The Changing Wealth of Nations 2021

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T H E C H A N G I N G W E A LTH O F N ATIO N S 2021

price incentive can result in overharvesting or degrading an asset. While all assets can be subject to these market failures, it is a particularly serious problem for natural capital, especially when ecosystem services are not priced at all and externalities—positive or negative impacts not felt by the parties to a transaction—exist, such as the damages from carbon emissions or the benefits of renewable energy that reduces carbon emissions. Many ecosystems and the services that underpin and embed all other assets go systematically undervalued, and, as a result, ecosystems are mismanaged. Furthermore, many natural systems, such as the atmosphere or open oceans, do not have “owners” and property rights assigned. Therefore, their governance is subject to the “tragedy of the commons” (Hardin 1968; Ostrom 1990). Many negative impacts on markets are visible only long after the critical ecosystems degrade, making them subject to the “tragedy of the horizon” as well (Carney 2015). These three market ­failures explain in economic terms why countries need adequate policy intervention to evoke value from nature and manage natural capital sustainably. The good news is that, over the past several decades, this problem has been recognized and tools for more accurately pricing or otherwise rewarding ecosystem services have been developed. Some of the chapters in this volume apply information from the wealth accounts for policy analysis to help countries unleash value creation from renewable natural capital, such as fisheries and renewable energy, and manage the risks of excessive dependence on nonrenewable natural capital.

Roadmap for the Report This report is divided into four parts. The first part reviews overall trends in wealth accounts over the past 24 years, focusing on how those trends may have changed since CWON 2018, and introduces wealth in purchasing power parities (PPPs). The second part describes the new work on renewable natural capital and human capital, focusing on trends in human capital and potential impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic as well as on air pollution. The third part discusses several applications of wealth accounting to policy. The fourth part discusses new developments to increase the coverage of wealth accounts for important assets that are currently missing.

Part I. Global, Regional, and Country Trends in Wealth, 1995–2018 The main goal of the report’s first part is to broaden the measures used to assess economic progress by providing forward-looking indicators based on wealth, which is defined to encompass most productive assets. Chapter 2 begins with a detailed explanation of wealth accounting. Chapter 3 provides the big picture, showing broad trends in wealth at the global level over the past two decades and progress toward convergence among income groups. The chapter explores how the volume and composition of wealth have changed over time for different income groups and takes a closer look at wealth in low- and middle-income countries by geographic region.


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Articles inside

15.2 Social Capital and the COVID-19 Pandemic

5min
pages 463-464

Future Options for Linking Social Capital and Wealth Accounting

2min
page 462

15.1 Social Capital in China

1min
page 461

Why Social Capital Matters for Economic Output and Welfare

6min
pages 455-457

Valuation and Social Capital

2min
page 454

Measurement of Social Capital

9min
pages 448-452

Time Scales for Measuring Social Capital Trends

2min
page 453

Is Social Capital Really Capital?

2min
page 447

Definitions of Social Capital

4min
pages 445-446

Overview of Conceptual Approaches to Social Capital

2min
page 444

Introduction

4min
pages 442-443

Main Messages

1min
page 441

Conclusion

2min
page 435

Notes

5min
pages 436-437

References

3min
pages 438-440

Discussion of Results and Future Research Agenda

5min
pages 433-434

Renewable Energy Resources as Assets in the SNA and SEEA-CF

7min
pages 408-410

Notes

2min
page 401

References

2min
pages 402-406

Conclusion

2min
page 400

13.2 Wealth Data and Sovereign Bonds

2min
page 396

Main Messages

1min
page 387

Wealth on a Country’s Balance Sheet

2min
page 391

References

3min
pages 384-386

Market

5min
pages 374-375

Conclusion

1min
page 376

Notes

5min
pages 382-383

Annex 11A: Country Selection and Benchmarking

5min
pages 348-350

Policies to Mitigate Human Capital Distortions Arising from Nonrenewable Natural Resource Wealth

4min
pages 372-373

References

5min
pages 352-354

Introduction

2min
page 356

Main Messages

1min
page 355

Sustainability and Renewable Natural Capital

5min
pages 323-325

References

7min
pages 310-314

Asset Portfolio Diversification versus Export Diversification

4min
pages 318-319

Notes

2min
page 309

Conclusion

4min
pages 307-308

Political Economy of Global Cooperation on Climate Change

7min
pages 304-306

Comparison with Other Estimates of Stranded Assets

16min
pages 297-303

10.12 Potential Loss of Natural Gas Asset Value, by Region

4min
pages 288-289

10.9 Value of Subsoil Fossil Fuel Assets, by Scenario and Region, 2018–50

1min
page 285

Scenario Analysis to Represent Risk and Uncertainty

3min
pages 279-280

Simulation Results

1min
page 281

Countries and Country Groups

4min
pages 277-278

Main Messages

1min
page 269

Simulation of Subsoil Fuel Asset Values under Uncertainty

2min
page 276

Valuing Subsoil Fossil Fuel Assets in the CWON

2min
page 272

Conclusion

2min
page 263

Main Messages

1min
page 237

Global Distribution of Fossil Fuel and Mineral Wealth

7min
pages 240-243

Introduction

4min
pages 238-239

8.3 More Research Is Needed on the Health Impacts of Air Pollution

2min
page 231

Incorporating the Impact of Air Pollution into the Human Capital Calculations

2min
page 226

8.2 Challenges in Estimating Global Mortality Attributable to Air Pollution

2min
page 225

Gender and Human Capital

8min
pages 200-203

Estimates of Human Capital

13min
pages 193-199

Data and Methodology

4min
pages 191-192

7.1 Different Approaches to Measuring Human Capital

2min
page 189

7.2 The Human Capital Index and the CWON’s Measure of Human Capital

3min
page 190

Main Messages

1min
page 147

Conclusion

2min
page 136

Main Messages

1min
page 187

Main Messages

1min
page 165

Cropland Wealth and Climate Change Scenarios

3min
pages 152-153

Shift in the Global Distribution of Wealth

1min
page 129

Data and Methodology

2min
page 128

References

1min
pages 123-124

Main Messages

1min
page 103

2.1 Savings and Changes in Wealth

2min
page 97

Annex 1A: Treatment of Carbon Accounting in the SEEA Ecosystem Accounts

5min
pages 83-85

How Wealth Changes over Time

4min
pages 91-92

Summing Up and Future Research

7min
pages 80-82

Roadmap for the Report

9min
pages 76-79

Role of Policies and Institutions in Creating Value for Natural Capital

2min
page 75

ES.2 What’s New in CWON 2021?

2min
page 61

From Monitoring Economic Performance to Managing the Economy

4min
pages 73-74

Wealth Accounts as a Tool for Macroeconomic Policy and the Financial Sector

3min
pages 59-60

Looking Ahead

4min
pages 62-63

ES.1 Strengths and Limitations of Wealth Accounting

2min
page 46

Sustainability, Resilience, and Inclusiveness Are Urgent Challenges for Economic Development

1min
page 45

What Is Included in Comprehensive Wealth Accounts?

2min
page 72

1.1 Sustainability and the Wealth of Nations

2min
page 71
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