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OCT - 17 - 2015 | VOLUME 24 | NUMBER 42
Will MPs Jinny Sims, Nina Grewal and Jasbir Sandhu and former Surrey mayor Dianne Watts be knocked out by a Liberal surge in Surrey? BY RATTAN MALL SO how many political bigwigs in Surrey will bite the dust on Election Day on Monday (October 19) thanks to a Liberal surge. All eyes are on MP Jinny Sims (NDP) in Surrey-Newton, MP Nina Grewal (Conservative) in FleetwoodPort Kells, MP Jasbir Sandhu (NDP) in Surrey Centre and former Surrey mayor Dianne Watts (Conservative) in South Surrey-White Rock. The average of several polls seemed to indicate on Thursday although it’s good to keep in mind that all this could still change by Monday – that among these, the most likely to go down is Jinny Sims. Her Liberal rival, former MP Sukh Dhaliwal, is all set to avenge his defeat by knocking her out this time as he appeared to be far ahead of her in the polls. Conservative candidate Harpreet Singh, according to these polls, is lagging far behind. But again, one never knows. The next bigwig most likely to go down is former Surrey mayor Dianne Watts – who was supposed to be the superstar candidate for the Conservatives – with former Surrey councillor Judy Higginbotham (Liberal) all poised to deliver that knockout punch. The NDP’s Pixie Hobby doesn’t seem to be in contention. The third most likely to tumble is long time MP Nina Grewal (Conser-
FIRST ROW: Jinny Sims (NDP: Surrey-Newton), Dianne Watts (Conservative: South Surrey-White Rock), Nina Grewal (Conservative: Fleetwood-Port Kells) and Jasbir Sandhu (NDP: Surrey Centre). SECOND ROW: Liberal candidates: Sukh Dhaliwal (Surrey-Newton), Judy Higginbotham (South SurreyWhite Rock), Ken Hardie (Fleetwood-Port Kells) and Randeep Sarai (Surrey Centre).
vative) in Fleetwood-Port Kells. Her Liberal rival, Ken Hardie, former broadcaster and senior public affairs manager, seems to be in the lead, while the NDP’s Garry Begg, former Surrey RCMP inspector, is running neck and neck with Grewal. So it will be interesting to see what happens – especially after her husband, former MP Gurmant Grewal, and her son, Liv Grewal, were not allowed to run for the party.
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And it will be tough for Jasbir Sandhu (NDP) in Surrey Centre as the Liberals’ Randeep Sarai, a lawyer, appears to be slightly ahead of him. What is more, Sarai got a big boost on Thursday when former Conservative MP Dona Cadman, wife of the famous Chuck Cadman, endorsed him. The Conservative’s Sucha Thind is a distant third. For the record, The VOICE is NOT endorsing or supporting any party or
candidate. You have to think for yourself and decide who you should vote for. Also, it’s good to remember polls can be terribly misleading at times for a variety of factors. THERE is one important aspect though that I think I should highlight to our readers and that is about who actually turns out to vote. In an article that we posted on our
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website (www.voiceonline.com) on Monday, Frank Graves of EKOS Politics noted: “The election outcome will hinge on who is most engaged around the values issues. The higher the levels of overall engagement, the higher the turnout and the poorer [Prime Minister Stephen] Harper’s prospects. Of great interest is the huge advance turnout which we have been tracking in our polling as well. Interestingly both the Conservatives and Liberals are running neck and neck there and the NDP isn’t doing very well. “We conclude with a final note on the cellphone population. While this may seem like an area of technical obscurantism we think this segment will be critical to the outcome of the election. In the last election we were further off the final result for having included this segment that were less likely to vote and less likely to favour the Conservatives. Those two features are still very much in play this time with the notable difference that the cellphone only population is now at least three times larger and tells us they are much more certain to vote than they told us last time. The cellphone only population contains lots of the younger and educated respondents who tell us they are extremely engaged and motivated by the values war that seems to underlie this election. If they show up Harper loses; if they don’t he wins.”
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