Figure 4.31. European Indigenous production The development of alternative local sources of gas should be considered as an option to the increase of gas imports in the substitution of the declining production. In this context, an increase in the volumes injected to the system of either shale gas or gases coming from renewable sources is expected. According to the scenarios covered by the IEA, the development of unconventional gas in the European
Union could be up to 7% of the total indigenous production by 2020, while a large growth could come after this year, with a potential production of 77 bcm by 2035. Nevertheless these figures describe the IEA ‘Golden Rules Case’ in shale gas development; however the IEA ‘Low Unconventional Case’ offers an alternative scenario where there is no development of these sources.
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