UCF Florida Metro Forecast June 2017

Page 83

N aples – I mmokalee – M arco I sland

Annual Outlook for Naples-Immokalee-Marco Island, FL

June 2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

Total Personal Income Pct Chg Year Ago Wages and Salaries Nonwage Income

33.2 6.8 8.6 24.6

35.5 7.1 9.2 26.3

37.8 6.6 9.8 28

40.3 6.4 10.5 29.8

42.7 6.1 11.2 31.5

45.3 6 11.9 33.4

48 6.1 12.6 35.5

50.8 5.8 13.3 37.5

53.7 5.6 14.1 39.6

Real Personal Income (09$) Pct Chg Year Ago

29.3 5.1

30.8 5

32.1 4.3

33.4 4.1

34.7 3.8

35.9 3.6

37.3 3.8

38.6 3.5

39.9 3.3

Per Capita Income (Ths) Real Per Capita Income (09$)

86.5 76.4

90.5 78.4

94.3 80

98.2 81.5

101.9 82.8

105.8 84

109.9 85.4

113.9 86.5

117.8 87.5

Average Annual Wage (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

56.4 4

58.8 4.3

61.2 4

63.9 4.4

66.7 4.4

69.5 4.2

72.2 3.9

75 3.8

77.9 3.9

Personal Income (Billions $)

Establishment Employment (Place of Work, Thousands, SA) Total Employment Pct Chg Year Ago

150.9 3.9

155.6 3.1

159.5 2.6

163.3 2.4

167.1 2.3

170.5 2.1

173.7 1.9

177 1.9

180.3 1.8

Manufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

4.1 1.3

4.2 1.6

4.3 1.5

4.3 0.9

4.3 0.3

4.3 0

4.3 0.2

4.3 0.2

4.3 0.4

Nonmanufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

146.7 4

151.4 3.1

155.3 2.6

159 2.4

162.7 2.3

166.2 2.1

169.4 1.9

172.7 2

175.9 1.9

Construction & Mining Pct Chg Year Ago

17.4 8.1

18.6 6.4

19.3 3.8

20 4

20.9 4.3

21.7 3.9

22.5 3.7

23.2 3

23.6 1.6

Trade, Trans, & Utilities Pct Chg Year Ago

27.4 1.7

27.9 1.8

28.3 1.6

28.8 1.6

29.2 1.5

29.6 1.3

30 1.2

30.4 1.5

30.8 1.4

Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Trans, Wrhsng, & Util

4.3 21.8 2

4.4 22.3 2

4.5 22.7 2

4.7 23.1 2.1

4.8 23.3 2.1

4.9 23.6 2.1

4.9 23.8 2.2

5 24.2 2.2

5.1 24.6 2.2

Information Pct Chg Year Ago

1.6 1.9

1.6 1.5

1.7 2

1.7 1.7

1.7 1.9

1.8 2.2

1.8 2.1

1.8 1.6

1.9 1.6

Financial Activities Pct Chg Year Ago

8.5 4.5

8.7 3.3

9 2.5

9.2 2.5

9.4 2.4

9.6 2.2

9.8 2.1

10 2.1

10.3 2.2

Prof & Business Services Pct Chg Year Ago

17.6 6.8

18.6 5.5

19.2 3.1

19.9 3.6

20.7 4.3

21.6 4.1

22.2 3

23 3.4

23.9 4.3

Educ & Health Services Pct Chg Year Ago

22.4 3.1

23.1 2.9

23.8 3.3

24.5 2.6

25 2.2

25.6 2.4

26.2 2.5

26.9 2.7

27.7 2.8

Leisure & Hospitality Pct Chg Year Ago

28.3 4.4

28.9 2.2

29.5 2.2

30.1 2

30.5 1.2

30.7 0.6

30.9 0.6

31 0.4

31.1 0.4

9.6 3.3

9.8 2

10 1.6

10.2 1.8

10.3 1.2

10.4 0.9

10.5 0.9

10.6 1.4

10.8 1.2

Federal Government Pct Chg Year Ago

0.7 -2.8

0.7 -0.7

0.8 14.8

0.7 -11.7

0.7 1

0.7 1.1

0.7 1.4

0.7 1.1

0.7 0.7

State & Local Government Pct Chg Year Ago

13.1 1.9

13.4 2.3

13.7 2.2

14 1.9

14.3 2

14.5 1.9

14.8 1.6

15 1.5

15.2 1.3

Population (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

383.4 2.4

392.4 2.3

401.2 2.3

410 2.2

418.9 2.2

427.9 2.1

437 2.1

446.2 2.1

455.6 2.1

Labor Force (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

164.5 -1.6

164.1 -0.2

166.3 1.3

170.1 2.2

174.6 2.7

179.1 2.6

182.9 2.1

186.5 1.9

190.4 2.1

Other Services Pct Chg Year Ago

Other Economic Indicators

Unemployment Rate (%) Total Housing Starts Single-Family Multifamily

3.9

3.9

4.1

4.3

4.4

4.6

4.7

4.8

5

5200 2641 2560

5441 2531 2909

5745 2602 3143

6124 2741 3383

6338 2836 3502

6531 2927 3604

6648 3023 3624

6615 2985 3630

6602 2942 3659

Institute for Economic Competitiveness

83


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