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news you can trust I **WEDNESDAY 07 NOVEMBER 2018 I vol. 15, no 177 I N300
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People, hurdles against President Buhari’s reelection bid Innocent Odoh, Abuja
T
hree times, President Muhammadu Buhari tried to win an election to become the country’s president. Three times he failed. He succeeded at the fourth try and now he wants to try for the fifth time but the ghosts of the past have resurrected to align against him again. The presidential candidate of the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) is faced with the battle of his life to get re-elected in a race that The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), which in 2015 predicted Buahri’s victory, is now predicting he is likely to lose. When he emerged president in 2015 after three previously failed attempts, the president was seen like a ‘superman’ who was coming to banish corruption, fight insecurity and boost economic prosperity. Recalls of his 20-months stint as a military president who fought corruption and tried to instill discipline in Nigeria in the years 1984 and 1985, fed into his popularity. But no sooner had Buhari takContinues on page 34
Inside Nigerian banks eye Eurobond recalls as dollar lending opportunity P. 2 shrinks
Aigboje Aig-Imoukhuede (m), founder and chairman, Africa Initiative for Governance (AIG), with 2017 and 2018 AIG scholars after his special address at the Master of Public Policy graduation ceremony of the Blavatnik School of Government, University of Oxford. L-R: Emmanuel Taiwo; Emokiniovo Akpughe; Tobechukwu Nneli; Oluwapelumi Simpson; Abdul-Fatawu Hakeem; Prosper Amuquandoh; Louisa Chinedu-Okeke; Efosa Trevor Edobor, and Adetola Adegbite.
Minimum wage fall-out: FG faces N1.25trn rise in personnel cost Not all public servants to benefit from wage hike T
LOLADE AKINMURELE, DAVID IBIDAPO, Lagos & TONY AILEMEN, Abuja
he acceptance on Tuesday of a N30, 000 minimum wage by the Nigerian government raises prospects of a fiscal crisis, which could plunge the country into deeper debts. President Buhari approved the wage increase after a pro-
tracted negotiation with labor unions, but analysts warn that the government may be heading for a tough time, ahead of the 2019 general elections. BusinessDay analysis shows that the minimum wage hike by 66 percent will raise personnel cost by N1.25 trillion, taking
personnel costs to N3.1 trillion, 14 percent higher than the government’s 2017 revenue and 34 percent of the 2018 budget. The Federal Government earned N2.7 trillion in oil and non-oil revenue in 2017, the lowest since 2011 when the government earned N2.56 trillion. That
implies revenue to GDP ratio of 2.3 percent, the lowest in at least a decade. Already, the Federal Government’s total non-debt recurrent expenditure of N2.8 trillion in 2017 was more than its total 2017 Continues on page 34