Regional Investment Pioneers in South Asia

Page 29

OVERVIEW  l  7

followed by Pakistan (10.8 percent) and Maldives (9 percent). Bangladesh, Bhutan, and Nepal have IFDI stocks of 6 percent or less, while foreign investment, at 3.1 percent of GDP, has been less important in Afghanistan (see box 1.1). In comparison, the respective figures for China and Vietnam are 20.3 percent and 26.8 percent, and 24.6 percent for Peru.

Investment Landscape: Low Levels of Outward FDI The share of outward investment stock attributable to multinationals from low- and middle-income economies is about 6.0 percent using the IMF’s Coordinated Direct Investment Survey, and 10.8 percent using UNCTAD data (data as of the end of 2017, and in this case both figures are stocks, based on the World Bank’s income classifications). These figures may be smaller than usually seen in the media, which can be explained by two factors. One, most figures popularly quoted usually refer to flows, whereas stocks incorporate historical FDI, including earlier periods when firms from high-income economies accounted for almost all of OFDI. Two, both the 6.0 percent and 10.8 percent figures use the World Bank’s classification of low- and middle-income economies (non-high-income economies) to define emerging market or developing economies. However, the figures that are frequently quoted are based on UNCTAD’s investment data and classification, which include high-income economies from East Asia and the Middle East in its definition of “developing economies.” Using Coordinated Direct Investment Survey data for the end of 2017, South Asia has a low share of world OFDI stock (0.3 percent) compared with other developing regions. Among developing economies, East Asia has the largest share of global OFDI (2.4 percent), followed by Latin America and the Caribbean (1.1 percent). South Asia OFDI exceeds only that of the developing economies of the Middle East and North Africa (0.1 percent). Most outward investment flows from developing economies go to high-income economies, and almost half originates from East Asia, with just 5 percent from South Asia (data as of the end of 2017). Of the total outward investment stock of US$2.2 trillion from developing economies, 71 percent goes to high-income economies, mostly in the same geographic region for East Asia, Europe and Central Asia, and Latin America and the Caribbean. The other developing regions, including South Asia, favor extraregional destinations. The high share of OFDI from Sub-Saharan Africa to developing economies in its region and outside the region reflects Mauritius’s role as an investment hub, particularly for Sub-Saharan Africa and India. India dominates OFDI from South Asia, but Maldives has higher OFDI as a share of GDP. India’s share of South Asia’s total OFDI stocks is greater than 94 percent (data as of the end of 2018). Maldives, however, reports a higher OFDI share of 5 percent of GDP. Afghanistan and India report OFDI stocks of 3.6 percent and 2.8 percent of GDP, respectively, with Sri Lanka’s at 1.9 percent of GDP.


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B.16 Robustness 3: Logit Estimation

3min
pages 255-261

Concluding Remarks: Toward a More Engaged South Asia

2min
page 221

Consolidated Direct Investment Survey Data Augmentation

1min
page 225

The Benefits of Own Data Collection through Firm-Level Surveys

2min
page 237

Services Imports, and Foreign Direct Investment Flows, 1990–2017

1min
page 218

Implications for Inward FDI Policy and Promotion

4min
pages 215-216

Emerging Business Practices and Policy Making

1min
page 217

Regulatory and Promotion Policies for OFDI

4min
pages 213-214

Physical and Digital Connectivity

2min
page 212

Information Frictions and Enhancing Knowledge Connectivity

8min
pages 208-211

Introduction

1min
page 207

References

7min
pages 203-206

Concluding Remarks

2min
page 197

Notes

2min
page 202

Bridges of Knowledge: Key Channels of Awareness of Investment Opportunities

2min
page 194

Beyond Entry: Evolution of Investment Destinations

2min
page 192

Information Frictions

6min
pages 189-191

4.6 Exporters Become Investors

9min
pages 182-185

4.7 The Role of Conglomerates and Business Groups in South Asia

4min
pages 186-187

4.1 Estimated Equation for the Determinants of Outward Investment

6min
pages 176-178

4.2 Bilateral Network Connection Scores, by Destination

4min
pages 172-173

Knowledge Connectivity, Networks, and Bilateral Trust in South Asia

2min
page 170

Introduction

5min
pages 167-169

References

7min
pages 163-166

Notes

2min
page 162

3.10 Detailed Motivations for Investing in South Asia

1min
page 146

Value Chain Perspective

1min
page 147

Industrial Classification of All Economic Activities

1min
page 140

Annex 3A: Investment Hubs: The India-Mauritius Connection and How Singapore Fits In

4min
pages 158-159

Scope of and Strategies for OFDI: Evidence from Firm Surveys and Case Studies

6min
pages 136-138

3.5 Special Economic Zones in South Asia and East Asia and Pacific, 2018

9min
pages 131-135

3.6 Global Trends in Inward FDI Policies, 2003–18

4min
pages 127-128

3.4 Timeline of India’s Gradual Path to Liberalization of OFDI

3min
pages 121-122

3.1 South Asian Intraregional Investment Stocks, by Country, 2017

1min
page 113

3.3 South Asian Outward Investment: A Historical Perspective

5min
pages 109-110

Outward FDI and Intraregional Investment: Evidence from CDIS and UNCTAD Data

2min
page 106

3.1 Defining Inward and Outward Foreign Direct Investment

4min
pages 102-103

3.2 Issues with Global Foreign Direct Investment Data

6min
pages 104-105

Introduction

1min
page 101

Policy Environment for Intraregional Investment

2min
page 116

Concluding Remarks

2min
page 95

Entry Costs (1 Low–9 High

1min
page 92

Information, Networks, and Learning: Variation of Entry Costs across Firms

5min
pages 93-94

at Home and Abroad

2min
page 83

Toward a Spectrum of Engagement Modes: Variation of Entry Costs across Modes

7min
pages 89-91

Foreign Market Entry Decision

4min
pages 86-87

Introduction

1min
page 79

2.1 Multinational Location Options and Frictions

1min
page 82

Incorporating a Value Chain Approach

4min
pages 80-81

References

4min
pages 76-78

Plan of the Report

2min
page 65

1.2 South Asian Intraregional Goods Exports and Imports, 2018 (US$ millions

8min
pages 61-64

1.1 Case Studies in South Asian Intraregional Investment

2min
pages 55-56

Low Intraregional Investment

2min
page 52

Relevance of the Report

4min
pages 57-58

Weak Track Record on Global Inward FDI

2min
page 50

Factors Influencing Regional Dynamics

2min
page 49

Introduction

8min
pages 45-48

Policy and Operational Implications

10min
pages 38-42

Regional Pioneers and the Determinants of Investment Entry: Which Firms Succeed and Which Firms Do Not?

7min
pages 35-37

Key Constraint: Restrictiveness of South Asian Inward and Outward FDI Policy Arrangements

2min
page 32

Key Constraint: Low Knowledge Connectivity and Bilateral Trust

2min
page 33

Investment Landscape: Low Levels of Inward FDI

2min
page 28

Key Drivers of Outward Investment of South Asian Firms

2min
page 31

Investment Landscape: Low Levels of Outward FDI

2min
page 29

1 Trends in World Trade in Goods versus Intellectual Property Payments

2min
page 27
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