Acknowledgments This World Bank Group Flagship Report is a product of the Prospects Group in the Development Economics Vice Presidency. The project was managed by M. Ayhan Rose and Franziska Ohnsorge, under the general guidance of Paul Romer. Chapters 1 and 2 were led by Carlos Arteta. Chapter 1 (Global Outlook) was prepared by Carlos Arteta and Marc Stocker with contributions from Csilla Lakatos, Ekaterine Vashakmadze, and Dana Vorisek. Additional inputs were provided by John Baffes, Sinem Kilic Celik, Jongrim H a , Raju H u i d r o m , Gerard Kambou, Eung Ju K i m , Hideaki Matsuoka, and Modeste Some. Research assistance was provided by Xinghao Gong, Liwei L i u , Trang Thi Thuy Nguyen, and Peter Davis Williams. The Special Focus (The U . S . Economy and the World) was prepared by M . Ayhan Kose, Csilla Lakatos, Franziska Ohnsorge, and Marc Stocker with contributions from Carlos Arteta, John Baffes, Jongrim H a , Raju H u i d r o m , Ergys Islamaj, Ezgi O . Ozturk, Hideaki Matsuoka, Naotaka Sugawara, and Temel Taskin. Research assistance was provided by Xinghao Gong, Trang Nguyen, and Peter Davis Williams. Box 1.1 was prepared by Gerard Kambou and Boaz Nandwa. Box 1.2 was prepared by Derek Chen, Gerard Kambou, Boaz Nandwa, Y o k i Okawa, Ekaterine Vashakmadze, and Dana Vorisek. Chapter 2 (Regional Outlooks) was prepared by several authors. The authors were Ekaterine Vashakmadze (East Asia and Pacific), Y o k i Okawa and Ekaterine Vashakmadze (Europe and Central Asia), Derek Chen and Dana Vorisek (Latin America and the Caribbean), Dana Vorisek (Middle East and N o r t h Africa), Boaz Nandwa (South Asia), and Gerard Kambou (Sub-Saharan Africa). Research assistance was provided by Xinghao Gong, Liwei L i u , Trang Nguyen, Shituo Sun, and Peter Davis Williams.
Chapter 3 (Weak Investment in Uncertain Times: Causes, Implications, and Policy Responses) was prepared by M . Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge, Lei Sandy Ye, and Ergys Islamaj, with contributions from Jongrim H a , Raju H u i d r o m , Csilla Lakatos, Hideaki Matsuoka, Yoki Okawa, Naotaka Sugawara, Congyan Tan, Ekaterine Vashakmadze and Shu Y u . Research assistance was provided by M a i A n h B u i , Collette Wheeler, Yiruo L i , Liwei L i u , and Cristhian Vera Avellan. Box 3.1 (Investment-less credit booms) was prepared by Shu Y u ; Box 3.2 (Implications of Rising Uncertainty for Investment in E M D E s ) was prepared by Jongrim H a , Raju H u i d r o m , and Congyan Tan; Box 3.3 (Investment Slowdown in China) was prepared by Ekaterine Vashakmadze, Hideaki Matsuoka, and Trang Nguyen; Box 3.4 (Interactions between Public and Private Investment) was prepared by Y o k i Okawa. Modeling and data work were provided by Hideaki Matsuoka, assisted by M a i A n h B u i , Xinghao Gong, Cristhian Javier Vera Avellan, Jungjin Lee, Liwei L i u , Trang Nguyen, Shituo Sun, Collette M a r i Wheeler, and Peter Davis Williams. The online publication was produced by a team including Graeme Littler, Praveen Penmetsa, Mikael Reventar, and Katherine Rollins, with technical support from Marjorie Patricia Bennington. Phillip H a y and Mark Felsenthal managed media relations and the dissemination. The print publication was produced by Maria Hazel Macadangdang, Adriana Maximiliano, and laĂąara Costa Pedrosa M o t a Pinto. M a n y reviewers offered extensive advice and comments. These included: Kishan Abeygunawardana,
xiii