Florida & Metro Forecast - April 2012

Page 83

Ta l l a h a s s e e

Quarterly Outlook for Tallahassee, FL

April 2012

2012Q2 2012Q3 2012Q4 2013Q1 2013Q2 2013Q3 2013Q4 2014Q1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014Q4 2015Q1 2015Q2 2015Q3 2015Q4

Personal Income (Billions $)

Total Personal Income Pct Chg Year Ago Wages and Salaries Nonwage Income

13 2 7.2 5.8

13.1 3.6 7.2 5.9

13.2 3.5 7.3 5.9

13.3 3.5 7.4 6

13.4 3.4 7.4 6

13.5 3.3 7.5 6.1

13.7 3.4 7.6 6.1

13.9 4.1 7.7 6.2

14 4.4 7.7 6.3

14.2 4.6 7.8 6.3

14.3 4.6 7.9 6.4

14.5 4.4 8 6.5

14.6 4.3 8.1 6.5

14.8 4.3 8.2 6.6

14.9 4.4 8.3 6.7

Real Personal Income (05$) Pct Chg Year Ago

11.3 0.7

11.3 2.4

11.4 2.1

11.4 2

11.5 1.9

11.5 1.9

11.6 2

11.7 2.6

11.8 2.6

11.9 2.9

11.9 2.9

12 2.7

12.1 2.7

12.2 2.6

12.3 2.7

Per Capita Income (Ths.) Real Per Capita Income (05$)

34.5 30

34.7 30

34.9 30.1

35.1 30.1

35.3 30.2

35.5 30.2

35.7 30.3

36.1 30.5

36.3 30.6

36.6 30.7

36.8 30.8

37.2 30.9

37.4 31

37.6 31

37.9 31.1

Average Annual Wage (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

42 2.2

42.3 2.7

42.6 2.6

42.8 2.8

43.1 2.8

43.4 2.7

43.7 2.8

44.1 2.8

44.4 3

44.8 3.1

45.1 3.1

45.4 3.1

45.8 3.1

46.2 3.1

46.5 3.1

Establishment Employment (Place of Work, Thousands, SA)

