12212016 business

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WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 21, 2016

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Bahamas receives ‘junk’ Xmas present from S&P By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

Standard & Poor’s (S&P) yesterday gave the Bahamas a ‘junk’ creditworthiness downgrade for Christmas, raising alarm that this nation’s economic and fiscal woes are taking it “over the precipice”. S&P’s action, based on the Bahamas’ weaker economic growth and slower fiscal consolidation pace, means that this nation has lost its all-important ‘investment grade’ status with one of the world’s leading credit rating agencies.

The ‘one notch’ drop, from ‘BBB-/A3’ to ‘BB+B’, will immediately send a negative message to the world’s capital markets, and investors in both Bahamian government debt and this nation’s economy, potentially impacting every Bahamian. An S&P spokesman, in an email to Tribune Business, confirmed that the rating agency had effectively cut the Bahamas’ creditworthiness to ‘junk’ status. Explaining what its action meant, he said: “The rating of BBB- is considered the lowest rating in ‘investment grade’, so the rating of BB+ (which is one

notch below that) would be the highest rating in the ‘speculative grade’ category (which many in the market call ‘junk’ per your question, although we don’t use that term).” S&P, in a report obtained by Tribune Business, justified the ‘junk’ downgrade on the basis that it is now projecting the Bahamian economy will only grow by 0.3 per cent this year, down from its 1.2 per cent estimate in April. The rating agency added that lower GDP/economic growth would also negatively impact the Government’s tax revenues See pg b6

Nation loses treasured ‘investment grade’ status Weaker growth, fiscal progress cited as rationale Loretta: ‘We’re obviously over the precipice’ Chamber chief: ‘It’s a real wake-up call’

Govt slams S&P for ignoring Business confidence ‘appalling’, says ex-Tax Coalition chief $1bn Baha Mar impact By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net The Government last night slammed Standard & Poor’s (S&P) decision to cut the Bahamas’ creditworthiness to ‘junk’ status, arguing that it had failed to “fully consider” growth-enhancing initiatives such as $1 billion in upcoming capital investments at Baha Mar. In a predictable response, the Christie administration accused the credit rating agency of failing to give “appropriate weight” to developments and initiatives already underway to boost job creation and economic activity in the Bahamas. Its statement, though, did not identify any of these initiatives by name other than the restart at Cable Beach and, when broken down, is effectively saying that all the Bahamas’ ‘eggs’ remain very much in the Baha Mar basket. And it sought to downplay the loss of the Bahamas’ investment grade credit rating, pointing to countries such as Portugal, Russia, Bulgaria and Indonesia, which all have the same ‘BB+’ speculative or junk - credit rating.

Agency did not give ‘sufficient weight’ to growth plan But response shows everything hinges on Baha Mar Long on promises, but very few specifics Expressing its disappointment with the credit rating agency, the Christie administration said: “The Government.... is of the view that S&P’s decision does not give appropriate weight to important developments on the ground, nor the Bahamas’ strong commitment to address its economic and fiscal challenges.” Its statement, though, gave few specifics and details, and S&P will likely want to see ‘more action, less talk’ from the Government before reversing a trend that has seen the Bahamas suffer continual credit See pg b4

Chamber chief urges: ‘Stop finger pointing’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net The Chamber’s chief executive yesterday urged Bahamians to “stop finger pointing” and instead develop “workable solutions” to this nation’s economic and fiscal woes, in the wake of Standard & Poor’s (S&P) ‘junk’ downgrade. Edison Sumner told Tribune Business that Bahamians had traditionally been quick to blame and identify problems, but often came up sort on identifying and implementing solutions to solve such difficulties. “I cannot stress enough the importance of everyone working together; not necessarily finger pointing - we’ve done that very well,” Mr Sumner said in the wake of S&P dropping the Bahamas’ ‘investment grade’ credit rating. “The hard work is not in the finger pointing; the hard work is in identifying the solutions and implementing them. “We’ve done very well in identifying the problem, telling the Government collectively what it’s done wrong. The Chamber today seeks to not only identify challenges and problems, but to identify very workable solutions to those problems. That’s the path we’re on.” S&P’s move to downgrade the Bahamas’ sovereign creditworthiness from ‘BBB-/A3’ to ‘BB+/B’ has

Workable solutions needed after S&P downgrade Hoping political parties will adopt its position S&P sets great store by political continuity dropped this nation’s status to ‘speculative’ or ‘junk’, and represents another warning on its need to urgently alter course with economic and fiscal reforms. Mr Sumner, meanwhile, told Tribune Business that the Chamber was “formulating a position paper” now on what it perceives as essential business and economic reforms. This will be presented to “the entire political directorate”, Opposition parties as well as the Government, in the hope that some - if not all - of the proposals make their way into campaign manifestos for the upcoming 2017 general election. “We expect they will take the Chamber’s position seriously and into account,” Mr Sumner said. Political stability and continuity, regardless of who wins the upcoming election, factored heavily into S&P’s analysis of the Bahamas’ See pg b3

By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

The Coalition for Responsible Taxation’s (CRT) first chairman yesterday said the Bahamas’ downgrade to ‘junk’ status was likely to suck funding away from essential public services, and described business confidence as “appalling”. Robert Myers, reacting to Standard & Poor’s (S&P) latest downgrade of the Bahamas’ sovereign creditworthiness, warned that the loss of ‘investment grade’ status would force this nation to pay more for its foreign currency borrowings. Explaining how the downgrade’s reputational damage is likely to affect all Bahamians, Mr Myers told Tribune Business: “The concern is that when you go to ‘junk’, it triggers a series of events where certain institutions are not able to invest in your bonds because of that status. “When that happens, other See pg b5

S&P ‘junk’ move to suck funds from public services ORG principal: Debt, servicing costs to increase NDP Plan ‘lacks means to get us there’

Robert Myers

Loretta ButlerTurner

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Loretta: S&P move shows Govt breach of ‘fiduciary duty’ House leader slams four-year fiscal ‘song and dance’ KP: ‘Junk’ cut ‘doesn’t say much for our economy’ Says action ‘reflects state of where we are’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net The Bahamas’ downgrade to ‘junk’ status “seriously calls into question” whether the Government has breached its fiduciary duty to the public, the Opposition’s House of Assembly leader charged yesterday. Loretta Butler-Turner told Tribune Business that the primary responsibility of any government was to ensure “the ship of state remains in a state of buoyancy”, but this was now being challenged by Standard & Poor’s (S&P) latest rating action. Mrs Butler-Turner also accused the Christie administration of performing “a song and dance” over the past four-anda-half years by frequently lauding its fiscal consolidation efforts, only to repeatedly fail to deliver on its projections. “This demonstrates more than ever that we need a government with a plan to resuscitate this country from where the PLP has led us,” Mrs Butler-Turner said of S&P’s decision to strip this nation of its ‘investment grade’ rating. “The Government for the last four years has been giving us a song and dance about bringing down the deficit and debt, See pg b4


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