Businessmirror november 13, 2017

Page 1

media partner of the year

United nations

2015 environmental Media Award leadership award 2008

BusinessMirror A broader look at today’s business

www.businessmirror.com.ph

n

Monday, November 13, 2017 Vol. 13 No. 33

‘Talks on trade in services to delay forging of RCEP’

T

By Cai U. Ordinario

@cuo_bm

he proposed Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) between the Association of Southeast Asian Nations and its six trading partners could be delayed by negotiations on trade in services, according to the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda).

16

The number of negotiating parties in the proposed Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership While there is interest in fasttracking the completion of the RCEP, which includes provisions See “RCEP,” A2

BMReports

Asean Vision 2025 articulates Southeast Asian nations’ goal By Henry J. Schumacher

Special to the BusinessMirror

A

Part One

SEAN 2025 is a forwardlooking road map that articulates their vision of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations eight years from now; one that is ‘politically cohesive, economically integrated, socially responsible’ and a consolidated community across three pillars— political-security, economic and sociocultural. In sum, Asean 2025 reaffirms the commitment toward the continuation and consolidation of Asean community building. Community building over the next decade will build on the experiences and expertise the Asean acquired in the preceding years to tackle new challenges, harness new technologies and ensure opportunities for all. Through the Asean community-building process, the Asean

demonstrates to its partners and the world that it is determined to maintain the Asean’s role in dealing with challenges that affect peace, security and stability of the region.

Goals

THE broad goals of Asean 2025 include the following: putting more emphasis on the peoples of the Asean and their well-being; the increased awareness of the Asean; and more engagement with the peoples of Asean member-states. Other goals include: commitment to fundamental freedoms, human rights and better lives; strengthened capacity to deal with challenges while maintaining Asean centrality; remaining an outward-looking and global player; implementing the Asean agenda while pursuing national aspirations and contributing to Asean community building; and strengthening Asean organs and the Asean Secretariat. Continued on A2

PESO exchange rates n US 51.2730

2016 ejap journalism awards

business news source of the year

P25.00 nationwide | 7 sections 38 pages | 7 days a week

It’s a small world after all: The case for Asean banking integration BSP Deputy Governor Diwa C. Guinigundo

Agree to disagree The small-world phenomenon celebrated playwright

A W

and coincidentally one of the ith the ongoing 31stof Asean summit in Manila, it founders of London School Economics and Political Science would be timely to Shaw share once somefamously thoughtsquipped, on the impor(LSE), George Bernard “If all of the Asean integration, particularly in the area of economiststance were laid end to end, they would notBanking reach aIntegration conclusion.” It’s a Small World After All - The Case for ASEAN By and finance. banking Economics as a field has been characterized by a number of disDeputy Diwa C. Guinigundo Most of us,One especially those who social network, as agreements. only has toGovernor look atare theinto epic debate betweensuch FriedFacebook, Instagram and Twitter, are familiar with the concept of rich Hayek and John Maynard Keynes to realize this. Even expresThe Small World Phenomenon “six degrees of separation.” This network theory that, on sions associated with the field, such as “two sides suggests of the same coin” ASEAN Summit itconnote would be timely to share some thoughts With the forthcoming 31stbe average, anyone can connected tocat,” anyone else just sixsense steps. and “there are many ways to skinin aManila, aincertain of on the importance of the ASEAN integration, particularly in the area of banking and finance. More thanIndeed, just a pop-culture the idea that everything ambivalence. economistsmantra, often “agree to disagree.” connected has also become an such economic and finan- and is Most Speaking of disagreements, onesocial concept that has a frequent of us, especially thoseincreasingly who are into networks as been Facebook, Instagram, cial reality. With with the the advent of ofglobalization technologisubject of debate among israpid the implications Twitter, arepassionate familiar concept “six economists degrees of and separation.” This network theory that on average anyone markets can be connected toaanyone in just six now steps. calsuggests innovation, financial all is over the else world are of current-account imbalances. This very timely issue formore the interconnected than ever. While this development certainly has its Philippines as the country’s current-account balance reversed to More than just a pop-culture mantra, the idea that everything is connected has also increasingly 1. of globalization become an economic and financial reality. With the potential advent and rapid greater also has its risks. abenefits, deficit, after 13connectedness years of consecutive surpluses innovation, financialconnectedness markets all over the world nowto more interconnected For instance, hasare led more occur technological Naturally, thisgreater triggered concerns among policy-makers and than ever. While this development certainly has its benefits, greater connectedness also has its rence of financial spillovers or contagion, whereand a problem economists alike. But what does this really mean should in weone repotential risks. country can quickly become a problem elsewhere. The prelimially be worried? For instance, greater connectedness has led to more occurrence of financial spillovers or nary results of the Financial Connectedness Index for the global 2 contagion, where a problem in one country can quickly become a problem elsewhere. The equity markets bythethe Bangko Sentral Too many waysofcurrently to Financial skin abeing cat developed preliminary results the Connectedness Index for global equity markets currently ngbeing Pilipinas would show that spike contemporaneously Just as there are ways to a cat, the concept of current developed by the many BSP would showspillovers thatskin spillovers spike contemporaneously with economic and financial (Chart 1).1 with economic financial shocks (Chart 1). 1 account canshocks alsoand be interpreted in several ways. Chart First, the simplest interpretation of Jan current is the differ1. Connectedness Index for Global Equities Markets, 2004 – Augaccount 2017 (in percent) ence between a country’s value of exports and the value of its imports. A deficit then means that a country is importing more goods than it is exporting. This naturally points to issues of competitiveness. Are the country’s exports less competitive than other countries’ exports? The concept of competitiveness is very elusive and multifaceted, and deserving a more extensive discussion in another article. But if the deficit is not an issue of competitiveness, is it therefore just a simple case of a country importing more because its economy Continued on A12