Total Employment Pct Chg Year Ago

169.5 -0.4

169.7 0.7

170.3 0.5

170.7 0.8

171.2 1

171.7 1.2

172.3 1.2

172.9 1.3

173.5 1.4

174 1.4

174.7 1.4

175.4 1.4

176.1 1.5

176.8 1.6

177.5 1.6

Manufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

3.8 0.8

3.8 3.3

3.8 2.9

3.8 2.7

3.9 2.7

3.9 2.8

3.9 2.5

3.9 2.4

4 2.1

4 2.3

4 2.4

4 2.2

4 2.1

4.1 1.8

4.1 1.6

Nonmanufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

165.8 -0.4

165.9 0.7

166.5 0.4

166.9 0.8

167.3 0.9

167.8 1.1

168.4 1.2

169 1.3

169.6 1.3

170.1 1.3

170.7 1.4

171.4 1.4

172 1.5

172.7 1.6

173.4 1.6

Construction & Mining Pct Chg Year Ago

6.3 -1.2

6.3 -0.2

6.3 -2.6

6.3 -0.8

6.4 1

6.5 3.4

6.7 6.5

6.9 9.5

7.2 11.6

7.4 13.2

7.7 14.5

8 14.7

8.2 14.6

8.4 14.1

8.7 12.8

Trade, Trans, & Utilities Pct Chg Year Ago

22.5 -2.7

22.6 -2.6

22.8 2

22.9 1.8

22.9 1.9

23 1.8

23.1 1.3

23.1 1

23.1 0.7

23.1 0.4

23.2 0.4

23.3 0.7

23.3 1

23.4 1.3

23.6 1.5

Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Trans, Wrhsng, & Util

3.4 17.1 2

3.4 17.1 2

3.4 17.3 2

3.4 17.3 2

3.4 17.4 2

3.5 17.4 2.1

3.5 17.4 2.1

3.5 17.4 2.1

3.5 17.4 2.1

3.5 17.4 2.1

3.5 17.4 2.1

3.6 17.4 2.1

3.6 17.4 2.2

3.6 17.5 2.2

3.7 17.5 2.2

Information Pct Chg Year Ago

3 0.8

3 2

3 -0.4

3 0.6

3.1 2.5

3.1 4.5

3.1 4.4

3.1 3.4

3.1 1.1

3.1 -0.5

3.1 -0.2

3.2 1.4

3.2 2.5

3.2 3.1

3.2 3.1

Financial Activities Pct Chg Year Ago

7 0.3

7 1.6

7.1 1

7.1 1.1

7.1 1.3

7.1 1.2

7.1 1

7.1 0.4

7.1 0.2

7.1 0.1

7.1 0

7.1 -0.1

7.1 0.1

7.1 0.2

7.1 0

Prof & Business Services Pct Chg Year Ago

18 2.3

18.1 3.1

18.3 2.1

18.5 3.2

18.6 3.2

18.8 3.7

19 4

19.2 4.2

19.5 4.9

19.8 5.6

20.1 5.8

20.3 5.8

20.6 5.6

20.9 5.5

21.2 5.5

Educ & Health Services Pct Chg Year Ago

20.4 1.5

20.5 1.9

20.6 1.2

20.6 1.2

20.7 1.1

20.7 0.8

20.7 0.7

20.9 1.3

20.9 1.2

21 1.3

21 1.5

21.1 0.9

21.1 0.9

21.2 1.1

21.2 1

Leisure & Hospitality Pct Chg Year Ago

16.5 0.1

16.7 1.3

16.8 2.8

16.8 2.2

16.8 1.7

16.8 0.8

16.8 0.4

16.8 0.1

16.8 -0.4

16.7 -0.7

16.6 -1.2

16.6 -1.3

16.5 -1.3

16.5 -1.2

16.4 -1.1

Other Services Pct Chg Year Ago

10.2 1

10.2 2.4

10.3 1.6

10.3 1.7

10.3 1.6

10.4 1.3

10.4 1.1

10.4 0.8

10.4 0.9

10.4 0.7

10.4 0.2

10.4 0

10.4 -0.2

10.4 -0.3

10.4 -0.2

1.9 1.4

1.9 -0.8

1.9 -4.1

1.8 -3.4

1.8 -2.6

1.8 -2.7

1.8 -2.8

1.8 -2.7

1.8 -2.6

1.8 -2.5

1.8 -2.3

1.8 -2.1

1.8 -1.8

1.7 -1.5

1.7 -1.2

59.8 -1.4

59.6 0.4

59.5 -1.3

59.5 -0.8

59.5 -0.5

59.5 -0.1

59.6 0.1

59.5 0.1

59.6 0.2

59.6 0.1

59.6 0.1

59.7 0.3

59.7 0.2

59.7 0.3

59.8 0.3

Gross Metro Product (00$ Mil)

13104

13104

13153

13197

13261

13328

13415

13498

13583

13665

13764

13850

13932

14018

14099

Population (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

376.4 1.1

377.5 1.1

378.7 1.2

379.8 1.1

380.8 1.2

382 1.2

383.2 1.2

384.5 1.2

385.7 1.3

387 1.3

388.3 1.3

389.8 1.4

391.3 1.5

392.9 1.5

394.5 1.6

194 -0.3

194.1 0.6

194.2 0.5

194.4 0.5

194.6 0.3

194.7 0.3

195 0.4

194.9 0.3

195 0.2

195.2 0.2

195.4 0.2

195.5 0.3

195.7 0.4

196 0.4

196.1 0.3

Federal Government Pct Chg Year Ago State & Local Government Pct Chg Year Ago

Other Economic Indicators

Labor Force (Ths) Percent Change, Year Ago Unemployment Rate (%)

7.5

7.4

7.4

7.3

7.3

7.2

7.1

7

6.9

6.8

6.7

6.6

6.5

6.4

6.3

Total Housing Starts Single-Family Multifamily

885 675 210

905 687 219

956 703 253

1050 764 286

1194 871 323

1410 1036 373

1563 1141 422

1709 1238 471

1881 1365 516

2069 1503 566

2212 1592 620

2343 1669 674

2453 1748 705

2537 1804 733

2581 1823 757

Institute for Economic Competitiveness

83


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