Businessday 26 apr 2018

Page 1

businessday market monitor Commodities

NSE

Brent Oil

Biggest Gainer

$73.90

Nestle N1568.2

Cocoa

Biggest Loser

4.99pc

Total N222.6

-4.79pc

40,755.73

US $2,836.00

Everdon Bureau De Change

Bitcoin 3,384,917.40

BUY

+0.53pc

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NEWS YOU CAN TRUST I **THURSDAY 26 APRIL 2018 I VOL. 15, NO 41 I N300

SELL

$-N 360.00 363.00 £-N 498.00 508.00 €-N 436.00 446.00

@

FMDQ Close FOREIGN EXCHANGE Market

Spot $/N

I&E FX Window 360.51 CBN Official Rate 305.65

FGN BONDS

TREASURY BILLS 3M

6M

5 Years

10 Years

20 Years

0.15 10.31

-0.04 11.40

0.23% 12.80%

-0.12% 12.87%

0.00% 12.90%

g

BusinessDay capital market, investors forum holds today

As Benue burns, Buhari focuses on re-election, Ortom vacations in China

…to honour top 25 CEOs

... Lawmakers condemn, summon President

IHEANYI NWACHUKWU

T

he 2018 edition of BusinessDay annual Capital Market and Investors Forum holds today at the prestigious Intercontinental Hotel, Lagos. Today’s capital market and investors forum is another important gathering of personalities in the nation’s capital market who will be discussing how to catalyse listings in the nation’s Continues on page 34

NRC dilapidated rail infrastructure, negligence endanger lives in Lagos ... may have caused many deaths already MIKE OCHONMA & AMAKA ANAGOR-EWUZIE

D

ysfunctional crossbars at several rail intersections across the country is putting at risk the lives of Nigerians. The country’s troubled railway system is struggling to maintain relevance amid poor funding and consequently low patronage. However, governContinues on page 34

Inside FBN Holdings net income up 178%, gross earnings hit N595.4bn in FY 2017 P. 4

CHRIS AKOR & INIOBONG IWOK

I

L-R: Roosevelt Ogbonna, group deputy managing director; Herbert Wigwe, GMD/CEO; Mosun Belo-Olusoga, chairman, and Sunday Ekwochi, company secretary, all of Access Bank plc, during the 29th annual general meeting of the bank in Lagos, yesterday. Pic by Olawale Amoo

n a classic case of fiddling while Rome burns, President Buhari was busy hosting APC governors to strategise on how to neutralise opposition within the party to see him clinch the party ticket for the 2019 election, governor Samuel Ortom was vacationing in China while the Senate was busy with the Dino Continues on page 34

Bond investors can’t figure out yield direction as rally heats up Yields hit 3-year lows on reduced FG issuance

LOLADE AKINMURELE

S

ome holders of Nigerian government bonds are torn between selling now and making good profit or holding out in the coming months and making an even juicier return. Nigerian bonds are currently trading at a premium to par, as a supply cut back by the government has sent yields to a near three-year low. The question however is if there is still some room for yields to fall. “Everyone (bond holders) is

looking for triggers to sell, but are having a hard time guessing whether rates have bottomed or if there is still some way to go,” an institutional bondholder who craved anonymity told BusinessDay. “It is difficult to find news that will trigger a sell-off these days,” the person added, pointing to declining inflation and waning bond supply by the government. The right bet on the direction of yields would return bumper gains for bond holders, largely Pension Funds Administratorsas they hold the single largest share of federal government

bonds at 55.7 percent of their total assets. That comes to N4.1 trillion. A BusinessDay survey on five fixed income analysts suggests that yields will tumble further. “There is still room for a 50 basis points moderation in yields between now and the third quarter,” said Abiola Rasaq, head of investor relations at tier-one lender, United Bank for Africa. He points to declining inflation, stable exchange rate and reduced government borrowing in the domestic market as factors that support his outlook for further yield moderation in the

coming months. “However, as presidential elections in 2019 draw close, the risks to that outlook include an unlikely rate hike by monetary authorities to manage the inflationary pressures of electioneering and tame portfolio outflows associated with an election year,” Rasaq said from Lagos. Average bond yields are currently near three-year lows of 12.85 percent, levels last seen in April 2016 when the monetary policy rate was at 12 percent. The yield on the benchmark 10-year bond maturing in NoContinues on page 4


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