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Trends: The Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dante
PREVIOUS WINNERS - LAST TEN RUNNINGS Year Winner Trainer Jockey SP Runners Time Going
2021 Hurricane Lane Charlie Appleby William Buick 5/1 10 Ran 2m 10.06s G 2020 Thunderous Mark Johnston Franny Norton 13/2 6 Ran 2m 8.62s G/S 2019 Telecaster Hughie Morrison Oisin Murphy 7/1 8 Ran 2m 10.24s G/F 2018 Roaring Lion John Gosden Oisin Murphy 3/1F 9 ran 2m 9.79s G/F 2017 Permian Mark Johnston Franny Norton 10/1 10 ran 2m 8.40s G/S 2016 Wings Of Desire John Gosden Frankie Dettori 9/1 12 ran 2m 7.37s G/F 2015 Golden Horn John Gosden William Buick 4/1 7 Ran 2m 8.74s G 2014 The Grey Gatsby Kevin Ryan Ryan Moore 9/1 6 Ran 2m 8.99s G/S 2013 Libertarian Mrs K. Burke William Buick 33/1 8 Ran 2m 10.59s G 2012 Bonfire Andrew Balding Jimmy Fortune 3/1 7 Ran 2m 10.52s G
INTRODUCTION
Arguably the leading trial for next month’s Cazoo Derby is this afternoon’s Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dante Stakes and it is usually won by a very smart middle-distance performer. The roll of honour includes North Light (2004), Motivator (2005), Authorized (2007) and Golden Horn (2015) who have all followed up at Epsom having won here. Roaring Lion went onto win four Group 1’s and last year’s champion Hurricane Lane won the St Leger, so it’s a good guide for the season!
BETTING
Although Hurricane Lane was a short enough price twelve months ago, prior to Roaring Lion’s win in 2018 the last winning favourite was Authorized in 2007 – so clearly the ‘jolly’ doesn’t always get things their own way in this race. Libertarian caused a major shock when landing the spoils at 33/1 back in 2013 but he is the only last ten years to have gone off bigger than 12/1.
TRAINERS
Of the trainers with runners this afternoon, Sir Michael Stoute has the best record having saddled six winners, his most recent victory coming courtesy of Carlton House in 2011. However, Mark Johnston and John Gosden also have strong records with five winners apiece, so be sure to keep an eye on their runners this afternoon.
JUVENILE FORM
Only a handful of the previous winners had Pattern form as a two-year-old so perhaps proven form at this level is not as important as it once was. However, despite Telecaster winning this race in 2019, he was only the third winner in the last decade who did not run as a two-year-old, which suggests that the later maturing types tend to struggle in this contest.
RECENT FORM
Contesting a Group race as a prep run for this race often pays dividends – a pattern worth bearing in mind when going through this year’s field. It also seems best to side with those arriving in form, with those who had finished in the top three and ran to form last time out favoured by the trends.
KEY TRENDS
Trained by John Gosden Group Form as two-year-old Single figure SPs
CONCLUSION
Aidan O’Brien seems blessed with an endless list of potential Epsom Derby winners and looks to have another potential contender in Bluegrass. John & Thady Gosden have a strong record in this race, so their runner Magisterial must carry a lot of respect and Frankie Dettori will hoping to add another win to his name. Desert Crown is the obvious pick to give Sir Michael Stoute yet another win in the race but punters may remember we thought the same about Highest Ground. The selection is the Yorkshire based Royal Patronage, who looks to have been overlooked by the market!
One Mile, Two Furlongs About 88 Yards (2,000 metres)
See page 77 for conditions of this race.
Distance: 1m 2f Race Type: Group Two Prize Money: £175,000 Age: 3 Stalls: Inside Rail
RACE DESCRIPTION
Another Group 2 and like the Cazoo Derby, the race is restricted to three-year-olds and is known as a Classic ‘trial’. A true test of natural ability, all are set to carry the same weight.
