World Development Report 2022

Page 259

46. WDR 2022 team calculations; Asonuma and Trebesch (2016). 47. Defined as a default on private external creditors. 48. Based on restructurings of defaults since the end of World War II. Farah-Yacoub, Graf von Luckner, and Reinhart (2021); Graf von Luckner et al. (2021). 49. Benjamin and Wright (2009). 50. WDR 2022 team calculations, based on Asonuma and Trebesch (2016) and Farah-Yacoub, Graf von Luckner, and Reinhart (2021). Using a subset of default spells for which the reported default spell end dates in both studies match and restructuring deal details are available, 41 of 68 spell-ending restructurings had a face value reduction. Using only Asonuma and Trebesch (2016) data, 51 of 94 spell-ending restructurings involved a face value reduction. 51. Fang, Schumacher, and Trebesch (2021); Pitchford and Wright (2012); Schumacher, Trebesch, and Enderlein (2021). 52. Friedman (1983). 53. Reinhart and Trebesch (2016). 54. Arslanalp and Henry (2005). 55. Reinhart, Reinhart, and Rogoff (2015). 56. Reinhart, Reinhart, and Rogoff (2015). 57. Reinhart, Reinhart, and Rogoff (2015). 58. Reinhart, Reinhart, and Rogoff (2015); Reinhart and Sbrancia (2015). 59. Reinhart, Reinhart, and Rogoff (2015); Reinhart and Sbrancia (2015). 60. Calice, Diaz Kalan, and Masetti (2020). 61. Easterly (1989); Easterly and Schmidt-Hebbel (1994). 62. International Centre for Tax and Development, ICTD Government Revenue Dataset, Institute of Development Studies, Brighton, UK, http://www.ictd.ac/data sets/the-ictd-government-revenue-dataset. 63. Janetsky (2021). 64. Jensen (2019). 65. Pigato (2019). 66. Bachas, Gadenne, and Jensen (2020). 67. Phillips et al. (2018).

68. OECD (2021). 69. See World Bank (2021a) for a more complete discussion on the debt transparency framework. 70. Gelpern et al. (2021). 71. Aytekin Balibek (2021). 72. For a consideration of issues of sovereign authorization, see Lienau (2008, 2014). Through debt management performance assessments, the World Bank measures several relevant aspects of a well-designed legal framework for debt management. See World Bank, DeMPA (Debt Management Performance Assessment) (dashboard), https://www.worldbank.org/en/programs /debt-toolkit/dempa. 73. Cision PR Newswire (2020); Duran and John (2018). 74. IMF (2020a). 75. Fang, Schumacher, and Trebesch (2021). 76. IMF (2020a). 77. Graf von Luckner et al. (2021). 78. See Reinhart and Rogoff (2009). 79. Graf von Luckner et al. (2021). 80. IMF (2020a). 81. The debtor argued that it could amend the contracts to oblige the pool of voting creditors to redesignation using a voting threshold of 50.00 percent of the principal of each series, as opposed to the 66.67 percent aggregate and 50.00 percent of principal per series, or 75.00 percent of aggregate principal, necessary to amend reserved matters. Under the proposed amendment, Argentina would have been able to pool creditors amenable to its offer even after the votes had been cast and launch a subsequent exchange offer, including to the holders of new exchange bonds and the holders of old bonds who rejected the offer. Creditors argued that, by doing this, Argentina could have forced creditors to gang up and dilute their individual rights. This was dubbed the Pac-Man strategy. The creditors initially demanded a reversion to pre-2014 CAC verbiage as a response. See de la Cruz and Lagos (2020). 82. de la Cruz and Lagos (2020). 83. IMF (2020a).