Bring back the old glory days of CIIF Source: BSP Department of Economic Research

crossover vehicle Suzuki Philippines Inc. finally unveiled on November 9 the allnew Vitara built with a monocoque body instead of the old body-on-frame construction it used to offer in the past. Executives at the launching include Norminio Mojica (from left) Suzuki Philippines managing director and treasurer; Shigeo Takezawa, department general manager, Asia automobile division; Hiroshi Suzuki, president, Suzuki Philippines; Shuzo Hoshikura, general manager for automobile, Suzuki Philippines; Nobutaka Suzuki, department general manager, global automobile planning department, global business administration and planning division; and Cecil Capacete, assistant general manager for automobile, Suzuki Philippines.

This development, among others, has contributed to a volatile, uncertain, complex and ambiguous environment, or what is known as Vuca world. Under such an environment, the Asian region becomes Page 1 of 5 more susceptible to risks emanating from the pace of monetarypolicy normalization, notably by the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB); geopolitical risks, particularly on the Korean peninsula and in the Middle East; as well as the consequences of sustained low global inflation.

Photo by Randy Peregrino and Nonoy Lacza.

INDIA, PHL RELATIONS SEEN WARMING WITH MODI VISIT

E

CONOMIC relations between India and the Philippines are expected to be reinvigorated if the visit this week by Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi leads to easing restrictions. While eager to Modi’s visit, officials of the Philippines-India Business Council Inc. (Pibci) see relaxation of foreign equity restriction as key to unlocking the full potential of improving business ties between the two Asian countries. “This will be the first time in a very long time that we have an Indian Prime Minister going to the Philippines, and this will help to open the bridge between the two countries,” Pibci Chairman Johnny

Chotrani said in a recent interview. “There are a lot of venues for cooperation that we see opening up.” Modi is expected to participate in the 31st Asean Business and Investment Summit and the 12th East Asia Summit to be held in Manila. During the week, Modi will be officially inviting President Duterte to India to celebrate the latter’s Republic Day celebrated on January 24, Chotrani said. With the Association of Southeast Asian Nations looking at deepening economic ties via multiple agreements, the time is ripe for the two countries to strengthen ties even bilaterally, he added.

Continued on A12

Dr. Jesus Lim Arranza

PPP for Marawi City Make Sense and Tacloban City

I

am saddened by the report that reached me about the two factions in the government-sequestered Coconut Industry Investment Fund-Oil Mills Group (CIIF) that are now squabbling on who should lead the government-sequestered company. Continued on A11

Alberto C. Agra

ead

L AlbertoPPP C. Agra

H

ow does a city reel from the devastation of war, like Marawi City, and from a calamity, like Tacloban City? After combat operations in Marawi have been declared terminated and, after four years since Supertyphoon Yolanda lashed its fury on Tacloban, how can the government reconstruct and rehabilitate, and provide, in an expeditious manner, more and better, yet affordable, services? Who will finance and build the destroyed homes, hospitals, markets, roads, bridges, irrigation systems, schools and water-supply facilities? Continued on A11

See “Modi visit,” A2

n japan 0.4524 n UK 67.4137 n HK 6.5740 n CHINA 7.7244 n singapore 37.7340 n australia 39.3828 n EU 59.7023 n SAUDI arabia 13.6725

Source: BSP (10 November 2017 )


Turn static files into dynamic content formats.

Create a flipbook
Issuu converts static files into: digital portfolios, online yearbooks, online catalogs, digital photo albums and more. Sign up and create your flipbook.