Given up on your own judgement, then look for the red bi plane that denotes the selection of the racecourse tipster, Baron Ferdinand.
If you think you know the winner then place your Epsom bet before the race as the winner’s odds will tumble by 3.37pm, given that ten colts have already done this double.
LAST YEAR’S RACE
Winner: HURRICANE LANE Trainer: Charlie Appleby Jockey: William Buick Age/Weight: 3-9-0 Runners: 10 SP: 5/1 Hurricane Lane caused a bit of a storm in last year’s Dante, turning over strong favourite High Definition and pulling clear with the Gosden-trained Megallan in a close finish.
THE TALE OF THE CLOCK
Race Average Time: 2m 10.58s Racing Post Standard Time: 2m 8.40s
Course Record: 2m 5.29s by Sea The Stars (18-Aug-09)
All times are based where possible on the corresponding race over the last seven years
RACE FACTS & STATISTICS
Leading course trainer (17-22): J & T Gosden (29 wins from 107 runners, 27%) runs MAGISTERIAL Trainer-in-form (last 14 days): Aidan O’Brien (11 wins from 39 runners, 28%) runs BLUEGRASS Fancy That: C & M Johnston won this race in 2017 and 2020. The stable runs ROYAL PATRONAGE today. J & T Gosden won this race in 2015, 2016 and 2018. The stable runs MAGISTERIAL today. Longest Traveller: BLUEGRASS trained by Aidan O’Brien, Ireland.
NOTE: All statistics are up to and including 10th May.
Racecard Last 6 Career Total Winning Winning Runs Career Distance Going Since
No.
Runs Horse 1 614-4 BLUEGRASS Wins Places Runs Winnings Range 1 — 4 8839 8F Range Wins G 3
2 7123-14 DARK MOON RISING 2 2 6 54888 7-8F G-ST 2
3 1- DESERT CROWN 1 — 1 5130 8F S 1
4 21311- EL BODEGON 3 1 5 168659 7-10F HV 1
5 22-14 KINGMAX 1 2 4 3780 8F ST 2
6 41-1 MAGISTERIAL 2 — 3 9720 8-10F GF-S 1
7 15214-2 MASEKELA 2 2 6 31797 6-7F G-S 3
8 21118-8 ROYAL PATRONAGE 3 1 7 119090 7-8F G-GF 3
9 1 WHITE WOLF 1 — 1 3942 8F ST 1
KNAVESMIRE TIP
Desert Crown made a pleasing start to his career when running out a comfortable winner at Nottingham in November and he has been supported for the Derby in recent weeks. Sir Michael Stoute has won this contest six times in the past, but the concern has to be a lack of experience. The vote goes to MAGISTERIAL, who backed up his juvenile victory at Haydock under a penalty at Leicester and the son of Frankel is capable of further progression. El Bodegon and Bluegrass appear best of the remainder.
