UCF Florida Metro Forecast June 2017

Page 51

G aines v ille

Annual Outlook for Gainesville, FL

June 2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

13 5.4 7.5 5.5

13.7 5.3 7.9 5.8

14.4 4.9 8.3 6

15.1 5 8.8 6.3

15.8 4.9 9.2 6.6

16.6 4.8 9.7 6.9

17.4 4.7 10.2 7.2

18.1 4.4 10.6 7.5

18.9 4.2 11.1 7.8

Real Personal Income (09$) Pct Chg Year Ago

11.5 3.8

11.9 3.2

12.2 2.7

12.5 2.7

12.8 2.5

13.2 2.5

13.5 2.4

13.8 2.2

14 1.9

Per Capita Income (Ths) Real Per Capita Income (09$)

45.4 40.1

47.5 41.2

49.6 42.1

51.9 43.1

54.3 44.1

56.7 45

59.2 46

61.6 46.8

64 47.5

Average Annual Wage (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

51.4 4.5

53.6 4.2

55.8 4.1

58.4 4.6

61.1 4.6

63.8 4.5

66.6 4.4

69.3 4.1

72 3.9

Personal Income (Billions $) Total Personal Income Pct Chg Year Ago Wages and Salaries Nonwage Income

Establishment Employment (Place of Work, Thousands, SA) Total Employment Pct Chg Year Ago

146.1 1.3

147.6 1

148.8 0.8

149.7 0.6

150.7 0.7

151.6 0.6

152.2 0.4

152.9 0.5

153.6 0.4

Manufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

4.9 1.1

4.9 1.5

5 1.5

5.1 0.9

5.1 0.8

5.1 0.5

5.1 0.5

5.2 0.5

5.2 0.6

Nonmanufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

141.3 1.3

142.7 1

143.8 0.8

144.6 0.6

145.6 0.7

146.5 0.6

147 0.4

147.7 0.5

148.4 0.4

5.8 5.9

6 4.4

6.2 2.1

6.3 2.3

6.5 2.5

6.6 2.1

6.7 1.7

6.8 1.3

6.8 0.6

Trade, Trans, & Utilities Pct Chg Year Ago

21.2 -0.3

21.1 -0.4

21 -0.6

20.9 -0.5

20.8 -0.5

20.7 -0.6

20.5 -0.8

20.4 -0.4

20.3 -0.5

Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Trans, Wrhsng, & Util

3.1 15.1 3.4

3.1 15.1 3.4

3.1 15 3.4

3.1 15 3.4

3.1 14.8 3.3

3.1 14.7 3.3

3.1 14.6 3.3

3.1 14.5 3.3

3.1 14.4 3.3

Information Pct Chg Year Ago

1.6 0.7

1.6 0.1

1.6 0.6

1.6 0.3

1.6 0.6

1.6 0.9

1.6 0.8

1.6 0.4

1.6 0.4

Financial Activities Pct Chg Year Ago

6.8 1.6

6.9 0.8

6.9 0.2

6.9 0.4

7 0.6

7 0.4

7 0.4

7 0.3

7.1 0.3

Prof & Business Services Pct Chg Year Ago

15.3 4.8

15.9 3.8

16.1 1.5

16.4 2

16.9 2.8

17.4 2.7

17.6 1.6

18 1.9

18.4 2.3

Educ & Health Services Pct Chg Year Ago

25.7 0.8

26 0.9

26.3 1.3

26.5 0.8

26.7 0.6

26.9 0.8

27.1 0.8

27.4 1

27.7 1.1

Leisure & Hospitality Pct Chg Year Ago

16.3 3

16.5 0.9

16.6 0.9

16.8 0.8

16.8 0.2

16.7 -0.4

16.7 -0.5

16.6 -0.6

16.5 -0.6

4.8 2

4.8 0.4

4.8 0

4.8 0.1

4.8 -0.5

4.7 -0.8

4.7 -0.8

4.7 -0.2

4.7 -0.4

Federal Government Pct Chg Year Ago

4.5 -4.4

4.3 -2.4

4.4 1.7

4.2 -3.9

4.2 -0.7

4.2 -0.5

4.2 -0.3

4.2 -0.1

4.2 -0.3

State & Local Government Pct Chg Year Ago

39.3 0.4

39.6 0.8

39.9 0.8

40.1 0.5

40.4 0.7

40.7 0.7

40.8 0.5

41 0.4

41.1 0.2

Population (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

286.9 0.7

288.5 0.6

289.7 0.4

290.7 0.3

291.6 0.3

292.5 0.3

293.4 0.3

294.4 0.3

295.4 0.3

Labor Force (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

145.3 0.9

146.5 0.9

147.8 0.9

148.5 0.5

149 0.3

149.5 0.4

149.6 0.1

149.4 -0.2

149.2 -0.1

Construction & Mining Pct Chg Year Ago

Other Services Pct Chg Year Ago

Other Economic Indicators

Unemployment Rate (%) Total Housing Starts Single-Family Multifamily

3.2

3

3.1

3.2

3.4

3.5

3.7

3.7

3.8

1387 699 687

1459 767 692

1499 768 731

1565 802 763

1597 819 778

1632 838 794

1656 862 794

1618 825 792

1583 786 797

Institute for Economic Competitiveness

51


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