THE
VOLUME LXXX, ISSUE 36
INDEPENDENT
STUDENT
N E W S PA P E R
OF
TUFTS
UNIVERSITY
E S T. 1 9 8 0
T HE T UFTS DAILY
MEDFORD/SOMERVILLE, MASS.
tuftsdaily.com
Thursday, November 5, 2020
Professor Brian Schaffner’s seminar class polls 2020 election in new study
NICOLE GARAY / THE TUFTS DAILY
A lawn sign in support of former Vice President Joe Biden and Senator Kamala Harris is pictured in Somerville, Mass. on Oct. 25. by Sam Klugherz
Assistant News Editor
Tufts undergraduate students conducted a nationally representative survey of American adults for the presidential election as part of Professor Brian Schaffner’s “Polling the 2020 Election”
seminar. The poll was fielded online with a sample provided by Lucid, a company that provides samples to online survey firms. The poll found that former Vice President Joe Biden led President Donald Trump 52% to 45% in the national survey of likely voters.
Schaffner, a professor of civic studies, highlighted one important finding from the survey, which has been evident in other polls throughout the election cycle. “Almost one out of 10 people who voted for Trump in 2016 are not supporting him this year,” Schaffner said. “Given
how narrowly he won the election, that’s a pretty big deal.” Schaffner added that Biden is also preferred to Trump among voters who did not cast a ballot in 2016, and among voters who voted for a third-party candidate in 2016. “A big part of the story is that Biden has held on to
most of the Clinton voters, but Trump hasn’t really held on to as many of his own supporters,” Schaffner said. “And those people who are coming back to the polls or who are voting for the first time are overwhelmingly favoring Biden.” see POLLS, page 2
2020 election cycle sees increase in early votes cast by youth, surpasses 2016 margin by Coco Arcand
Contributing Writer
The Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning & Engagement (CIRCLE) released a study on Oct. 30 that recorded the number of young people using early voting to cast their ballots in 14 states that are key to the 2020 presidential election. Rey Junco, a senior researcher at CIRCLE,
described some of the organization’s goals for the study. “One of [CIRCLE’s] values is focusing on youth who are typically underrepresented in political and civic processes. So we are really interested in promoting diverse voices and promoting equal and just outcomes,” he said. The 14 states in the study have been ranked by CIRCLE’s Youth Electoral Significance
Index ( YESI), which takes into account predicted electoral competitiveness and past youth voter engagement, among other factors, to determine young voters’ possible impact. Junco described CIRCLE’s findings and explained how the pandemic has caused a large number of youth voters to vote earlier. “There has been a phenomenal increase in early
votes cast by young people. Of course, there is the issue of the coronavirus right now and that is an impetus for people engaging in early voting,” Junco said. “Young people have now realized, ‘I can do early voting’ and they might take more advantage of that in the future.” The study also indicated that youth civic engagement initiatives have encouraged
OPINION / page 7
FEATURES / page 3
SPORTS / back
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a rise in youth voter participation. Young people have attended marches, helped peers and family register to vote and integrated more political discussion into their everyday lives. The major increase in youth early voting participation in the key states has already surpassed the same margin in the see CYCLE, page 2 NEWS
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