No Horse Age st-lb (kgs) Draw
1 Bluegrass (IRE) (40)
B c Galileo (IRE) - Quiet Reflection Owner: D.Smith,Mrs J.Magnier,M.Tabor,Westerberg Trainer: Aidan O’Brien, Ireland
9-2 (58.1) (2)
Form: 614-4 Breeder: Coolmore
A winner at 1m on good ground. Finished 6l behind Piz Badile when fourth of 9 at 11-2 in the Group 3 P.W. McGrath Memorial Ballysax Stakes at Leopardstown over 1m 2f (good) last month. His stable have dominated in recent Derby trials, so he has to be respected. Official BHA Rating 98 SP: 11-1
Ryan Moore Anatoliy Komisar
2 Dark Moon Rising (IRE) (27)
B c Night of Thunder (IRE) - Al Nassa (USA)
Owner: Mrs Angie Bailey Trainer: Kevin Ryan, Hambleton
9-2 (58.1) (8)
Form: 0123-14 Breeder: Mr N. Al Habtoor
Successful at 7f and 1m on good ground and on the all-weather. Finished 2 3/4l behind Checkandchallenge when fourth of 6 at 9-4 on his latest outing at Newcastle over 1m last month. A consistent performer who has plenty on his plate. Official BHA Rating 100 SP: 66-1 3 Desert Crown (GB) (190)
B c Nathaniel (IRE) - Desert Berry
Owner: Mr Saeed Suhail Trainer: Sir Michael Stoute, Newmarket
9-2 (58.1) (3)
Form: 1Breeder: Strawberry Fields Stud
A winner at 11-1 at Nottingham over 1m (soft) on his racecourse debut in November last year, beating Schmilsson by 6l. He has been well backed for the Derby over the past couple of weeks and is open to plenty of improvement following a bright start to his career. Official BHA Rating - SP: 9-4 4 El Bodegon (IRE) (201)
B c Kodiac - Al Andalyya (USA)
Owner: NAS Syndicate & A. F. O’Callaghan Trainer: James Ferguson, Newmarket
9-2 (58.1) (7)
Form: 21311- D Breeder: Cecil and Martin McCracken
He has won three times from 7f to 1m 2f on heavy ground. A winner at 10-1 in the Group 1 Prix Criterium de Saint-Cloud at Saint-Cloud over 1m 2f in October last year, beating Stone Age by 1 1/2l. He has to enter calculations with the form of that victory working out well. Official BHA Rating 112 SP: 5-1 5 Kingmax (IRE) (29)
B c Kingman - Baino Hope (FR)
Owner: Amo Racing Limited Trainer: David Loughnane, Tern Hill
9-2 (58.1) (4)
Form: 22-14 Breeder: Sunderland Holding Inc.
A winner at 1m on the all-weather. Finished 6l behind Native Trail when fourth of 6 at 40-1 on his latest outing in the Group 3 Craven Stakes at Newmarket over 1m (good) last month. Shaped well on that occasion and the step up in trip might aid his cause. Official BHA Rating 101 SP: 40-1 6 Magisterial (IRE) (19)
B c Frankel - Hoity Toity
Owner: Mr B. E. Nielsen Trainer: John & Thady Gosden, Newmarket
9-2 (58.1) (6)
Form: 41-1 D Breeder: Bjorn Nielsen
Successful at 1m and 1m 2f on good to firm and soft ground. A winner at 9-4 at Leicester over 1m 2f (good to firm) on his latest outing last month, beating Ruling Dynasty by 1 1/2l. He has stepped forward with each start to date and further progression is likely. Official BHA Rating 99 SP: 10-3 7 Masekela (IRE) (28)
B c El Kabeir (USA) - Lady’s Purse
Owner: Mick and Janice Mariscotti Trainer: Andrew Balding, Kingsclere
9-2 (58.1) (5)
Form: 15214-2 BF Breeder: Coolawn Stud
Successful at 6f and 7f on good and soft ground. Beaten 3 1/2l by Eydon when second of 6 at 2-1fav at Newmarket over 1m 1f last month. That effort was given a boost with the winner acquitting himself well in the 2000 Guineas. The extra furlong is unlikely to be an issue. Official BHA Rating 107 SP: 12-1
Kevin Stott Charlotte Allday
Richard Kingscote Ravinder Parmar
Daniel Muscutt
Rossa Ryan Holly Davis
Frankie Dettori John Dixon
Jason Watson Angela Cheshire
8 Royal Patronage (FR) (12)
B c Wootton Bassett - Shaloushka (IRE)
9-2 (58.1) (1)
Owner: Highclere T’Bred Racing - Woodland Walk Trainer: Charlie & Mark Johnston, Middleham Form: 21110-0 C Breeder: Emma Capon Bloodstock
