Financial Vanguard

Page 1

APRIL 29, 2013 133.3

-3.9

2,349.00

-10.00

17.33

-0.08

103.17

-0.24

93.06

-0.58

CURRENCY BUYING CENTRAL DOLLAR 154.75 POUNDS 239.3364 EURO 163.8433 FRANC 163.8433 YEN 1.5688 CFA 0.2896 WAUA 232.367 RENMINBI 25.0993 RIYA 41.2634 KRONA 26.9604 SDR 232.7904

155.25 240.1097 164.3727 164.3727 1.5739 0.2996 233.1178 25.1808 41.3967 27.0475 233.5426

SELLING 155.75 240.883 164.9021 164.9021 1.579 0.3096 233.8686 25.2624 41.53 27.1346 234.2947

CBN Exchange rate as at 26/04/2013 By OMOH GABRIEL, just back from Washington

N

IGERIA and five other countries have been named by the World Bank as top recipients of global remittances in 2012. A report released by the bank said; ”The top recipients of officially recorded remittances for 2012 are India $69 billion, China $60 billion, The Philippines $24 billion, Mexico $23 billion, Nigeria and Egypt $21 billion each. Other large recipients include Pakistan, Bangladesh, Vietnam and Lebanon. Remittance flows to developing countries have more than quadrupled since 2000. Global remittances, including those to highincome countries, are estimated to have reached $514 billion in 2012, compared to $132 billion in 2000. Remittance flows to Sub-Saharan Africa have been recovering from the contraction associated with the global financial crisis, but growth has been modest. In 2012, the region is estimated to have received about $31 billion in remittances, only about one per cent increase over 2011. Nigeria is by far the largest recipient of remittances in

*From left; Mr Segun Agbaje, MD, GTBank PLC; Mr Oluwole Odeyemi, outgoing chairman; Mr Egbert Imomoh, incoming chairman and; Mrs Olutola Omotola, Company Secretary at the 23rd GTBank Annual General Meeting in Lagos on Thursday. Photo Lamidi Bamidele.

Foreign remittances to Nigeria hit $21bn the region, accounting for about 67 per cent of the inflows to the region in 2012, followed by Senegal and Kenya. Zero growth in flows to Nigeria in 2012 is partly attributable to the feeble labour market recovery of its major remittance source countries in Europe, the UK in particular. Remittance flows to Nigeria and the rest of the region are expected to grow significantly in the coming years to reach about $39 billion in 2015. The report further said; “As a percentage of GDP, the top recipients of remittances in 2011 were Tajikistan, 47 per cent, Liberia, 31 per cent, Kyrgyz Republic, 29 per cent, Lesotho, 27 per cent, Moldova, 23 per cent, Nepal 22 per cent and Samoa 21

percent.” According to the latest edition of the World Bank’s Migration and Development Brief, “officially recorded remittance flows to developing countries grew by 5.3 per cent to reach an estimated $401 billion in 2012. Remittances to developing countries are expected to grow by an annual average of 8.8 per cent for the next three years and are forecast to reach $515 billion in 2015.” Given that many migrants send money and goods through people or informal channels, the true size of remittances are much larger than these official figures. The East Asia and Pacific region received an estimated $109 billion in remittances in 2012, about $5 billion lower than the estimate we made at the end of 2012, due mainly to a down-

ward revision of inflows to China by the same amount. The first half of 2012 saw a substantial decline in remittances to China, which may be a reflection of fewer funds being channeled through officially recorded remittances into investments such as property, as the government seeks to dampen the overheated real estate market. Nevertheless, remittance inflows to the region were an increase of 2.5 per cent over the 2011 value of $106 billion. Remittances to Eastern Europe and Central Asia are estimated to have declined by 3.9 per cent to about $40 billion in 2012, partly due to the depreciation of the euro against the US

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