BusinessMirror April 03, 2020

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‘Current account gap to widen in 2020’ By Tyrone Jasper C. Piad

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HE Philippines’s current account deficit is seen to widen this year— after contracting significantly in 2019—as the novel coronavirus disease (Covid-19) pandemic weakens tourism industry and remittances, among others. Fitch Solutions, in a recent report, said the current account deficit will account for 2.2 percent of the gross domestic product (GDP) this year, higher than its earlier forecast of 1.2 percent, as lockdowns across the globe continue to slump economic activities. Current account balance refers to the net inflows and outflows of goods, services, income and remittances. Last year, the Philippines’s current account deficit went down by 95 percent to $464 million—0.1 percent of GDP—from $8.8 billion in 2018 on the back of “lower trade

A LONE porter at Naia Terminal 1 sits on an empty baggage carousel. This place used to be busy, before the enhanced community quarantine forced a shutdown of air travel in most airports. NONIE REYES

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in goods deficits [and] higher net receipts in the trade in services,” according to the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas. The slowdown in the tourism sector, which accounts for around 25 percent of the country’s GDP, owed to travel bans that were imposed in the race to stop the spread of the virus, the Fitch unit noted. This will cause the service export receipts of the Philippines to decline to 12 percent from 2019 as transport and travel—comprising the 30 percent—grind to a halt amid the lockdown. “The Chinese government’s order for the suspension of international tour sales on January 24 began what is proving to be a severely challenging period for the tourism sector globally. Other governments have since followed suit and the decision to lock down Manila and then Luzon has effectively brought the Philippines’s main transit hub to a

standstill,” the report reads. Last year, a total of 1.74 million Chinese tourists visited the Philippines, making it the biggest tourism market after South Korea with 1.98 million arrivals, according to the Department of Tourism. Fitch Solutions forecast the United States to book -1.0-percent growth this year amid the pandemic as filings for unemployment increased dramatically in the past week due to quarantine.

Remittance flows

THE report noted that this would weigh on the remittance flows from the US to other nations, including the Philippines, given that the lion’s share of money transfers came from the said country. Overseas Filipinos’ cash remittances

See “Current,” A2

BusinessMirror A broader look at today’s business

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$5-B REMITTANCE LOSS www.businessmirror.com.ph

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Friday, April 3, 2020 Vol. 15 No. 176

P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 16 pages | 7 DAYS A WEEK

SEEN IN COVID-19’S WAKE BIR TO BIZMEN: DON’T WORRY OVER ONLINE SYSTEM ‘PENALTIES’ By Bernadette D. Nicolas

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AXPAYERS should disregard the penalties automatically computed in the Bureau of Internal Revenue’s (BIR) online system provided that the payment is made on or before the extended deadline for filing and payment of taxes. According to BIR’s March 30 advisory signed by BIR Commissioner Caesar R. Dulay, taxpayers should pay only the basic tax due. The Electronic Filing and Payment System (eFPS) is the bureau’s online facility which automatically computes penalties for the late filing or payment of taxes due. However, the bureau also pointed out in the same advisory that any filing and/or payment beyond the stated deadline in Revenue Memorandum Circular 30-2020 shall be subjected to the applicable penalties imposed or computed by the eFPS from the extended deadline until actually paid. The BIR also issued the revenue regulations extending the deadlines for the filing of income tax returns (ITRs), submission of documents and payment of taxes. Continued on A2

CARGO trucks queue up to get deliveries at Manila’s port on Thursday. Regulators have issued businessmen an ultimatum to clear the ports of processed, ready-fordelivery cargo in a bid to ease congestion, and make way for the expected arrival of supplies and equipment for fighting Covid-19. BERNARD TESTA

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By Jovee Marie N. Dela Cruz

N economist-lawmaker said that it may take two to three years before the country can return to normal levels due to the negative impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic. House Committee on Ways and Means Chairman Joey Sarte Salceda explained that among the major negative impacts of the Covid crisis that could persist and inflict structural damage on the economy is the loss of income and aggregate demand, and remittances of almost $5 billion per year. “We’re highly exposed because some of our best-paid OFWs are sea-based, and that relies on

tourism and global trade, which would suffer lingering effects within the next 24 to 36 months,” he said. “Consensus estimate is that some 230,000 to 250,000 OFWs will be displaced or dislocated from their jobs. We did a value chain analysis and we find that that is in fact a net number. In our value chain analysis of major economies and sectors where there are OFWs,

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we found that up to 420,000 may come home to the Philippines at some point within the next six months, with 170,000 to 180,000 of them coming home because of temporary circumstances. They will return once the situation is over,” he added. Salceda said the country’s overseas workforce is significantly exposed to what the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has now declared to be a global recession, as up to 25 percent of total remittances at any given time come from sea-based work in trade-heavy and tourism-related sectors. Transborder travel also exposes them to Covid-19 infection. Usual estimates put the number of overseas Filipinos at 10 million.

Mandatory testing

MEANWHILE, Salceda is propos-

ing a strategy to prepare the country for the arrival of some 420,000 OFWs in the months during or immediately after the peak of the coronavirus health emergency in the Philippines, and to prevent a second wave of infections prompted by those who may come from heavily infected countries and workplaces. According to Salceda, at least P20 billion in funding under the Bayanihan to Heal As One Act must go to the Overseas Workers Welfare Administration (OWWA) and the Department of Labor and Employment (DOLE) programs for OFW welfare. “We have to prepare to process, quarantine and test as many as 420,000 OFWs. We have constraints but we need to do this,” Salceda said. See “Remittance,” A2

n JAPAN 0.4741 n UK 62.9341 n HK 6.5511 n CHINA 7.1534 n SINGAPORE 35.4202 n AUSTRALIA 30.8044 n EU 55.5961 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.4994

Source: BSP (April 3, 2020)


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