BusinessMirror April 30, 2019

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PESO ON PATH OF RELATIVE WEAKNESS By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM

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HE local currency could experience weakness should the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) fail to signal a more proactive stance in shifting to an accommodative monetary policy this year, according to a local economist. In a commentary on Monday, ING Bank Manila’s Nicholas Antonio Mapa said BSP Governor Benjamin Diokno’s latest comments on monetary policy had market players extra cautious to bet on the local economy. Data from the Bankers Association of the Philippines (BAP) showed that the local currency is back in 52-territory on Monday, to close trade at 52.11 to a dollar during the day. The total traded volume is at $957.02 million. A few days ago, the local currency traded at 51

A TELLER counts Philippine peso bills in a bank in Makati City in this 2018 file photo. NONIE REYES

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PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY

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to a dollar band up until mid-April. “Diokno had previously indicated that the current monetary stance was appropriate but he quickly reversed course to dovish, pointing to oilprice movements as crucial to his decision,” Mapa said. Apart from Diokno’s stance, Mapa said the peso will also likely continue its relative weakness against the US dollar ahead of the US Fed meeting. What could reverse the weakness, Mapa said, is if inflation continues to slow down enough to warrant a BSP view that is more slanted toward easing monetary-policy rates soon. “The Philippines will be reporting inflation data in the coming week which should figure into BSP’s decision on May 9. If inflation trends lower and Diokno retains his most recent stance, we could see some tactical Philippine Peso weakness as investors look to a reversal on May 9,” Mapa said. “For now, the peso will likely be trapped in a

See “Peso,” A2

BusinessMirror A broader look at today’s business

www.businessmirror.com.ph

n Tuesday, April 30, 2019 Vol. 14 No. 202

‘Brownouts will hound PHL in next few years’

T

By Lenie Lectura

@llectura

HE chairman of the country’s largest power-distribution firm warned on Monday that the country would continue to experience power shortage in the next few years unless more capacity is added to the grid. “The continuing yellow and red alerts being experienced today may eventually lead to serious powersupply shortage in the next few years, unless immediate action is done to resolve the root cause of the problem, by adding more gen-

erating capacity and taking decisive action on the much-delayed construction of new power plants,” said Meralco Chairman Manuel Pangilinan. Meralco’s seven power-supply agreements entered into with

various power supplies have yet to be approved by the Energy Regulatory Commission. The approval of the PSAs is crucial because the project proponents could not start construction until the ERC gives its green light.

“I could say I was vindicated but it does not change the situation. So, we just address the current situation...I am afraid I’d get criticized for saying this: This is going to be with us for the next two

to three years.”—Pangilinan

Atimonan One Energy Inc.’s first 2x 600-megawatt (MW) power plant, which was already certified as an Energy Project of National Significance, awaits ERC approval. It was filed on April 29, 2016. Meralco PowerGen (MGen) Corp., the power-generation arm of Meralco, noted that if this power project had been approved on time, then at least 600 MW would have

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Filipino workers are no slowpokes Manny F. Dooc

TELLTALES

A

NEWS item from Pyramid Hill, Australia, reported that the rural Australian town has a steadily growing Filipino community. If you come to the place, right across the town’s lone bus stop, is a Filipino food shop called Pyramid Hill Filipino Food Store that sells all kinds of Filipino foodstuff like ketchup, dried bananas, chicharon, Chippy cornflakes, bagoong, etc. This is an example of how the Filipino immigrants have revived the small town’s economy and ensured its survival. The report further mentioned that Filipinos now constitute one quarter of the town’s population of roughly 550 residents. As more Filipinos arrived to work in agriculture, new homes are built and schools are kept open. Continued on A11

See “Brownouts,” A2

SMEs seen to fast-track rice imports, cut prices

Legislated wage, CBA route for NCR labor?

By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas @jearcalas

& Elijah Felice E. Rosales

S

F

ACING roadblocks in the processing of their wage petitions in the National Capital Region (NCR), workers can consider legislated and bargaining means to raise the earnings of minimum-wage earners (MWE) in the region. This after Labor Undersecretary Ciriaco A. Lagunzad III said the four pending wage petitions filed before the Regional Tripartite Wages and Productivity Board-NCR (RTWPB-NCR) are unlikely to be processed until the anniversary date of the board’s previous wage order in November 2019. See “Wage,” A2

tight range with a depreciation bias ahead of the FOMC meeting. The US-dollar: Philippine peso is seen to move in the 51.900 to 52.300 range until we see April inflation numbers on May 7, 2019, which could see inflation slip to the 2-percent handle,” he added. In his opening remarks at the first quarter 2019 Inflation Report last week, Diokno said their assessment remains that the current monetary-policy rate is still “appropriate” to local economic conditions. “...the BSP will remain data-driven at all times in our policy decision-making, and our actions will be determined by our inflation outlook. The BSP remains focused on safeguarding and promoting price stability conducive to a balanced and sustainable economic growth,” Diokno added. Last year, the Monetary Board moved the country’s monetary-policy rate 175 basis points upward to respond to the rising inflation at that time.

LINEMEN of an electric company are seen at work in this 2017 file photo. NONIE REYES

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 52.1450

@alyasjah

MALL enterprises will play a crucial role in pulling down the retail prices of rice under the new trade regime, as the government wants them to heavily import through the state-run Philippine International Trading Corp. (PITC). PITC President and CEO Dave M. Almarinez said the government intends to involve more small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in the importation of rice under the liberalized regime. With more players involved in the shipment of the staple, consumers will be provided with more options, which is one of the objectives of the rice trade liberal-

ization law, he explained. “Under this [law], we will be acting for and behalf of small players in leveling their playing field with large players. They will be able to compete. What we want in the end is to reduce the prices of rice, and we see this possible if we accommodate the small players in the importation,” Almarinez said in an interview with the BusinessMirror on Monday. He explained that small enterprises can apply for accreditation to import from the PITC. The PITC, in turn, will evaluate them and inspect their offices and storage facilities. The state-run trading firm will then consolidate the volume of imports of all requesting parties, and will sign a contract with importers once the agreement is finalized.

n JAPAN 0.4675 n UK 67.3922 n HK 6.6481 n CHINA 7.7481 n SINGAPORE 38.2969 n AUSTRALIA 36.6788 n EU 58.1312 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.9064

See “Rice,” A2

Source: BSP (29 April 2019 )


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