Market Watch October, 2019

Page 1

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October 2019

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Economic Indicators GTA REALTORS® Release October 2019 Stats Real GDP Growth

Q2

i

2019

3.7%

Toronto Employment Growth ii

September

2019

2019

5.8%

Inflation Rate (Yr./Yr. CPI Growth) ii

September

2019

--

1.9%

Bank of Canada Overnight Rate iii

October

“A strong regional economy obviously fuels population growth. All of these new households need a place to live and many have the goal of purchasing a home. The problem is that the supply of available listings is actually dropping, resulting in tighter market conditions and accelerating price growth,” said Mr. Collins. The trend of annual growth in sales versus annual decline in new listings continued in October 2019, with new listings down by 9.6 per cent compared to October 2018. The resulting tighter market conditions compared to a year ago resulted in positive annual rates of price growth across all major market segments, from a GTA-wide perspective.

2019

--

1.75%

2019

--

3.95% year-over-year basis in October 2019 – the strongest annual rate of growth since

8,491

7,448

October 2019

October 2018

TREB MLS® Average Price 1,7

The MLS® Home Price Index Composite Benchmark was up by 5.8 per cent on a

Prime Rate iv

October

TORONTO, November 5, 2019 – Toronto Real Estate Board President Michael Collins announced that Greater Toronto Area REALTORS® reported 8,491 residential sales through TREB’s MLS® System in October 2019. This result represented a 14 per cent increase compared to 7,448 sales reported in October 2018. GTA-wide, sales were up on a year-over-year basis for all major home types.

5.0%

Toronto Unemployment Rate

September

TREB MLS® Sales Activity 1,7

December 2017. The average selling price for all home types combined was up by 5.5 per cent to $852,142, compared to $807,538 in October 2018.

----

3.64% 3.94% 5.19%

Sources and Notes: i - Statistics Canada, Quarter-over-quarter growth, annualized ii - Statistics Canada, Year-over-year growth for the most recently reported month iii - Bank of Canada, Rate from most recent Bank of Canada announcement iv - Bank of Canada, Rates for most recently completed month

“As market conditions in the GTA have steadily tightened throughout 2019, we have seen an acceleration in the annual rate of price growth. While the current pace of price growth remains moderate, we will likely see stronger price growth moving forward if sales growth continues to outpace listings growth, leading to more competition between home buyers,” said Jason Mercer, TREB’s Chief Market Analyst. 1,7

Sales & Average Price By Major Home Type October 2019 Metrics Sales Average Price 2019 Detached Semi - Detached Townhouse Condo Apartment

416

905

Total

416

905

Total

1,034 322 340 1,575

2,926 491 1,055 644

3,960 813 1,395 2,219

$1,323,015 $1,099,802 $795,115 $662,631

$952,574 $690,599 $638,672 $506,846

$1,049,300 $852,669 $676,802 $617,419

1.1% 7.1% 3.5% 9.6%

4.2% 4.7% 2.7% 10.0%

3.0% 4.2% 3.1% 9.6%

Year-Over-Year Per Cent Change Detached Semi - Detached Townhouse Condo Apartment

Detached 18.3% 20.1% 19.6% Semi - 12.4% Detached 5.9% -2.7% Townhouse 25.5% 20.0% 21.3% 4.4%Condo Apartment 6.6% 5.1%

$807,538

11 Year Year 33 Year Year 55 Year Year

$852,142

Mortgage October 2019 2019 Month RatesOctober

October 2019

October 2018

Year-Over-Year Summary Sales New Listings Active Listings Average Price Average DOM

1,7

2019

2018

% Chg.

8,491 13,050 15,375 $852,142 23

7,448 14,435 18,926 $807,538 24

14.0% -9.6% -18.8% 5.5% -4.2%


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