Cohort study evaluating the burden of wounds to the UK’s National Health Service in 2017/2018

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Open access

Original research

Julian F Guest  ‍ ‍,1 Graham W Fuller,1 Peter Vowden2

To cite: Guest JF, Fuller GW, Vowden P. Cohort study evaluating the burden of wounds to the UK’s National Health Service in 2017/2018: update from 2012/2013. BMJ Open 2020;10:e045253. doi:10.1136/ bmjopen-2020-045253 ►► Prepublication history and supplemental materials for this paper is available online. To view these files, please visit the journal online (http://​dx.​doi.​ org/​10.​1136/b​ mjopen-​2020-​ 045253).

Received 28 September 2020 Revised 19 November 2020 Accepted 23 November 2020

© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2020. Re-­use permitted under CC BY-­NC. No commercial re-­use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ. 1

Catalyst Consultants, Poole, UK Bradford Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Bradford, UK

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Correspondence to Dr Julian F Guest; j​ ulian.​guest@c​ atalyst-​health.​ com

ABSTRACT Objective  To evaluate the prevalence of wounds managed by the UK’s National Health Service (NHS) in 2017/2018 and associated health outcomes, resource use and costs. Design  Retrospective cohort analysis of the electronic records of patients from The Health Improvement Network (THIN) database. Setting  Primary and secondary care sectors in the UK. Participants  Randomly selected cohort of 3000 patients from the THIN database who had a wound in 2017/2018. Primary and secondary outcome measures  Patients’ characteristics, wound-­related health outcomes, healthcare resource use and total NHS cost of patient management. Results  There were an estimated 3.8 million patients with a wound managed by the NHS in 2017/2018, of which 70% healed in the study year; 89% and 49% of acute and chronic wounds healed, respectively. An estimated 59% of chronic wounds healed if there was no evidence of infection compared with 45% if there was a definite or suspected infection. Healing rate of acute wounds was unaffected by the presence of infection. Smoking status appeared to only affect the healing rate of chronic wounds. Annual levels of resource use attributable to wound management included 54.4 million district/community nurse visits, 53.6 million healthcare assistant visits and 28.1 million practice nurse visits. The annual NHS cost of wound management was £8.3 billion, of which £2.7 billion and £5.6 billion were associated with managing healed and unhealed wounds, respectively. Eighty-­one per cent of the total annual NHS cost was incurred in the community. Conclusion  The annual prevalence of wounds increased by 71% between 2012/2013 and 2017/2018. There was a substantial increase in resource use over this period and patient management cost increased by 48% in real terms. There needs to be a structural change within the NHS in order to manage the increasing demand for wound care and improve patient outcomes.

INTRODUCTION Our 2012/2013 burden of wounds study estimated that the UK’s National Health Service (NHS) managed 2.2  million patients with a wound at a cost of £5.3 billion.1–3 An estimated 61% of all wounds in that burden of wounds study healed in the study year (79%

Strengths and limitations of this study ►► This is the first study to estimate how the health eco-

nomic burden of wounds to the UK’s National Health Service (NHS) has changed over the last 5 years. ►► This study was undertaken using real-­ world evidence derived from the anonymised records of a randomised sample of 3000 patients in The Health Improvement Network database (a nationally representative database of clinical practice among >11 million patients registered with general practitioners in the UK). ►► The estimates were derived following a systematic analysis of patients’ characteristics, wound-­related health outcomes and community-­based and secondary care resource use pertaining to wound care contained in the patients’ electronic records. ►► The annual number of 3.8  million wounds in 2017/2018 may be an underestimate since some of the patients in our data set may have had multiple wounds, but this is not transparent in the patients’ records and it is very difficult to retrospectively extricate resource use for different wounds from the records of a patient with multiple wounds of the same aetiology. ►► The analysis does not consider the potential impact of those wounds that remained unhealed beyond the study period, nor the potential impact of managing patients with wounds being cared for in residential and nursing homes.

of acute wounds and 43% of chronic wounds). Patients were predominantly managed in the community with 18.6 million practice nurse visits, 10.9  million community nurse visits, 7.7 million general practitioner (GP) visits and 3.4 million hospital outpatient visits. Five years ago, patients also received 97.1 million drug prescriptions and 262.2 million dressings. Additionally, only 16% of all cases with an ulcer of the lower limb had a Doppler ankle brachial pressure index (ABPI) recorded in their records.1 This study led to such concern among politicians that the UK Parliament (House

Guest JF, et al. BMJ Open 2020;10:e045253. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2020-045253

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BMJ Open: first published as 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-045253 on 22 December 2020. Downloaded from http://bmjopen.bmj.com/ on January 6, 2021 by guest. Protected by copyright.

Cohort study evaluating the burden of wounds to the UK’s National Health Service in 2017/2018: update from 2012/2013


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