He has won three times from 7f to 1m on ground varying from good to firm to good to soft. Beaten 7l behind Coroebus at 33-1 when eighth of 15 on his latest outing in the Group 1 Qipco 2000 Guineas at Newmarket over 1m last month. Bred to appreciate going up in distance. Official BHA Rating 112 SP: 12-1
No Horse Age st-lb (kgs) Draw
9 White Wolf (IRE) (17)
B c Invincible Spirit (IRE) - Long Lashes (USA)
Owner: Godolphin Trainer: Saeed bin Suroor, Newmarket
9-2 (58.1) (9)
Form: 1 Breeder: Godolphin
Full brother to Dubai Lady, won at 1m. Won on his racecourse debut when 9-4fav at Southwell over 1m last month, beating Bearaway by 1/2l. Showed a good attitude on that occasion but he will need to improve considerably in a much stronger contest. Official BHA Rating - SP: 25-1
Daniel Tudhope Walter Lynch NUMBER OF DECLARED RUNNERS 9............................................................................................(EXACTA)
PROBABLE S.P.’S
9-4 Desert Crown (GB), 10-3 Magisterial (IRE), 5-1 El Bodegon (IRE), 11-1 Bluegrass (IRE), 12-1 Masekela (IRE), Royal Patronage (FR), 25-1 White Wolf (IRE), 40-1 Kingmax (IRE), 66-1 Dark Moon Rising (IRE)
RESULT & PRIZE MONEY INFORMATION
1st £99242................................................................... 2nd £37625 .................................................................................
3rd £18830.................................................................... 4th £9380...................................................................................
TIME ............................................................................... DISTANCES .......................................................................................
1. Bluegrass, 3. Desert Crown, 4. El Bodegon, 6. Magisterial, 7. Masekela, 8. Royal Patronage and 9. White Wolf all hold an entry in the Cazoo Derby on Saturday 4th June for which supplementary entries can be received by noon on Monday 30th May for a stake of £75,000. 1. Bluegrass, 3. Desert Crown, 4. El Bodegon, 6. Magisterial and 8. Royal Patronage all hold an entry in the King Edward VII Stakes at Royal Ascot on Friday 17th June for which supplementary entries can be received by noon on Saturday 11th June for a stake of £15,000. 5. Kingmax and 9. White Wolf also hold an entry in the St James’s Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot on Tuesday 14th June for which supplementary entries can be received by noon on Wednesday 8th June for a stake of £35,000.
FOURTH RACE PRESENTATION & BEST TURNED OUT
The trophy for this race will be presented to the winning owner after the race by a representative of Al Basti Equiworld Dubai.
Al Basti have generously given £100 and a memento to the racing groom responsible for the best turned out horse in this race.
Official Cars
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The Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dante Stakes
Hurricane Lane - Winner Of Last Year’s Race
Previous Winners - Last Ten Runnings
Trainer Jockey SP Runners Time Going 2021 Hurricane Lane Charlie Appleby William Buick 5/1 10 Ran 2m 10.06s G 2020 Thunderous Mark Johnston Franny Norton 13/2 6 ran 2m 8.62s G/S 2019 Telecaster Hughie Morrison Oisin Murphy 7/1 8 ran 2m 10.24s G/F 2018 Roaring Lion John Gosden Oisin Murphy 3/1F 9 ran 2m 9.79s G/F 2017 Permian Mark Johnston Franny Norton 10/1 10 ran 2m 8.40s G/S 2016 Wings Of Desire John Gosden Frankie Dettori 9/1 12 ran 2m 7.37s G/F 2015 Golden Horn John Gosden William Buick 4/1 7 Ran 2m 8.74s G 2014 The Grey Gatsby Kevin Ryan Ryan Moore 9/1 6 Ran 2m 8.99s G/S 2013 Libertarian Mrs K. Burke William Buick 33/1 8 Ran 2m 10.59s G 2012 Bonfire Andrew Balding Jimmy Fortune 3/1 7 Ran 2m 10.52s G
