Health Financing Reform in Ukraine

TABLE 2.2

Central government health spending, including transfers, projections to 2025 CURRENT PRICES (UAH, BILLIONS) AS % OF GDP GDP, CURRENT PRICES (UAH BILLIONS)a

ACTUAL/PLANb

SIMULATIONS

SIMULATIONS

ACTUAL/PLAN

IMF GDP PROJECTIONS

GOV GDP PROJECTIONS

YEAR

IMF

GOV

IMF

GOV

1

2

3

GOV

1

2

3

1

2

3

2015

1,988.5

1,988.5

3.2

3.2

—

—

—

63.3

—

—

—

—

—

—

2016

2,385.4

2,385.4

2.4

2.4

—

—

—

57.2

—

—

—

—

—

—

2017

2,982.9

2,983.9

2.6

2.6

—

—

—

78.7

—

—

—

—

—

—

2018

3,560.6

3,558.7

2.5

2.5

—

—

—

87.4

—

—

—

—

—

—

2019

3,974.6

3,978.4

2.5

2.5

—

—

—

97.7

—

—

—

—

—

—

2020

3,869.7

3,985.5

3.6

3.5

—

—

—

141.0

—

—

—

—

—

—

2021

4,205.1

4,505.9

3.8

3.6

—

—

—

161.0

—

—

—

—

—

—

2022

4,571.4

5,089.4

—

—

3.5

3.6

3.8

—

158.9

166.5

175.1

176.9

185.4

194.9

2023

4,972.7

5,689.7

—

—

3.4

3.6

3.8

—

168.0

181.2

190.4

192.3

207.3

217.9

2024

5,420.5

—

—

—

3.3

3.6

3.8

—

177.9

197.5

207.6

—

—

—

2025

5,918.3

—

—

—

3.2

3.6

3.8

—

188.5

215.6

226.6

—

—

—

Sources: State Treasury Service of Ukraine (actuals); Annual Budget Laws (plan); CabMin (GDP); IMF 2020 (IMF projections).

Note: — = data not available; GDP = gross domestic product; GOV = government; IMF = International Monetary Fund; SNG = subnational government. a. GDP projections being 2020. b. Budget totals reflect actual execution statistics for 2015–19, planned amounts for 2020–21, and projections beyond 2022.

Funding the Program of Medical Guarantees | 39