Florida & Metro Economic Forecast October 2017 Irma Issue (Updated)

Page 38

D E LT O N A – D AY T O N A B E A C H – O R M O N D B E A C H

Quarterly Outlook for Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL October 2017 Irma 2017Q3

2017Q4

2018Q1

2018Q2

2018Q3

2018Q4

2019Q1

2019Q2

2019Q3

2019Q4

2020Q1

2020Q2

2020Q3

Total Personal Income Pct Chg Year Ago Wages and Salaries Nonwage Income Real Personal Income (09$) Pct Chg Year Ago

25.9 2.6 8.4 17.5 23.2 0.9

26 3.2 8.5 17.6 23.3 1.7

26.4 3.4 8.6 17.8 23.5 2

26.8 4.4 8.8 18 23.7 2.9

27.2 5.2 8.9 18.3 24 3.5

27.7 6.4 9 18.7 24.3 4.6

28.2 6.8 9.2 19 24.7 4.9

28.7 7.2 9.3 19.4 25 5.2

29.2 7.5 9.4 19.8 25.3 5.4

29.7 7.3 9.6 20.1 25.6 5.2

30.2 7.2 9.7 20.5 25.9 4.9

30.7 6.9 9.8 20.9 26.1 4.7

31.2 6.6 10 21.2 26.4 4.3

Per Capita Income (Ths) Real Per Capita Income (09$) Average Annual Wage (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

39.7 35.6 41.6 0.1

39.8 35.5 41.7 1.8

40.2 35.8 42.2 2.7

40.6 36 42.6 3

41.1 36.3 43 3.5

41.7 36.6 43.5 4.3

42.3 37 44 4.2

42.9 37.3 44.4 4.3

43.5 37.6 44.9 4.4

44 37.9 45.4 4.3

44.6 38.2 45.9 4.4

45.2 38.4 46.3 4.2

45.7 38.6 46.8 4.2

Personal Income (Billions $)

Establishment Employment (Place of Work, Thousands, SA) Total Employment Pct Chg Year Ago Manufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

200.6 0.8 11.3 -2.7

201.3 1.3 11.3 -2.3

203.2 1.2 11.3 -2.3

204.6 2.4 11.3 0.1

205.5 2.5 11.3 0.5

206.5 2.6 11.3 0.4

207.6 2.2 11.4 0.6

208.4 1.9 11.4 0.8

209 1.7 11.5 1.5

209.8 1.6 11.6 2.4

210.5 1.4 11.7 2.5

211.5 1.5 11.7 2.3

212.2 1.5 11.7 2

Nonmanufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

189.3 1

190.1 1.5

191.9 1.4

193.2 2.6

194.2 2.6

195.2 2.7

196.2 2.2

197 1.9

197.5 1.7

198.2 1.6

198.8 1.3

199.8 1.4

200.5 1.5

Construction & Mining Pct Chg Year Ago Trade, Trans, & Utilities Pct Chg Year Ago

13.2 7.7 38.5 3

13.8 10.7 38.6 1.6

13.8 7.3 38.6 0.2

13.9 6.9 38.6 0.2

14.1 6.8 38.6 0.4

14.4 4.4 38.7 0.2

14.7 6.4 38.8 0.4

14.9 7.1 38.8 0.4

15.2 7.3 38.7 0.2

15.4 6.9 38.7 -0.1

15.5 5.7 38.7 -0.2

15.7 5.2 38.7 -0.3

15.8 4.5 38.7 0

Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Trans, Wrhsng, & Util

5.2 30.7 2.5

5.2 30.9 2.5

5.2 30.7 2.5

5.2 30.4 2.5

5.3 30.2 2.5

5.3 30.2 2.5

5.3 30.3 2.5

5.4 30.2 2.5

5.4 30.1 2.5

5.4 30 2.5

5.4 30.1 2.5

5.5 30.1 2.5

5.5 30.1 2.5

Information Pct Chg Year Ago Financial Activities Pct Chg Year Ago

2.5 -0.6 8.7 -0.8

2.5 0.4 8.6 -1.2

2.4 -2.2 8.8 0.5

2.4 -2.7 9 3.3

2.5 -2.2 9.1 4.9

2.5 -1.2 9.1 5.9

2.5 1.7 9.2 4

2.5 2 9.2 2.6

2.5 0.7 9.3 2.3

2.5 0.9 9.3 2.2

2.5 1.8 9.4 2.1

2.5 2.4 9.4 2

2.5 2.7 9.5 2

Prof & Business Services Pct Chg Year Ago Educ & Health Services Pct Chg Year Ago Leisure & Hospitality Pct Chg Year Ago

24.2 0 39.6 2.4 29.8 -4.7

24.2 0.3 39.8 3.6 29.3 -3.7

24.7 2.3 39.9 1.9 30.3 -0.2

25.3 4.4 40 3 30.6 2.9

25.7 6.4 40.2 1.5 30.7 3.1

26.2 8.3 40.2 1 30.7 4.7

26.8 8.9 40.2 0.7 30.6 1.2

27.3 7.9 40.3 0.7 30.5 -0.2

27.5 7 40.4 0.5 30.5 -0.7

27.7 5.7 40.5 0.8 30.5 -0.6

27.8 3.5 40.7 1.2 30.6 -0.2

27.9 2.5 40.9 1.6 30.6 0.3

28.2 2.4 41.2 2 30.7 0.9

9.2 3.5 1.5 5.8

9.3 3.3 1.5 9

9.4 2.1 1.5 7.6

9.4 2.2 1.5 3.4

9.4 2.1 1.4 -1

9.4 1.4 1.4 -3.6

9.4 1 1.4 -7.5

9.4 0.7 1.4 -3.8

9.4 0.5 1.4 0

9.4 0.2 1.5 2.6

9.5 0.2 1.4 4.1

9.5 0.1 1.8 24.2

9.5 0.1 1.6 9.6

22.3 0.4

22.4 1.1

22.5 0.6

22.5 1.4

22.5 0.9

22.5 0.6

22.5 0.4

22.6 0.5

22.6 0.7

22.7 0.8

22.7 0.9

22.8 0.8

22.8 0.7

Population (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

652.1 1.7

654.6 1.6

656.8 1.5

659.3 1.5

661.9 1.5

664.5 1.5

667.1 1.6

669.6 1.6

672.2 1.6

674.8 1.6

677.4 1.5

680 1.5

682.6 1.5

Labor Force (Ths) Percent Change, Year Ago Unemployment Rate (%)

295.7 1.3 4.4

296.2 0.8 4.4

296.8 0 4.6

297.5 0.3 4.8

298.3 0.9 4.9

299.4 1.1 4.8

300.6 1.3 4.7

301.9 1.5 4.8

303.5 1.7 4.8

305.1 1.9 4.9

306.9 2.1 4.9

308.6 2.2 4.8

310.2 2.2 4.8

Total Housing Starts Single-Family Multifamily

2040 1913 127

2887 2460 427

3819 3023 796

4402 3328 1074

4854 3670 1184

5065 3807 1258

5296 3942 1354

5575 4117 1458

5662 4164 1499

5737 4218 1520

5830 4258 1572

5882 4315 1567

5974 4381 1593

Other Services Pct Chg Year Ago Federal Government Pct Chg Year Ago State & Local Government Pct Chg Year Ago

Other Economic Indicators

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Florida & Metro Forecast / October 2017


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