Exit%20poll%20vs%20actual%20results

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Behaviour & Attitudes RTÉ European Election Exit Poll Accuracy Exit Poll Lynn Boylan (Lynn Ní Bhaoigheallain), Sinn Féin Nessa Childers, Independent Emer Costello, Labour Party Thomas Darcy, Direct Democracy Ireland Mary Fitzpatrick, Fianna Fáil Brian Hayes, Fine Gael Paul Murphy, Stop the Water Tax/ Socialist Party Eamon Ryan, Green Party Brid Smith, People Before Profit Alliance Jim Tallon, Independent Raymond Patrick Whitehead, Direct Democracy Ireland Damon Matthew Wise, Fís Nua AVERAGE

24.3 10.8 8.1 1.1 12.4 14.0 7.5 13.5 6.2 1.1 0.8 0.1

Actual Result % 23.6 10.2 7.4 1.1 12.6 15.5 8.5 12.5 6.8 1 0.9 0.6

Richard Cahill, Independent Deirdre Clune, Fine Gael Brian Crowley, Fianna Fáil Jillian Godsil, Independent Simon Harris, Fine Gael Kieran Hartley, Fianna Fáil Theresa Heaney, Catholic Democrats (The National Party) Sean Kelly, Fine Gael Liadh Ní Riada, Sinn Féin Diarmuid Patrick O'Flynn, Independent Peter O'Loughlin, Independent Dónal Ó'Ríordáin, Fís Nua Grace O'Sullivan, Green Party Phil Prendergast, Labour Party Jan Van De Ven, Direct Democracy Ireland AVERAGE

2.7 8.5 25.7 1.3 6.7 4.7 1.3 12.0 17.3 5.3 1.6 0.5 5.5 5.4 1.5

1.6 7.2 27.4 1.4 7.8 4.6 2.1 12.7 19 4.6 1 0.2 4.2 4.6 1.4

-1.1 -1.3 1.7 0.1 1.1 -0.1 0.8 0.7 1.7 -0.7 -0.6 -0.3 -1.3 -0.8 -0.1 0.8

9.6 12.8 2.0 1.0 0.3 20.0 10.7 0.9 11.4 6.7 3.9 16.0 4.3 0.5

8.6 17.7 1.5 0.3 0.4 19 9.2 1.2 10.7 6.2 4.9 14 5.7 0.3

-1.0 4.9 -0.5 -0.7 0.1 -1.0 -1.5 0.3 -0.7 -0.5 1.0 -2.0 1.4 -0.2 1.1

DUBLIN

%

SOUTH

MIDLANDS NORTH WEST Thomas Byrne, Fianna Fáil Matt Carthy, Sinn Féin Mark Dearey, Green Party T.J. Fay, Independent Mark Fitzsimons, Independent Luke ‘Ming’ Flanagan, Independent Pat The Cope Gallagher, Fianna Fáil Ben Gilroy, Direct Democracy Ireland Marian Harkin, Independent Jim Higgins, Fine Gael Lorraine Higgins, Labour Party Mairead McGuinness, Fine Gael Ronan Mullan, Independent Cordelia Níc Fhearraigh, Fís Nua AVERAGE

Difference % -0.7 -0.6 -0.7 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.0 -1.0 0.6 -0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6

OVERALL AVERAGE DIFFERENCE: .86 OF ONE PERCENTAGE POINT


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