining table of Filipino consumers. The measure will remove the monopoly by state-run National Food Authority on food supply. And with the lifting of quantitative restriction on imported rice, inexpensive rice from other countries is expected to easily reach the domestic market.
See “Tax hike,” A2
Continued on A6
Just 1 month: House okays 3 packages under CTRP
“Elevated borrowing costs will sap both consumption and investment momentum and this will be a key theme throughout 2019.”—Mapa
By Jovee Marie N. dela Cruz
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being published in a newspaper of national scale. “After the price of fuel peaked in end-October, it came tumbling down thereafter, for which reason [Secretary] Tugade directed LTFRB to roll back the fare, and that is basically what we are doing,” LTFRB Chairman Martin B. Delgra III said. The fare decrease is said to be “motu propio,” which means that acquisition of new fare matrices by drivers would not be necessary. The board resolution also noted that the regulatory body will “come up with a formula that shall
See “PHL growth,” A8
PESO exchange rates n US 52.3890
See “Jeep fare,” A2
See “CTRP,” A8
BIG CATCH! In observance of the 10th Annual Lantern Parade of Saint Louis University (SLU) in Baguio City, on December 1, students carry a giant Dragon Lantern while others carry Tulip Bloom lanterns as they parade along Session Road. The event was among several colorful activities of the school during the Christmas season. SUZANNE JUNE G. PERANTE
LTFRB reverts jeep fare to P9 on oil-price dip By Lorenz S. Marasigan
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@lorenzmarasigan
HE Land Transportation Franchising and Regulatory Board (LTFRB) ordered on Monday a price reduction of jeepney fares after oil prices in the world market followed a downward trajectory over the last few weeks. In a board resolution, the regulator provisionally reverted back to P9 the minimum jeepney fares for Metro Manila, Region 3 and Region 4. The regulator resolved to issue a rollback after fuel prices decreased
“After the price of fuel peaked in end-October, it came tumbling down thereafter, for which reason [Secretary] Tugade directed LTFRB to roll back the fare, and that is basically what we are doing.”— Delgra III
to P43.75 a liter from P50.06 in November. Transportation Secretary Arthur P. Tugade earlier asked the LTFRB to review jeepney fares, citing decreasing global oil prices. The order will take effect after
@joveemarie
HE House of Representatives on Monday quickly approved on third and final reading the three remaining tax packages of the Duterte administration’s Comprehensive Tax Reform Program (CTRP). This, after the lower chamber approved House Bill 8677 to increase the excise taxes on tobacco, HB 8618 to raise excise tax on alcohol products and HB 8645, or the “Passive Income a nd Fi n a nc i a l I nt e r me d i a r y Taxation Act of 2019,” in less than a month since they were endorsed to the plenar y. With 190 positive and seven negative votes, the lower chamber approved House Bill 8645, or the “Passive Income and Financial Intermediary Taxation Act of 2019,” seeking to make taxation of the sector simpler, fairer and more efficient. Earlier, Speaker Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo vowed to pass the legislative agenda of President Duterte. These measures will be transmitted to the Senate for its own deliberations. HB 8677, tagged as part of the Package 2 Plus of the CTRP, will raise the current tax of P30 per pack of cigarettes to P37.50 beginning July 2019. It will increase further to P40 in July 2020, P42.50 in July 2021, and P45 in July 2022.
Post-election scenario
According to the economist, growth in the first half of 2019 will be boosted by election-related spending, although a five-month ban on public spending could well offset this positive. “Post-election, decelerating inflation will partially restore lost purchasing power while also helping to lead financing costs lower. This should lead to a slightly faster pace of growth in the second half, as household spending, business investment and government spending accelerate from the first half,” Mapa said. The economist also cited three main indicators to watch for as they could make or break the continued economic momentum of the country in the next months. These are the current-account position, the BSP’s next moves and the peso’s value against the dollar. “With imports expected to continue to surge while exports and structural flows chug along at a lackluster pace, current-account deficits may be here to stay. We do not a see any substantial recovery in the export sector in the near term,” Mapa said.
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‘PHL 2019 growth may be weakest in 4 years’
HE Philippines is expected to grow to its weakest in four years in 2019, a private bank economist said, as the economy absorbs the effects of tighter monetary policy made this year. In a statement on Monday, ING Bank Manila economist Nicholas Mapa said the country in 2019 could post its lowest print since 2016 at 6.1 percent, as recent monetar y-polic y adjustments are expected to “sap” economic growth momentum. The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) this year has made several consecutive policy adjustments by hiking the main policy rate as a response to the rising inflationary pressures in the country. The most recent was the 25-basis-point hike done in November to “cement” the inflation trajectory back to target for next year. The hike was done despite the lower-than-expected growth rate in the third quarter of the year at 6.1 percent. “In response to above-target inflation in 2018, the BSP unloaded an aggressive 175-basispoint rate hike salvo, which will continue to weigh on overall growth momentum in 2019. Elevated borrowing costs will sap both consumption and investment momentum and this will be a key theme throughout 2019,” Mapa said in his assessment. “Meanwhile, inflation is expected to trend lower and eventually fall within target by the second half, after monetary and nonmonetary policy measures feed into the economy,” he added.
2017 ejap journalism awards
n japan 0.4603 n UK 66.9217 n HK 6.6965 n CHINA 7.5282 n singapore 38.2737 n australia 38.6474 n EU 59.5034 n SAUDI arabia 13.9652
Source: BSP (3 December 2018 )