11212019 BUSINESS

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business@tribunemedia.net

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 21, 2019

$4.56 Past govts ‘negligent’ on $160m BTC pension hole By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net THE Bahamas Telecommunications Company’s (BTC) unions yesterday slammed the “negligence” of previous administrations for creating a near-$160m pension hole that taxpayers must now plug. Ricardo Thompson, pictured, the Bahamas Communications and Public Managers Union’s (BCPMU) president, told Tribune Business the deficit in the carrier’s original defined benefit employee pension plan “definitely should not have been allowed to balloon” to the scale it has now reached by the last Ingraham and Christie administrations. He spoke out after the government’s Fiscal Strategy Report, tabled in the House of Assembly yesterday, committed Bahamian taxpayers to paying $20m per year over the next eight Budget periods to close the gap created after its two immediate predecessors failed to live up to legally-binding commitments made when BTC was privatised in 2011. As part of selling the majority stake in the government-owned operator to Cable & Wireless Communications (CWC), the then-Ingraham administration agreed to both close-off the defined benefit plan to new BTC employees and cover the deficit by injecting $39m into a so-called Feeder Trust. The agreement also required the government to

make annual “top-ups” to the plan as required to cover any future payments, but neither these injections nor the original $39m payment were ever made. Former prime minister, Perry Christie, complained several times while in office about the liability the Ingraham administration had left him, at one point revealing that the deficit had reached $99m. Yet he, too, appears to have done nothing about it, and Bahamian taxpayers are now being asked to pick up another inflated bill caused by prior governments kicking the can down the road. “As disclosed in the 2019-2020 budget communication,pursuant to the April 2011 shareholders’ agreement (SA) between the government and C&W, when the Bahamas Telecommunications Company (BTC) was sold to Cable & Wireless Communications (C&W) for $210m, the government was required to inject an initial $39m into a Feeder Trust and annual top-ups, as required, to fund future pension obligations relating to BTC’s defined benefit plan,” the Fiscal Strategy Report

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THE government yesterday revealed it has taken a $100m “provision” in anticipation of the Bank of the Bahamas bail-out vehicle recovering just 40 percent of the toxic loan sums transferred to it. The Fiscal Strategy Report 2019, tabled in the House of Assembly yesterday, reaffirmed that the $167.7m “gross book value” of bad credit switched from the troubled BISX-listed

bank to Bahamas Resolve “significantly” exceeds the collective worth of the mostly real estate collateral it is now attempting to sell on taxpayers’ behalf. It also confirmed that the government (meaning taxpayers) has had to cover the semi-annual interest payment due on the promissory notes injected into Bank of The Bahamas’ balance sheet in exchange for these toxic loans, as Bahamas Resolve has been unable to generate sufficient revenues

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Aliv IPO goal for 2022-2023 By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net THE government is targeting the 2022-2023 fiscal year to exit its 51.75 percent majority ownership in Aliv and raise “at least” $73m, it was revealed yesterday. The 2019 Fiscal Strategy Report, released yesterday, disclosed that the government’s disposal of its equity stake in the mobile operator will help “reduce financing requirements” for itself as it grapples with a projected $238.6m fiscal deficit that year. Referring to its hugelyexpanded borrowing

requirements to cover Hurricane Dorian restoration costs, the report said: “To cover the balance of financing requirements [in 2019-2020], the government is presently exploring funding opportunities from other multilateral institutions and banks - both international and domestic – and the possibility of a bond offering. “In fiscal year 2022-2023, the government’s prospective sale of its shares in Aliv is expected to reduce financing requirements by at least $73m —the initial purchase cost of these assets, and in fiscal year 2023-2024, sale

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$4.60

‘Not grim’ despite $1.3bn debt surge By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

Govt in $100m ‘provision’ over BOB’s bail-out By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

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HE deputy prime minister yesterday disagreed that The Bahamas faces a “grim” economic and fiscal outlook even though government debt is forecast to increase by $1.3bn over the next five years. K Peter Turnquest told Tribune Business that “strong” tourism arrivals, coupled with a foreign direct investment (FDI) pace that remains “on track”, will enable the country to shrug off Hurricane Dorian’s devastating impact by

$4.60

K PETER TURNQUEST

• DPM optimistic despite deficit rise to $677m • Fiscal plans blown off-course for up to ten years • Govt to lose $566m from storm-hit islands generating a 2.1 percent expansion in economic output for 2021. His optimism came despite revealing earlier to the House of Assembly that the category five storm has blown the government off its key deficit and debt ratio reduction targets by between five to ten years depending on the indicator. Its 2019 Fiscal Strategy Report, tabled in Parliament yesterday, now forecasts that nine-figure

deficits will persist for the next five years post-Dorian and only come back into line with the Fiscal Responsibility Act’s 0.5 percent of GDP target by 2024-2025. The report also shows that the sustained “red ink”, caused by the government having to borrow to cover the gap created by its spending exceeding income, is projected to drive its direct debt from $8.205bn this fiscal year to almost $9.5bn over the same period.

This represents a $1.3bn debt surge that will keep the government far away from achieving the Fiscal Responsibility Act target of a 50 percent debt-to-GDP (gross domestic product) ratio. That is projected to still be at 62.9 percent in 2024-2025, and Mr Turnquest yesterday admitted that this ratio will only “resume its downward trajectory” towards 50 percent come 2028-2029.

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Fears Bahamas ‘on edge of abject failure’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net FISCAL watchdogs yesterday voiced alarm that The Bahamas is “on the precipice of abject failure” based on the sharp post-Dorian hikes in the government’s annual fiscal deficits and national debt. Rick Lowe, an executive with the Nassau Institute think-tank, told

Tribune Business that “years and years of neglect and kicking the can down the road” had left The Bahamas in a precarious position that was now being exacerbated by the scale of Dorian restoration costs. The government’s 2019 Fiscal Strategy Report, released yesterday, discloses that its direct debt is set to increase by a near-$1.3bn over the next five years due to the huge blow inflicted on the public finances by

Dorian’s devastation. The fiscal deficit for the 2019-2020 budget year is projected to increase by a further $104m beyond initial forecasts to some $677.5m, and it will remain in ninefigure territory for four years before finally hitting the Fiscal Responsibility Act’s 0.5 percent of GDP target in 2024-2025 - some five years after it was predicted to hit this level. “This country is on the precipice of abject failure,”

Mr Lowe told Tribune Business when confronted with the report’s contents. “I’m glad to see they’re at least taking account, but it’s frightening how close we are to bankruptcy. I’m glad they’re taking stock, but boy, it’s a hell of a hole to dig out of. Holy smoke. “Neil, it is frightening. I’m glad I’m closer to retirement than just starting out. Maybe

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