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TUESDAY, OCTOBER 10, 2017
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IMF urges $70m cut to civil service wages
By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net
T
he IMF has urged the Government to slash the civil service wage bill by almost $70 million, as it slammed the Christie administration’s “lax spending controls” pre-general election. The International Monetary Fund (IMF), in its full Article IV report on the Bahamas, revealed that the Government could save taxpayers more than $200 million annually through a combination of public service downsizing and pension reform, plus reduced
* Slams Christie’s ‘lax spending controls’ * Fund lays out $200m Budget savings map * Urges subsidy slash equal to 1.25% GDP subsidies to state-owned corporations. It recommended reducing the civil service wage bill to 2015-2016 levels “at most”, arguing that this would result in savings equivalent to 0.8 per cent of Bahamian gross domestic product (GDP). Highlighting just how bloated the public service became as the Christie administration removed all
hiring constraints in its desperate bid for re-election, an IMF graphic showed that the civil service wage bill for the 2017-2018 fiscal year equals close 8.5 per cent of GDP - compared to a 7 per cent average for the 2005-2016 period. The difference between the two is roughly $120.6 million, using the same $8.4 billion total GDP estimate that the IMF would
have employed prior to the recent near-28 per cent upward revision from the Department of Statistics. “The public sector wage bill increased sharply in fiscal year 2017,” the IMF’s Article IV report said. “Staff recommended reducing the wage bill to, at most, the level observed in fiscal year 2016, which would yield savings of 0.8 per cent of GDP—relative to
fiscal year 2018— including by reducing non-essential temporary workers (about 30-40 per cent of public employees), enacting a hiring freeze, and capping compensation for re-hired pensioners.” The IMF’s ‘0.8 per cent of GDP’ is, using the Department of Statistics’ former $8.4 billion figure,
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CENTRAL BANK BREACHED LEGAL GOV’T BOND LIMITS By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net THE Central Bank breached its legal limits by increasing government bond holdings to $200 million in the wake of Hurricane Matthew, the IMF has revealed. The Fund, in its full Article IV consultation report on the Bahamas, urged the Government and Central Bank to “reverse” this position and bring the latter back into compliance with statutory restrictions. The Government and Central
* IMF URGES REVERSAL FOR STATUTORY ‘COMPLIANCE’ * ‘STRICTER’ LIMITS TO BE UNVEILED BY YEAR-END * $200M MARK HIT IN MATTHEW ‘EMERGENCY’ Bank, in response, argued that the limit was only broken in extraordinary circumstances - namely to assist the Christie administration with “emergency financing” in Matthew’s wake, so that it could provide disaster relief and infrastructure repairs. They added that amendments to the Central Bank of the Bahamas Act will be introduced before year-end
2017, a move previously foreshadowed to Tribune Business by Central Bank governor, John Rolle, to impose “stricter limits” on the regulator’s government bond holdings. However, the IMF’s full Article IV report argued that reducing the Central Bank’s foreign currency debt holdings would “strengthen the credibility” of the Bahamas’ one:one exchange rate
peg with the US dollar and boost financial stability. “Following the passage of Hurricane Matthew, the Central Bank of the Bahamas increased its holdings of long-term government bonds to $200 million, about 2 per cent of GDP, breaching statutory limits. “However, Central Bank’s main target - on maintaining a level of reserves of at least 50 per
cent of the monetary base - continued to be met, albeit with smaller margins than in the past. [The IMF] noted that increases in these holdings should be reversed to ensure compliance with statutory limits.” In response, the Minnis administration and Central Bank both promised the IMF that the latter planned to reduce its holdings of government paper. “They argued that these holdings increased due to emergency financing needs of the Government,
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GAMING MINISTER: NATIONAL LOTTERY IS ‘FRONT AND CENTRE’ By NEIL HARTNELL Business Editor nhartnell@ tribunemedia.net THE creation of a Bahamian national lottery is “front and centre” for the Gaming Minister, who yesterday warned web shops: “The status quo needs tweaking.” Dionisio D’Aguilar declined to divulge details to Tribune Business, but said he had “a few ideas” as to how a national lottery could be structured and developed in this nation. “Bahamians are crying for that. That’s very much front and centre in my mind,” the Minister of Tourism responded, when asked by this newspaper whether a national lottery remained a possibility. Mr D’Aguilar’s remarks effectively
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IMF: 65% bank asset BAHAMIAN fall’s ‘modest’ impact DOLLAR By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net THE international financial services industry’s “sharp contraction”, with total bank assets shrinking 65 per cent in the five years to 2016, has only “modestly” impacted the Bahamian economy. The International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) conclusion, which will likely surprise many in financial services and outside observers, appears based on its finding that the sector’s contribution to the wider economy has “remained broadly stable” despite the significant shrinkage. The Fund, in a separate report accompanying its Article IV assessment of
* FINANCIAL SERVICES ECONOMIC IMPACT ‘STABLE’ * DESPITE ‘SHARP CONTRACTION’ IN 5 YEARS * SMART FUNDS NOW 65% OF ALL FUNDS the Bahamian economy, said the financial services industry’s “orderly adjustment” to international regulatory initiatives had enabled it to “manage” the spillover effects for other sectors. To preserve such stability, the IMF called on the Bahamas to maintain “strong compliance” with global tax transparency and anti-money laundering demands, including the Common Reporting Standard (CRS) on automatic tax information exchange and addressing deficiencies identified in the recent
Caribbean Financial Action Task Force (CFATF) report. “Reflecting in part the impact of these global initiatives, the total assets of offshore banks in the Bahamas have shrunk significantly since 2011,” the IMF said. “Total assets of the international banks, including banks with trust licenses, declined to about $175 billion in 2016 from a peak of close to $500 billion in 2011 and the number of international banks dropped by 12.
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‘OVER VALUED’ BY 10-20%
By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net THE Bahamian dollar is “overvalued between 10-20 per cent”, the IMF has revealed, warning that this is further eroding the economy’s cost competitiveness. The International Monetary Fund (IMF), in its full report on the Article IV consultation, found that the Bahamas’ currency was “17.6 per
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