Locating Mammography Services to Fulfill Community Need CASE STUDY
A prominent radiology group in a medium metropolitan market wanted to increase the rate of breast cancer screenings by offering a convenient, boutique mammography site to its community. Before searching for real estate, the group needed to understand the potential for volume from the surrounding zip codes. They also needed to know what space requirements would be warranted for their selected location based on that volume potential.
CHALLENGE
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
What is the potential need for
Array performed both a strategic market and space planning analysis to give the
mammography services and where
client specific location suggestions and detailed numbers to use when presenting
would be best to locate a boutique
the business case to their board.
mammography clinic to capture this need?
Demographic Analysis and Mammography Need Assessment
SOLUTION
After mapping locations where the group currently provides radiology services, Array worked with the client to generate an initial county preference. Using these
Through this study, Array provided the
inputs, a demographic analysis was conducted on zips within a 30-minute drive—
client with two options for potential
the distance that patients in this area are accustomed to driving for outpatient
locations and space programming to
care. A zip-code level population
determine the size of the building they
breakdown by gender and age,
would need. Using this information, the
combined with the most common
client had the necessary information to take
clinical guidelines for the frequency
the next steps of searching for available real
of mammogram screening, led to
estate in those markets with the requisite
estimates of the maximum screening
space as well as presenting the business
need within each sub-market. With
case for board approval.
no other competitors in the market,
Top four zips account for 75% of the gap in (more concentrated population/need) Zip Code
Population Female 20-39
Population Female 40-54
Population Female 55+
Addressable Market
Actual (AB 2019)
Gap
Zip Code 1
4,166
3,239
7,758
8,411
2,938
5,473
Zip Code 2
1,815
1,839
5,688
5,631
1,979
3,652
Zip Code 3
2,407
2,025
3,440
4,318
1,567
2,751
Zip Code 4
1,237
1,268
4,082
3,989
1,399
2,590
Zip Code 5
851
770
2,198
2,235
774
1,461
Zip Code 6
710
880
1,560
1,920
686
1,234
Zip Code 7
286
340
777
858
317
541
Zip Code 8
346
310
692
771
285
486
Zip Code 9
250
241
726
725
264
461
Zip Code 10
431
310
557
681
246
Zip Code 11
30
33
66
77
29
48
12,529
11,255
27,544
29,618
10,484
19,134
Total
435
Legend Largest Gap Medium-Sized Gap Smallest Gap
the client’s de-identified data showed
that only 40 percent of the maximum 3screens were being delivered. After an initial Where is the gap between addressable and actual screens greatest based on geography?
review with the client, a second county where an active competitor exists was identified for analysis. In this case, market estimates for current mammogram screenings showed, that the client was only performing one-third of the market’s existing screens, and existing screens only accounted for 35 percent of the market’s recommended screening level.
PROJECT HIGHLIGHTS
15%
1900
2
Mammogram growth expected over next 10 years
Square feet of physical space needed
Potential locations identified