Businessmirror april 26, 2015

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three-time rotary club of manila journalism awardee 2006, 2010, 2012

U.N. Media Award 2008

BusinessMirror

www.businessmirror.com.ph

A broader look at today’s business

n Sunday, April 26, 2015 Vol. 10 No. 199

P25.00 nationwide | 6 sections 28 pages | 7 days a week

PHL seeks higher credit rating No trade breakthrough J expected during Abe By Bianca Cuaresma

week ahead

ECONOMIC DATA PREVIEW

Foreign exchange

n Previous week: The peso largely rallied to appreciate and depreciate during the week but stayed in the low-44 territory relative to the previous week’s trade average. In particular, data from the Philippine Dealing System showed that the peso opened the week with a trade value of 44.195 to a dollar, which depreciated on Tuesday at 44.265 to a dollar. The peso then climbed back to 44.225 to a dollar on Wednesday, and then back to 44.268 to a dollar on Thursday. The peso ended the week at an appreciating note of 44.245 to a dollar on Friday. The total traded volume is slightly lower at $2.83 billion, from the $2.87 billion traded in the previous week. The average trade for the week is at 44.2396 to a dollar. This is the strongest weekly average of the peso since early March this year. n Week ahead: The Bank of the Philippine Islands told its clients that the peso-to-dollar rate will continue to move in increments during the week, as markets watch for cues abroad, particularly for the federal openmarket committee meeting on Thursday.

Liquidity growth

(March 2015) April 30, Thursday n February’s M3: The central bank earlier said that preliminary data show that domestic liquidity grew by 8.5 percent in February to reach P7.5 trillion. This was faster than the two-year low domestic liquidity growth at 7.7 percent. The tame growth rate during the period was attributed to the sustained demand for credit and the increase in placements of trust entities in the BSP’s special deposit accounts. The tame growth also reflected the statistical base effects associated with the significant increase in domestic liquidity a year ago of 36.6 percent. n March M3: Domestic liquidity is not expected to deviate from the single-digit growth trend seen in the previous months, as the recent move of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas to rein in on liquidity still has an effect on the market, and as base effects continue to be favorable. The Monetary Board also noted that, while M3 is back to the single-digit growth trend, liquidity continued to be ample for the growing economy. Bianca Cuaresma

UST a few years after the Philippines has been lifted out of the junk status and placed into the investment-grade category, the country is now aiming to be in the upper-medium grade in the next years, economic officials said, after an international credit watcher affirmed the country’s rating anew.

Further upgrades are seen to be “achievable for the country” over the medium term, Finance Secretary Cesar V. Purisima and Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Governor Amando M. Tetangco Jr. said in their reaction statement, following the Standard & Poor’s (S&P) move to affirm the Philippines’s “BBB” rating—which is one notch above the minimum investment-grade rating. The “BBB” rating was assigned in May last year, and is still given a stable outlook—which means that the country will likely be able to sustain this in the next 12 to 18 months. While it lauded the country’s strong external position— with a rising foreign-exchange reserve and a low debt burden, S&P warned of downside risks on the Philippines’s low-income level and a “developing institutional and governance framework that

visit in U.S. next week

PURISIMA: “If compared with those of other emerging markets, fundamentals of the Philippines are one of the strongest.”

hampers policy responsiveness.” In particular, S&P forecasts gross domestic product per capita to average at 4.4 percent over 2016 to 2019, reflecting the modest outlooks for the Philippines’s trading partners. Also, S&P said that uncertain conditions in export markets and inadequate infrastructure, mainly in transportation and energy, are See “Credit Rating,” A2

In this April 24, 2014, file photo, President Barack Obama (left) shakes hands with Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, as they arrive to participate in a bilateral meeting at the Akasaka State Guest House in Tokyo. AP/Carolyn Kaster

W

ASHINGTON—Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s visit to Washington next week comes amid heightened attention in Congress to an Asia-Pacific trade deal that has created a deep rift between President Barack Obama and members of his Democratic Party, and whose central feature is liberalized commerce between the US and Japan. Related story on C1. See “Trade Breakthrough,” A2

Bangko Sentral sees continued economic upturn T

HE local output growth in the first three months of the year has likely gone through an “economic upturn,” as seen in select indicators leading to the announcement of the first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth, the central bank said. In the recent highlights of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’s (BSP) latest monetary policy-setting meeting on March 26 that were released just this week, the seven-man Monetary Board of the central bank expressed optimistic views on the local economy in the months of January to March this year. “Indicators of domestic demand remain firm. The latest business-cycle analysis of the BSP and various leading economic indicators monitored by the BSP point to a continued economic upturn in the first quarter of 2015,”the BSP bared in the recent highlights of the meeting. The BSP said this is consistent with the results of the first quarter of 2015 Business Expectations Survey, showing positive confidence in the first half of 2015. In addition, the BSP said that the purchasing managers index (PMI) suggests that the Philippine economy was still in an expansion phase during the period. “Based on the January 2015 Labor Force Survey of the Philippine Statistics Authority, the unemployment rate declined to 6.6

PESO exchange rates n US 44.2680

See “BSP,” A2

Lifting of ‘yellow card’ to generate $300-M fishery exports to EU

T

he European Union’s (EU) lifting of the “yellow card” warning for the Philippines will pave the way for the country to boost its export of marine products—a top export commodity to the EU— estimated to be worth at least $300 million, a trade official said on Saturday. With the deterrent out of the way, the country can now maximize the country’s use of EU’s preferential trade scheme, the Generalized System of Preferences Plus (EU-GSP+), under which marine products can enjoy 0-percent tariff. “The lifting of the yellow card ensures

that the Philippines can meet its inclusive growth objective in the EU GSP+ because a critical sector—the fisheries sector—will benefit from the market access through the EU-GSP+. This is relevant, since a number of players in the fisheries sector are in Mindanao,” Assistant Secretary for Industry Development Ceferino S. Rodolfo said at the sidelines of an event organized by San Miguel Corp. In June of 2014, the European Commission slapped a yellow card against the Philippines, a warning that it is not doing enough to comply with rules governing illegal, unreported and unregulated (IUU) fishing.

Although the warning did not entail any immediate effects on trade, the EU Commission warned that, if not addressed, the Philippines may face trade sanctions on its marine exports to the EU. This posed a serious challenge to the Philippines, as the EU is the top market for local marine and aquaculture products, accounting for 28.5 percent of global Philippine marine exports. The IUU regulation’s scope was vast: It covers 94.1 of Philippine exports to the EU. Its value, under the regular GSP, was

See “Yellow Card,” A2

n japan 0.3705 n UK 66.6942 n HK 5.7124 n CHINA 7.1423 n singapore 33.0014 n australia 34.4498 n EU 47.9600 n SAUDI arabia 11.8117 Source: BSP (24 April 2015)


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