Florida & Metro Forecast June 2015

Page 113

P ensacola – F erry P ass – B rent

Quarterly Outlook for Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL

June 2015

2015Q1 2015Q2 2015Q3 2015Q4 2016Q1 2016Q2 2016Q3 2016Q4 2017Q1 2017Q2 2017Q3 2017Q4 2018Q1 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q4

Personal Income (Billions $)

Total Personal Income Pct Chg Year Ago Wages and Salaries Nonwage Income

18.9 4 7.8 11.1

19.1 3.5 7.9 11.2

19.3 3.5 8 11.2

19.4 3.5 8.1 11.3

19.6 3.6 8.2 11.4

19.8 3.7 8.3 11.5

20 4.1 8.4 11.6

20.3 4.6 8.5 11.8

20.6 5 8.6 12

20.9 5.2 8.7 12.2

21.1 5.3 8.8 12.3

21.4 5.1 8.9 12.5

21.6 5 9 12.7

21.9 5.1 9.1 12.9

22.2 5.1 9.2 13

22.4 5 9.2 13.2

Real Personal Income (09$) Pct Chg Year Ago

17.5 3.7

17.6 3.5

17.6 3.5

17.7 3.1

17.9 2.4

18 2.2

18.1 2.4

18.2 2.6

18.4 2.9

18.5 3.2

18.7 3.3

18.8 3.2

18.9 2.9

19.1 3

19.2 3

19.3 3

Per Capita Income (Ths) Real Per Capita Income (09$)

39.7 36.6

40 36.7

40.2 36.8

40.4 36.9

40.8 37.1

41.1 37.2

41.5 37.4

41.9 37.6

42.5 37.9

42.9 38.1

43.3 38.3

43.7 38.5

44.2 38.7

44.7 39

45.2 39.2

45.6 39.3

Average Annual Wage (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

43 0.9

43.3 1.6

43.6 2.4

44 2.8

44.4 3.3

44.8 3.4

45.1 3.4

45.5 3.5

45.9 3.5

46.3 3.5

46.7 3.5

47.1 3.5

47.6 3.6

48 3.7

48.5 3.8

48.9 3.8

Establishment Employment (Place of Work, Thousands, SA) Total Employment Pct Chg Year Ago

