At Your Service?

Page 186

BOX 3.3 Impact of COVID-19 on Digitalization and Remote Delivery The COVID-19 pandemic is accelerating trends of digitalization. The World Bank’s Business Pulse Survey (BPS) data show an increased reliance on digital technologies and remote work during the COVID-19 pandemic (figure B3.3.1). These increases have been the highest in high-skill services like ICT, financial services, and e­ ducation, which suggests that much of the work in these sectors that has long been conducted in person is now increasingly being delivered digitally and remotely. Digitalization is also occurring in some of the low-skill services subsectors; for example, roughly a third of the retail firms surveyed report that they have started or increased the use of digital platforms to execute transactions. Yet the actual delivery of services, such as accommodation and food as well as passenger transportation, remain intensive in face-to-face interactions with consumers and will likely be slower to recover as people continue to exercise social-distancing precautions. In the United States, for example, most of the fall in restaurant reservations occurred before the imposition of any government-mandated closures (Maloney and Taskin 2020). Manufacturing and construction, in contrast, are likely to see workers return to their jobs more easily as lockdown restrictions ease, given the low face-to-face interactions with consumers.

FIGURE B3.3.1  COVID-19 Has Accelerated the Use of Digital Technologies and Home-Based Work Most among Firms in Global Innovator Services Firms’ adoption of digital platforms and home-based work during the COVID-19 pandemic, by sector, 2020 60

Share of firms (%)

50 40 30 20 10

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Increase in use of digital solutions

More working from home

Source: World Bank COVID-19 Business Pulse Survey (BPS) and Enterprise Surveys (ES), conducted April–September 2020. Note: The data cover more than 130,000 businesses in 60 countries, primarily low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). The graph displays the predicted average changes from a regression controlling for country, size, sector, and the number of weeks following the shock. The data have been reweighted so each country has an equal weight. Error bars indicate 95 ­percent confidence intervals. LMICs, by World Bank income group classifications, had 1994 gross national income (GNI) of less than US$8,955. “Other services” includes other social, community, and personal services. ICT = information and communication technology. For a full description of the survey, see Apedo-Amah et al. (2020).

162

At Your Service? The Promise of Services-Led Development


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Inform the Priorities in the 4Ts Agenda

1hr
pages 279-309

Highest Forward Linkages across Sectors

3min
pages 273-274

Practices Is Associated with Higher Sales per Employee

1min
page 269

Countries with Higher Tertiary Enrollment Rates

3min
pages 267-268

Their Lack of ICT Skills Is a Constraint to Employment or Higher Earnings

1min
page 266

B5.2.2 Product Market Regulation in Network and Professional Services Is Higher in LMICs Than in HICs—and Highest in Rail Transportation and Legal Services in Both Groups of Countries

10min
pages 261-265

Can Be Mapped to Each of the 4Ts, but Some of the Relationships Overlap

1min
page 252

Forward and Backward Linkages to Other Sectors Are Included

23min
pages 240-251

Intensity Have Both Roughly Tripled

5min
pages 235-237

Attributable to Services Inputs

7min
pages 231-234

Subsector Groups to Serve Domestic Intermediate Demand

3min
pages 225-226

Exports from LMICs

1min
page 213

Services Exports

1min
page 212

Skill-Intensive Social Services, Especially through FDI

32min
pages 192-206

Labor Productivity

8min
pages 188-191

Industrialization

6min
pages 208-210

B3.3.1 COVID-19 Has Accelerated the Use of Digital Technologies and Home-Based Work Most among Firms in Global Innovator Services

4min
pages 186-187

4.4 Services That Predominantly Serve Final Demand Are Less Exported

2min
page 211

of the Largest English-Language Online Freelancing Platforms Live in LMICs B3.2.1 Most ICT Firms Predict an Increase in Employment for Highly Skilled

12min
pages 177-182

Discernible Increase among Firms in Global Innovator Services

1min
page 173

3.9 AI or ML Software Is Used More Widely in High-Income Countries

3min
pages 170-171

Services and Skill-Intensive Social Services

1min
page 168

in the Number of Online Freelancers

5min
pages 160-162

S.1 Examples of More Careful Price Measurement for Services

10min
pages 138-142

2B.1 Alternative Measures of Scale Confirm That Scale Is Lower in Most Services Subsectors Than in Manufacturing, Except in Administrative and Support Services

26min
pages 126-137

2A.1 Overview of Firm-Level Data

2min
pages 124-125

2.19 Services Are More Likely Than Manufacturers to Be Intensive in ICT Capital

1min
page 112

Men and Women

7min
pages 119-121

B2.2.2 Household Surveys Show That, on Average, 38 Percent of Services Workers Stopped Working in 2020

2min
page 109

B2.1.2 The Importance of Informality in Services Relative to Manufacturing Is Most Pronounced When Comparing Shares of Employment and Value Added

4min
pages 89-90

2.11 Dispersion in Labor Productivity Is Higher in Services Than in Manufacturing

6min
pages 98-100

Average ICT and Manufacturing Establishments Are Close in Size

1min
page 87

B2.1.1 Most Informal Enterprises Operate in Retail Services

1min
page 88

1A.1 Service Subsectors, by UN ISIC Rev. 4 Classification

32min
pages 67-82

Income Is Driven by Retail Trade

1min
page 59

“Commercial Presence” Abroad, but “Cross-Border Supply” and “Consumption Abroad” Matter for Some Subsectors

4min
pages 51-52

Employ Informal Workers

4min
pages 61-62

Lower in Services Than in Manufacturing

4min
pages 44-45

Industry to Aggregate Labor Productivity Growth since the 1990s

12min
pages 34-39

Goods in Their Implications for Productivity and Jobs, but These Are Changing with the Advent of Digital Technologies

8min
pages 40-43

and Low-Skill Jobs

6min
pages 48-50

the 1990s

1min
page 32
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