11292016 business

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TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 29, 2016

business@tribunemedia.net

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Moody’s raises deficit forecast to near-$300m By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net Moody’s is predicting that the Bahamas’ fiscal deficits over the next two years will be one percentage point of GDP higher than initially forecast, after Hurricane Matthew blew a hole in the Government’s consolidation plans. The rating agency, in its November 2016 update on the Bahamas’ sovereign credit rating, said the damage inflicted by the Category Four storm means the Bahamas’ debt-to-GDP ratio will now not peak until 2017-2018 - a year later than originally thought. As a result, Moody’s has increased its 2016-2017

Predicts next two years’ deficits to be 1% pt higher Says Matthew blew hole in fiscal consolidation But raises 2017 growth on ‘major Baha Mar upside’ fiscal deficit projection to 3.6 per cent of GDP, a sum equivalent to between $280-$300 million - almost three times’ the Christie administration’s $100 million Budget forecast. And it estimated that

Matthew may have inflicted $700 million in property and infrastructure damage when it hit New Providence, Grand Bahama and Andros in early October, making it necessary to revise the fiscal outlook for this nation. This became essential after the Government was forced to undertake $150 million in unexpected borrowing to help finance hurricane relief and restoration efforts, a move that makes achieving its 2016-2017 fiscal targets highly unlikely. “The Bahamas sustained major damage from Hurricane Matthew, which hit the archipelago in October,” Moody’s acknowledged. “According to preliminary estimates, the damage to property and infrastruc-

ture may be as high as $700 million, part of which is covered by insurance. “To support relief efforts, the parliament authorised a $150 million borrowing, which will include a $120 million bank loan component and a $30 million bond component. This debt will fund reconstruction of public infrastructure, compensate for hurricane-related shortfall in revenue, and support tax concessions offered to construction companies.” Detailing the fiscal impact from all this, Moody’s said: “We have revised our projections accordingly, and now expect that in fiscal year 2017 and fiscal year 2018, the Government will See pg b4

80% Baha Mar vendor DNA pledges end to contract payout by tomorrow workers in public service By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net Baha Mar’s creditor payout committee believes it will “have dealt with” about 80 per cent of Bahamian vendor and contractor claims by tomorrow, as it explores ways to “speed up” the process. James Smith, the former minister of state for finance who is chairing the committee, told Tribune Business yesterday that it was offering settlements “in the region of $500,000” to creditors seeking early settlement. In return for moving up the queue, these Bahamian corporate creditors may be freely accepting sums slightly less than what they are owed, Mr Smith acknowledged, as the committee sought to complete the payouts by year-end. He added that the committee, which is using $100 million in funding by China Export-Import Bank to finance claims settlements, was now focusing on Bahamian creditors owed more than $500,000 and those whose demands were more “tricky” to resolve. Mr Smith explained that the committee was dealing with Bahamian claimants who may have been subcontractors of local and international companies hired directly by Baha Mar, and those who may be storing construction materials needed to complete the $3.5 billion project.

Committee seeking to ‘speed up process’ Offering early settlements ‘in region of $500k’ Taxing extra care on ‘tricky’ claims, funding pot

By NATARIO McKENZIE

Tribune Business Reporter

nmckenzie@tribunemedia.net The Democratic National Alliance’s (DNA) leader yesterday pledged to end what he called the “unconscionable” practice of having “unregularised” or contract employees engaged within the public sector for long periods of time. Branville McCartney, highlighting the party’s ‘white paper’ on public service reform, said public service employment would only be permanent and pensionable, adding that the DNA proposes to introduce a “clear and transparent” path for promotion. Youri Kemp, the DNA’s candidate for Garden Hills and finance spokesman, said: “We want to deal with persons on contract. There are too many persons on

Bran: Practice is ‘unconscionable’ Party unveils ‘white paper’ on public sector reform Change key to boosting ‘ease of doing business’ contract that have not even been given a chance to become regularised, and become full and pensionable civil servants.” The issue of contractual/ temporary workers in the public service was highlighted in an Auditor General’s report earlier this year, which found that the Government was not living See pg b6

James Smith

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Employer-employee consensus on reforms for ‘toothless poodle’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net Bahamian employers and workers appear to be in rare consensus on the need to enhance the Industrial Tribunal, which one union leader recently described as “a toothless poodle”. Both trade union umbrella bodies, the Trades Union Congress (TUC) and the and the National Congress of Trade Unions (NCTU), are pushing for the Tribunal to be upgraded to “the industrial side of the Supreme Court” - something an employer representative yesterday said he had no objection to. Peter Goudie, who is one of the private sector’s representatives on the National Tripartite Council, the body created to deal with all workplace/labour issues, said: “I don’t think anyone will be objecting to it. “It’s a matter of whether See pg b5

Agree on Industrial Tribunal upgrade Unions: Matters too long, costly and can’t be enforced Employers: ‘No objection’ to proposed overhaul

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Abaco Club opponents claiming ‘slight victory’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net Opponents of the Abaco Club’s Little Harbour marina project yesterday claimed “a slight victory”, as the Supreme Court effectively imposed a 16-day block on the development being granted any permits or approvals. Fred Smith QC, the Callenders & Co attorney and partner, who is representing Responsible Development for Abaco in its Judicial Review challenge, told Tribune Business that “the status quo” had been maintained

Supreme Court in 16-day block on permits, approvals QC: ‘Status quo’ upheld on marina project But trial delayed, Govt gets ‘cost security’ hearing - at least temporarily. He confirmed that the Government had succeeded in having the main trial See pg b6

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He added that with the ‘funding pool’ shrinking, as the claims payout process neared its conclusion, the committee needed to take extra care with the settlements on offer. “It’s an ongoing process, and we’re hoping that by the end of this month - in two days time - we could have dealt with 70 per cent, and possibly 80 per cent of the service providers,” Mr Smith told Tribune See pg b4

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