11222018 BUSINESS

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business@tribunemedia.net

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 22, 2018

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Deficit overshoots DPM’s final prediction by $105m By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

T

HE Government’s 2017-2018 fiscal deficit overshot the deputy prime minister’s year-end forecast by $105m due to a late spending “ramp up”, a top official admitted yesterday. Marlon Johnson, the Ministry of Finance’s financial secretary, told Tribune Business there was “a much higher than anticipated spike” in spending towards the fiscal year-end because multiple government agencies were seeking to pay bills in the period when they were incurred. He added that efforts to

New pilot licensing set for early 2019 in hacker attack By NATARIO MCKENZIE

Tribune Business Reporter

nmckenzie@tribunemedia.net AVIATION regulators will roll-out new pilot licensing requirements in the 2019 first quarter, its top executive revealing that a crack down on illegal charter operations is now a “matter of urgency”. Charles Beneby, the Bahamas Civil Aviation Authority’s director-general, told Tribune Business: “We have been working constantly to develop, where necessary, new regulations that we intend to roll-out very soon regarding new licensing requirements for Bahamian pilots. “We are looking to introduce a new security directive that puts certain requirements on all operators at LPIA (Lynden Pindling International Airport) initially, and then expanding out to other islands. It is very actively being worked on, and I

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* ‘Thrown off’ by spending ‘ramp up’ * ‘Red ink’ totalled $415m, 30% above goal * Govt ‘tightens up oversight’ for accuracy

MARLON JOHNSON

KP TURNQUEST

prevent the “carry over” of unpaid spending obligations into the next fiscal year had

effectively blown KP Turnquest’s prediction, made on May 30 when he presented

THE first-ever fiscal strategy report was yesterday branded “a sea change” that will hold current and future administrations to account for their stewardship of The Bahamas’ finances. Marlon Johnson, the Ministry of Finance’s financial secretary, told Tribune Business that the Report - tabled in the House of Assembly - will “set the standard” and establish the benchmark against which every government’s fiscal performance can be measured. Besides complying with the newly-passed Fiscal Responsibility Act’s requirements,

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Govt not adjusting web shop revenue forecasts By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net THE Government has refused to adjust its gaming revenue projections despite the web shop industry’s legal challenge to the increased taxation, arguing that its case is “on solid ground”. Its first-ever fiscal strategy report, tabled in the House of Assembly yesterday as part of compliance with the newly-passed Fiscal Responsibility Act’s requirements, admits that the web shops’ Supreme Court action “poses a potential threat” to its revenue forecasts. However, the Minnis administration believes the strength of its case is sufficient reason not to adjust its estimates yet, with the gaming sector - hotel casinos as well as web shops - forecast to generate $70m in revenue for the Public Treasury this fiscal year. “The recent litigation launched against the Government by the operators of the gaming houses poses some measure of threat to revenues as budgeted,” the fiscal strategy report acknowledges.

‘A sea change’ for fiscal accountability By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

the 2018-2019 budget, that the 2017-2018 deficit would come in at $310m. The Government’s firstever fiscal strategy report, tabled in Parliament yesterday to ensure compliance with the newly-passed Fiscal Responsibility Act, confirmed that the actual 2017-2018 deficit was $414.9m - almost $105m higher than Mr Turnquest’s forecast made just five-anda-half months ago. The outcome was also

Mr Johnson said the report also creates a heightened level of transparency that will enable all Bahamians to assess on a timely basis how the Government is using their tax dollars. “It is a sea change,” he told Tribune Business. “I hope we see, in the quality of reporting and level of information that it is a real sea change. It truly is a milestone for the professionals at the Ministry of Finance, who produced a real quality report and have set the standard for reporting in the future. “It requires the Government, going forward, to annually document clear targets related to annual

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•TAXATION CASE ‘ON SOLID GROUND’ •ADMITS SECTOR’S ACTION ‘POSES THREAT’ •TARGETING $79.1M REVENUE BY 2022 “However, the Government believes that it is on

solid ground as to the legality and feasibility of the new tax measures announced in the May budget. Accordingly, revenues from the gaming houses remain at the levels projected in the budget.” Total gaming industry taxes exceeded 2017-2018 budget projections by 35.8 percent, coming in at $37.2m

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Govt pledges no more VAT hikes before election By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net THE Government yesterday pledged there will be no further value-added tax (VAT) hikes before the next election, with the 12 percent rate deemed sufficient to achieve its revenue goals. The newly-released Fiscal Strategy Report, tabled in the House of Assembly, said the 4.5 percentage point VAT rate increase should boost revenue yields as a percentage of Bahamian GDP to the point where they are sufficient to meet “the needs of modern governance”. The Report projects that the rate hike will result in a 55.7 percent increase in VAT collections, which are forecast to rise from $680.6m in 2017-2018 to $1.06bn this current fiscal year, bringing The Bahamas’ revenue yields in line with those of other Caribbean nations. “As amply demonstrated in recent years, the revenue yield of the tax system was grossly inadequate to the needs of modern governance,” the fiscal strategy report said. “The various revenue measures in the 2018-2019 budget, including the increase in the rate of VAT from 7.5 to 12 percent, are projected to secure a boost in revenue collections from 16.1 percent to 19.9 percent of GDP. “While lagging regional

•NO BUSINESS LICENCE ALTERNATIVE BEFORE 2020 •WTO TARIFF CUTS LIKELY TO START IN 2020-2021 •FIVE-YEAR TRANSITION TO TRADING REGIME norms at that level, the increase in the tax yield is nonetheless appreciable and is poised to make a significant contribution to the attainment of the Government’s key fiscal objectives. As such, the Government is of the view that no further increases in the VAT rate will be entertained over the balance of its current mandate.” That pledge is especially well-timed following yesterday’s protest outside the House of Assembly over rising living costs sparked by both the VAT increase and soaring electricity bills. The Government has also tied its fiscal policy to political goals in other ways, namely by seeking to pay off the $360m in unfunded arrears payments by 2021 a year before it has to call a general election. Outlining further revenue considerations, the fiscal strategy report reiterated that “no policy commitment” has been made to any business licence fee

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