BusinessMirror August 13, 2020

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H1 ‘sin’ tax take down 25% to ₧109B By Bernadette D. Nicolas

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XCISE-TAX collections from “sin” products for the first half of the year dropped by 25.3 percent to P109 billion as it took a hit from the government’s imposition of lockdowns that paralyzed the economy. Latest preliminary data obtained by the BusinessMirror showed the total “sin” tax collections of the government at P109 billion for the six-month period this year fell short of the P146 billion it collected as of end-June last year, although this was 33.9 percent higher than its adjusted target

THE BROADER LOOK » A4-A5

POULTRY FARMERS, BUREAUCRACY FIGHT BIRD FLU VIA FORTIFIED POLICY PROPOSALS

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of P81.4 billion. This, despite the 21.7-percent rise in the state’s sin tax collection in June to P29.5 billion from P24.2 billion in the same month a year ago due to the easing of community quarantine restrictions, especially in the National Capital Region. Finance Assistant Secretary Maria Teresa S. Habitan said the alcohol ban during the lockdown also dented the government’s sin tax collection as of end-June. While Habitan admitted that the government’s decision to place the National Capital Region, as well as other nearby provinces,

under stricter modified enhanced community quarantine may negatively impact the government’s sin tax collection, she still expressed optimism that there would be a slight recovery in the second half of the year. “Hopefully we would see a slight recovery in the second half of the year. I hope there won’t be further liquor bans or prolonged and broad lockdowns,” she said in a mix of English and Filipino, in a message to the BusinessMirror.

Tobacco taxes

FOR the January-to-June period, excise taxes collected on tobacco

products fell by 27.6 percent to P61.5 billion this year from P84.9 billion last year. However, this was still 41.06 percent above its adjusted target of P43.6 billion. On the other hand, excise tax take on alcohol products also sank by 26.4 percent to P28.7 billion as of end-June this year from P39.1 billion a year ago but still exceeded the revised target of P21 billion by 36.67 percent. Excise tax take on sweetened beverages also slid by 14.9 percent to P18.8 billion for the first semester this year from P22.1 billion in See “Sin Tax,” A2

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P190B IN MARCH-JULY ‘DESPITE PANDEMIC, PHL’S LONG-TERM PROSPECTS INTACT’ By Cai U. Ordinario

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ESPITE the damage caused by the pandemic on lives and livelihoods, the Philippine economy has retained its longterm prospects, according to an economist from the University of Asia and the Pacific (UA&P). In an online briefing, UA&P economist Bernardo Villegas said the Philippines will still become an upper middle-income country within three to four years or, at the soonest, 2023. This means reaching a per capita income of around $4,000 and a growth of 6 percent to 7 percent. Villegas added that achieving high-income status will also not be far behind in 20 years or 2040. This means those in their 20s would experience high-income growth when they become middleaged adults, while those in their 40s would already be considered seniors. “[Any projections in the next] 12 to 18 months are pure guesstimates [because everything] depends on Covid-19 (coronavirus 2019). I give little importance to GDP growth rates in the next 12 to 18 months,” Villegas said. The country, he said, would have achieved upper middle-income status this year had it not been for the pandemic, while attaining high income status in 20 years is consistent with the AmBisyon2040. Based on the latest data, the World Bank said an upper middle-income economy would have a Gross National Income (GNI) per capita of $4,046 and $12,535, while a high-income economy would register a GNI per capita of $12,536 or more. Currently, the World Bank classifies the Philippines as a lower middle-income country with a GNI per capita of $1,036 to $4,045.

By Ma. Stella F. Arnaldo

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Special to the BusinessMirror

EVENUES of the Philippine tourism industry fell by P190 billion from March to July this year, owing to the international travel restrictions implemented by various countries to contain the Covid-19 outbreak. This was revealed in a forum hosted by the Philippine Tour Operators Association (Philtoa) for tourism stakeholders all over the country to express their sentiments on the Bayanihan 2 bill (House Bill 6953), which stripped the industry of P10 billion in funds for working capital, and reallocated this instead to tourism infrastructure. (See, “House cuts on tourism recovery assailed” in the BusinessMirror, August 11, 2020.)

Citing new data from the Department of Tourism (DOT), Tourism Congress of the Philippines (TCP) president Jose C. Clemente III said tourism receipts in the past four months “dropped to P6.9 billion, versus P196.4 billion earned in the same period last year,” or a decrease of 96.5 percent. On a cumulative basis, visitor receipts in the first seven months of 2020 amounted to P81.05 billion, a Continued on A2

Intact fundamentals

VILLEGAS said the country’s long-term fundamentals have remained intact. He said these include the country’s young and growing English-speaking population. Its location is in the most dynamic economic region in the world, Asia and the Pacific. Villegas also said the country’s membership in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean) is also a major consideration in the country’s long-term prospects. Villegas said the Asean region is one of the fastest-growing regions in the world. Data from the International Monetary Fund HEALTH workers from the Makati Health Department conduct house-to-house anti-flu and antipneumonia vaccinations for septuagenarians at Barangay Pembo on Wednesday. Earlier, the Department of Health clarified that the vaccines are not a cure for Covid-19, but can help prevent flu and pneumonia, which could be deadly on senior citizens. ROY DOMINGO

See “Prospects,” A2

FMIC sees more cut in interest rates By Tyrone Jasper C. Piad

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IRST Metro Investment Corp. (FMIC) is expecting the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) to have another reduction in key policy rates and reserve requirement before the year ends. The investment bank of Metrobank Group noted that while the Central Bank has already cut the policy rates several times this year, it is still possible that another one will take place to boost

the economy. “To help stimulate the economy, the BSP continued to apply an accommodative monetary policy, having cut policy rates four times in the first half of the year for a total of 175 basis points (bps),” the FMIC said. Currently, the overnight reverse repurchase facility is 2.25 percent, while deposit and lending rates stand at 1.75 percent and 2.75 percent, respectively. This, after the Monetary Board trimmed in-

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 48.9700

terest rates by 50 bps in June. Meanwhile, the firm also expects a 200-bp cut on banks’ reserve requirement from 12 percent to 10 percent. Earlier this year, the BSP approved to slash the reserve requirements of universal/commercial banks and nonbank financial institutions with quasi-banking functions by 200 bps. The reserve requirement is the part of the total deposit balance that banks secure in the BSP’s vaults as reserves. Re-

ducing it means banks have more available funds for borrowings. Last month, the BSP reduced the reserve requirement ratio for thrift, rural and cooperative banks by 100 bps effective July 31. This is seen to release P10 billion worth of fresh liquidity infusion into the economy. FMIC Chairman Francisco C. Sebastian said the low interest rates are seen supporting the infrastructure drive. See “FMIC,” A2

COFFEE BREAK A buying station of Nestlé Philippines is seen in operation in Bukidnon, home to some of the country’s best coffee varieties. The multinational food and beverage giant said it constantly pursues efforts to support Filipino coffee farmers who need assistance from various stakeholders, especially consumers. CONTRIBUTED PHOTO

n JAPAN 0.4598 n UK 63.9352 n HK 6.3188 n CHINA 7.0498 n SINGAPORE 35.6924 n AUSTRALIA 34.9695 n EU 57.5055 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.0583

Source: BSP (August 12, 2020)


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