10042017 business

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business@tribunemedia.net

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 4, 2017

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DPM: ‘No comfort’ from $9m first-month surplus By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

Near $25m reversal excludes future spend

THE Deputy Prime Minister yesterday said he “takes no comfort” in the $9.1 million Budget surplus achieved by the Government for the 2017-2018 fiscal year’s first month. K P Turnquest told Tribune Business that the near-$25 million year-over-year reversal identified by the Central Bank did not account for future spending obligations already committed to by the Government, “some of which we don’t know about”.

‘Uncomfortable’ $7.2bn debt still growing VAT up 11.5%; subsidies drop $20.5m While arguing that the Minnis administration’s “sacrifices” and austerity measures were moving the Government’s fiscal position “in the right direction”, he warned

that unexpected events - such as hurricanes - had the potential to “cause tremendous setbacks” to the consolidation effort. Mr Turnquest, who is also minister of finance, added that he was “uncomfortable” that the Bahamas’ $7.2 billion-plus national debt continues on an upward trajectory despite the new government’s seeminglypromising start in reining in the ‘red ink’. The Deputy Prime Minister was responding after the Central Bank’s report on August’s economic and financial See PG B4

THERE is “no way in hell” that the Bahamas can take comfort in its improved fiscal ratios via the upward revisions to GDP data, a governance reformer warned yesterday. Robert Myers, a principal with the Organisation for Responsible Governance (ORG), told Tribune Business that the lower debt-to-GDP and other reduced ratios made little difference given that the Bahamas “already has one foot over the edge of the precipice”. Describing the near 28 per cent increase in Bahamian GDP as “a waft of good news”, Mr Myers acknowledged that it may help “buy us some time” to enact meaningful fiscal reforms and appease the international credit rating agencies. Pointing out that the $7.2 billion-plus national debt was continuing to increase, regardless of the improved GDP numbers, he reiterated that the Bahamas’ key objectives remain a narrowing and elimination of the annual fiscal deficits, plus

Reformer: ‘One foot already over cliff’ GDP increase only ‘buys us some time’ Deficit end, 5% annual growth still key

ROBERT MYERS faster economic growth rates. Responding to the Department of Statistics’ improved GDP figures, Mr Myers told Tribune Business: “There’s no way in hell See PG B4

TOURISM SOFTNESS: NASSAU/ PI ROOM REVENUES OFF 7% By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net HOTEL room revenues on Nassau/Paradise Island fell by 7 per cent year-overyear to end-July 2017, amid warnings of “sustained softness in tourism”. The Central Bank of the Bahamas, in its monthly economic report for August, said data from a group of major New Providence hotels showed “earnings weakness” in line with a drop in higherspending stopover visitors. “On a monthly basis, the value of room sales decreased by 3 per cent in July, amid a 6.5 percentage point reduction in the average occupancy rate to 77.3 per cent,” the Central Bank said, “which overshadowed the 2.4 per cent gain in the average daily rate (ADR) to $253.67. “In addition, over the first seven months of 2017, total room revenue declined by 7 per cent relative to the same period last year. This outturn reflected

‘Earnings weakness’ for big hotels Occupancies, rates also down BOB deal causes $79m bad loan fall a fall in the average hotel occupancy rate by 5.5 percentage points to 70.7 per cent, combined with a 2.4 per cent ($6.06) decrease in the ADR to $247.36.” The Central Bank figures are especially troubling given that New Providence’s inventory is set to expand by a net 2,300 rooms come March/April 2018 when Baha Mar comes fully on stream. It is unclear whether Baha Mar’s discounting impacted rates, but the relative pricing, occupancy and demand softness is again likely to renew fears about the $4.2 billion Cable Beach ‘mega resort’ splitting or See PG B5

By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

THE Deputy Prime Minister yesterday pledged that the Government “will not rest on our laurels” despite the improved fiscal ratios resulting from revised GDP growth figures. K P Turnquest told Tribune Business that the Minnis administration would not slide into “complacency” after the near-28 per cent increase to 2012 GDP estimates brought the Bahamas’ debt ratios back into line with its ‘investment grade’ rating from Moody’s. With the Bahamas still facing “a significant debt problem”, Mr Turnquest said the Government was simultaneously focused on bringing this under control and generating jobs through higher economic growth. “It will decrease the [fiscal] ratios, which is a good thing,” the Deputy Prime Minister said of the

SEBAS: WEB SHOPS ‘LEAST LIKELY’ TO POSE FINANCIAL CRIME RISK Slams claim legalisation threatens financial services Says: ‘We’re under tightest magnifying glass’ Adds claims challenging sector, GB integrity By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

DPM KP TURNQUEST

‘NO WAY IN HELL’ BAHAMAS Govt ‘not resting on CAN RELAX ON HIGHER GDP laurels’ over GDP increases By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

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DPM: Must get debt ‘under control’ GDP fell $500m under PLP Three-year recession deeper Department of Statistics’ GDP revisions. “Hopefully, the credit rating agencies will recognise that and it will be favourable, but we cannot rest on our laurels. “The challenge we have is to ensure we don’t become complacent as a result of it, and recognise that we still have a significant debt problem that we have to get under control. No matter what the GDP figures are saying, it’s the responsibility of the Government to raise the revenues to meet its commitments.” See PG B2

ISLAND Luck’s principal yesterday said web shops were the “least likely” sector to pose money laundering risks, as he slammed claims its legalisation had endangered the wider financial services industry. Sebas Bastian hit back at financial services executive, Paul Moss, arguing that his comments challenged the integrity of not just web shop operators but the sector’s Gaming Board regulator. Mr Moss had charged that the “overnight” legalisation of a previously illegal ISLAND LUCK CEO sector had creSEBAS BASTIAN ated “a recipe for disaster” if global regulatory bodies, such as the Caribbean Financial Action Task Force (CFATF), were to scrutinise the situation. But Mr Bastian, in a statement to Tribune Business, said the Government wanted to legalise, regulate and tax the web shop industry to address these very same concerns, ensuring the multi-million dollar sums it generated were brought into the formal economy. He added that all licensed web shops applied strict Know Your Customer (KYC) and due diligence standards, given that they were being held to global best practices and closely supervised. See PG B3


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