References Albanesi, Stefania. 2007. “Inflation and Inequality.” Journal of Monetary Economics 54 (4): 1088–1114. Arslanalp, Serkan, and Peter Blair Henry. 2005. “Is Debt Relief Efficient?” Journal of Finance 60 (2): 1017–51. Asonuma, Tamon, and Christoph Trebesch. 2016. “Sovereign Debt Restructurings: Preemptive or Post-Default.” Journal of the European Economic Association 14 (1): 175–214. Aytekin Balibek, Arzu. 2021. “Public Sector Domestic Debt Survey Results.” With contributions of Malvina Pollock and Evis Rucaj and inputs of the Debt Statistics Team of the Development Data Group, World Bank, Washington, DC. Bachas, Pierre, Lucie Gadenne, and Anders Jensen. 2020. “Informality, Consumption Taxes, and Redistribution.” NBER Working Paper 27429, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA.

Baldacci, Emanuele, Luiz de Mello, and Gabriela Inchauste. 2002. “Financial Crises, Poverty, and Income Distribution.” IMF Working Paper 02/4, International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC. Benjamin, David, and Mark L. J. Wright. 2009. “Recovery before Redemption: A Theory of Delays in Sovereign Debt Renegotiations.” CAMA Working Paper 2009-15, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia. Binder, Carola. 2019. “Inequality and the Inflation Tax.” Journal of Macroeconomics 61 (September), 103122. Borensztein, Eduardo, and Ugo Panizza. 2009. “The Costs of Sovereign Default.” IMF Staff Papers 56 (4): 683–741. Bova, M. Elva, Marta Ruiz-Arranz, Frederik Toscani, and H. Elif Ture. 2016. “The Fiscal Costs of Contingent Liabilities:

MANAGING SOVEREIGN DEBT | 237


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References

1min
pages 279-281

Managing interrelated risks across the global economy

3min
page 277

Managing domestic risks to the recovery

5min
pages 275-276

Tackling the most urgent sources of risk

2min
page 274

Introduction

6min
pages 272-273

Spotlight 5.1: Greening capital markets: Sovereign sustainable bonds

22min
pages 263-271

References

13min
pages 259-262

Notes

7min
pages 257-258

Looking ahead: Reforms to mobilize revenue, improve transparency, and facilitate debt negotiations

18min
pages 249-255

Spotlight 4.1: Public credit guarantee schemes

9min
pages 221-225

Conclusion

3min
page 256

References

23min
pages 213-220

Managing sovereign debt and resolving sovereign debt distress

35min
pages 236-248

The human costs of debt crises

9min
pages 229-232

Notes

3min
page 212

Improving risk mitigation

58min
pages 183-205

Conclusion

2min
page 211

Policies to enable access to credit and address risks

14min
pages 206-210

Solving the COVID-19 risk puzzle: Risk visibility and recourse

12min
pages 179-182

Spotlight 3.1: Supporting microfinance to sustain small businesses

15min
pages 171-177

Introduction

3min
page 178

References

13min
pages 167-170

Notes

6min
pages 165-166

Conclusion

3min
page 164

Promoting debt forgiveness and discharge of natural person debtors

2min
page 163

Facilitating alternative dispute resolution systems such as conciliation and mediation

4min
pages 156-157

Strengthening formal insolvency mechanisms

19min
pages 149-155

References

16min
pages 135-139

Notes

16min
pages 131-134

Conclusion

2min
page 130

Spotlight 2.1: Strengthening the regulation and supervision of microfinance institutions

10min
pages 140-145

Dealing with problem banks

23min
pages 122-129

Building capacity to manage rising volumes of bad debts

16min
pages 115-121

Identifying NPLs: Asset quality, bank capital, and effective supervision

27min
pages 105-114

Spotlight 1.1: Financial inclusion and financial resilience

12min
pages 96-101

Conclusion

2min
page 93

Why do NPLs matter?

3min
page 104

References

10min
pages 68-71

Interconnected financial risks across the economy

8min
pages 73-75

Introduction

5min
pages 102-103

Notes

7min
pages 66-67

Resolving financial risks: A prerequisite for an equitable recovery

29min
pages 30-41

Conclusion

3min
page 42

The economic impacts of the pandemic

7min
pages 25-27

References

9min
pages 44-47

Impacts on the financial sector

2min
page 60

The economic policy response to the pandemic: Swift but with large variation across countries

5min
pages 28-29

Introduction

4min
pages 23-24

Notes

3min
page 43
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