Glaciers of the Himalayas

Page 109

Conclusion and Implications  l  89

sound analytical underpinnings for policy making, investments, and other initiatives that could be supported by World Bank–financed operations. The team has deliberately focused on the scientific aspects to provide a solid understanding on the subject. It is expected that the findings will be especially useful to future task teams in their efforts to prepare hydro investments along the basin, in agriculture, or in livelihood projects or to undertake climate-water related economic and sector work at the sub-basin level. In other words, the report aims to provide a “public good” for future use by task teams who can then customize the findings to suit their specific needs. Future research could focus on quantifying the potential economic impacts of climate change on the Himalaya glaciers across countries or sectors. The conceptual cryosphere hydrological framework (CCHF) model developed here is an open-source model. It has helped to advance the state of the art and is now available for others to use and improve on. The CCHF is easily configurable. Users can choose the process representations that best explain an area’s hydrology by applying the model to specific basins or glaciated areas. The model is flexible enough that users can build their own process representations.

References Eil, A., J. Li, P. Baral, and E. Saikawa. 2020. Dirty Stacks, High Stakes: An Overview of Brick Sector in South Asia. Washington, DC: World Bank. Maharjan, S. B., P. K. Mool, W. Lizong, G. Xiao, F. Shrestha, R. B. Shrestha, N. R. Khanal, et al. 2018. The Status of Glacial Lakes in the Hindu Kush Himalaya. ICIMOD Research Report 2018/1, Kathmandu: International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development. Lutz, A. F., W. W. Immerzeel, A. B. Shrestha, and M. F. P. Bierkens. 2014. “Consistent Increase in High Asia’s Runoff due to Increasing Glacier Melt and Precipitation.” Nature Climate Change 4: 587–92. Mani, M., S. Bandyopadhyay, S. Chonabayashi, A. Markandya, and T. Mosier. 2018. South Asia’s Hotspots: The Impact of Temperature and Precipitation Changes on Living Standards. South Asia Development Matters. Washington, DC: World Bank. Shea, J. M., W. W. Immerzeel, P. Wagnon, C. Vincent, and S. Bajracharya. 2015. “Modelling Glacier Change in the Everest Region, Nepal Himalaya.” The Cryosphere 9 (3): 1105–28. doi: 10.5194/tc-9-1105-2015.


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C.3 CCHF Performance during Validation for Each Climate Product

10min
pages 129-135

C.2 CCHF Performance during Calibration for Each Climate Product

2min
page 128

References

27min
pages 109-126

The Way Forward

2min
page 108

References

1min
pages 101-102

Black Carbon Deposition in the Region

2min
page 95

Implications of the Findings

11min
pages 103-107

Current HKHK Water Production

2min
page 92

Results

4min
pages 81-82

Hindu Kush Region, by Month, 2013

2min
pages 84-85

Black Carbon and Glacier Modeling to Date

2min
page 80

Black Carbon and Air Pollution

2min
page 78

Creating the Black Carbon Scenarios

5min
pages 66-67

CCHF Model: Linking Climate, Snow and Glaciers, and Water Resources

2min
page 69

Downscaling Climate in the Himalayas

2min
page 68

Framework (CCHF

1min
page 71

Climate Data

2min
page 64

4.2 Aspects of Climate Modeling

1min
page 65

4.1 Previous Analyses Related to the Current Research

2min
page 62

Overview

1min
page 61

References

4min
pages 58-60

Indus River Basin

2min
page 53

Notes

2min
page 57

Knowledge Gaps

2min
page 56

References

13min
pages 44-51

2.3 Impact of Aerosols on Regional Weather Patterns and Climate

2min
page 43

2.4 Average Annual Monsoon Precipitation in South Asia, 1981–2010

1min
page 41

1 Average Percentage of Annual Precipitation in South Asia, by Season 1981–2000 32

2min
page 23

Drivers of Glacial Change in South Asia

2min
page 35

Glacial Change

2min
page 31

References

1min
page 28

Implications of Glacial Change

2min
page 34

Economic Importance

1min
page 29

1.1 The Indus (Left), Ganges (Center), and Brahmaputra (Right) Basins in South Asia

1min
page 27
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