166.9 3.1

167.8 2.5

168.6 2.4

169.1 1.9

169.6 1.6

170.1 1.4

170.7 1.3

171.2 1.2

171.7 1.2

172.2 1.2

172.7 1.1

173 1.1

173.1 0.8

173.4 0.7

173.6 0.6

173.7 0.4

Manufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

6.1 3

6.1 2.5

6.1 1.2

6.1 0.9

6.1 -0.1

6.1 -0.3

6.1 -0.1

6.1 -0.4

6.1 -0.1

6.1 0

6.1 -0.1

6.1 -0.1

6.1 -0.3

6.1 -0.4

6.1 -0.5

6.1 -0.5

Nonmanufacturing Pct Chg Year Ago

160.8 3.1

161.7 2.5

162.4 2.5

162.9 2

163.5 1.7

164 1.4

164.6 1.3

165.1 1.3

165.6 1.3

166.1 1.3

166.5 1.2

166.9 1.1

167 0.9

167.3 0.7

167.6 0.6

167.7 0.5

9.8 5

9.8 3.7

10 3.9

10.1 6.6

10.3 5.8

10.6 7.6

10.8 8.8

11.1 9.9

11.4 10.2

11.6 10

11.8 9.1

12 7.8

12.2 6.8

12.3 6.1

12.5 5.4

12.5 4.5

Trade, Trans, & Utilities Pct Chg Year Ago

31.8 3.4

32.1 3

32.3 3.6

32.3 2.8

32.2 1.2

32.2 0.4

32.2 -0.3

32.1 -0.6

32.1 -0.5

32.1 -0.3

32.2 0

32.2 0.2

32.1 0.2

32.1 -0.1

32 -0.5

32 -0.7

Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Trans, Wrhsng, & Util

5 22.7 4.1

5.1 22.9 4.1

5.1 23 4.2

5.1 22.9 4.2

5.2 22.8 4.2

5.2 22.8 4.2

5.2 22.7 4.3

5.2 22.6 4.3

5.2 22.5 4.3

5.3 22.5 4.3

5.3 22.5 4.4

5.3 22.4 4.4

5.3 22.3 4.4

5.4 22.2 4.4

5.4 22.1 4.4

5.4 22 4.4

Information Pct Chg Year Ago

2.2 -6

2.2 -3.5

2.2 -1.7

2.2 1.5

2.2 0.8

2.2 -0.1

2.2 -0.3

2.2 -0.8

2.3 1.8

2.3 2.5

2.3 2

2.3 1.8

2.3 0

2.3 -0.8

2.2 -0.5

2.2 -0.6

Financial Activities Pct Chg Year Ago

11 5.3

11.1 4.9

11.2 3

11.2 2.1

11.2 1.3

11.1 0.4

11.1 -0.4

11.1 -0.7

11 -1.1

11 -1.2

11 -1.4

10.9 -1.5

10.9 -1.6

10.8 -1.6

10.8 -1.6

10.7 -1.6

Prof & Business Services Pct Chg Year Ago

22 3.3

22.3 2.7

22.5 3.7

22.9 4

23.3 5.5

23.6 5.6

23.9 6

24.1 5.4

24.4 4.8

24.5 4.1

24.6 3.2

24.7 2.3

24.8 1.5

24.8 1.2

24.9 1.1

24.9 0.8

Educ & Health Services Pct Chg Year Ago

27.4 3.5

27.5 3.2

27.6 2.3

27.6 1.1

27.7 1

27.8 1.1

28 1.2

28 1.6

28 1.2

28 0.7

28.1 0.4

28.1 0.4

28.1 0.4

28.2 0.4

28.2 0.5

28.3 0.5

Leisure & Hospitality Pct Chg Year Ago

22.8 6.5

22.9 4.2

23 4.7

23 3.2

23 1

23 0.3

23 0

23 -0.1

23 0

23.1 0.5

23.2 1

23.3 1.4

23.3 1.4

23.4 1.4

23.5 1.2

23.5 1

Other Services Pct Chg Year Ago

6 -0.5

6 -0.8

6.1 -0.8

6.1 -0.8

6.1 1.1

6.1 0.7

6.1 0.4

6.1 0.2

6.1 -0.1

6 -0.4

6 -0.5

6 -0.5

6 -0.3

6 -0.1

6 0.1

6.1 0.2

Federal Government Pct Chg Year Ago

6.4 -1.4

6.4 -0.6

6.4 -1.5

6.3 -3.6

6.3 -2

6.3 -2.6

6.2 -2.5

6.2 -2.5

6.2 -2.3

6.1 -2.1

6.1 -2.2

6 -2.2

6 -2.4

6 -2.4

5.9 -2.3

5.9 -2.3

State & Local Government Pct Chg Year Ago

21.3 0.2

21.3 -0.2

21.3 -0.9

21.2 -1

21.2 -0.5

21.2 -0.7

21.2 -0.6

21.2 -0.3

21.2 0

21.2 0.3

21.3 0.6

21.3 0.8

21.4 0.8

21.4 0.8

21.5 0.9

21.5 0.9

Population (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

477.3 1

478.4 0.9

479.4 0.9

480.4 0.9

481.5 0.9

482.5 0.8

483.5 0.9

484.4 0.8

485.4 0.8

486.3 0.8

487.3 0.8

488.2 0.8

489.2 0.8

490.1 0.8

491 0.8

491.9 0.8

Labor Force (Ths) Pct Chg Year Ago

214.9 0.3

217 0.9

218.9 1.7

220.5 1.9

222 3.3

223.4 2.9

224.9 2.7

226.2 2.6

227.4 2.4

228.6 2.3

229.9 2.2

230.9 2.1

231.8 2

232.8 1.8

233.7 1.7

234.5 1.5

Construction & Mining Pct Chg Year Ago

Other Economic Indicators

Unemployment Rate (%) Total Housing Starts Single-Family Multifamily

5.5

5.3

5.2

5.2

5

4.9

4.8

4.7

4.6

4.7

4.7

4.8

4.8

4.9

4.9

5

2926 2017 909

2659 1969 690

2748 2011 737

2692 1952 741

2584 1883 700

2368 1791 577

2176 1734 442

2149 1783 366

2113 1822 291

2139 1846 293

2156 1859 296

2165 1866 299

2191 1895 296

2221 1927 294

2231 1928 303

2225 1918 307

Institute for Economic Competitiveness

113


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