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TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 29, 2020
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DR DUANE SANDS
Sands: COVID infection ‘knock out’ for tourism By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net DR Duane Sands yesterday warned that current COVID-19 infection rates would “knock us out of the tourism market” as he called for a “radical change” in The Bahamas’ approach to fighting the virus. The ex-minister of health told Tribune Business he had not heard or seen anything “that suggests we have the formula” to safely reopen The Bahamas’ largest industry and employer as local COVID-19 cases continue to mount at the rate of between 50-100 per day. While his former Cabinet colleague, Dionisio D’Aguilar, minister of tourism and aviation, has suggested the government is looking at ramped-up postarrival and in-stay testing as the solution to tourism’s dilemma over the 14-day quarantine, Dr Sands questioned whether there was sufficient data and science to support abandoning the latter measure. “The local infection rate would knock us out of the market,” Dr Sands said, when asked about the likelihood of tourism’s revival. “Our infection rate puts us near the top in terms of infection per capita. We are going to have to drastically change our approach where we do not have the daily cases we currently have. “Imagine getting back to when six cases per day was thought to be too much. We are at a clip per capita that puts us among the top ten to 20 countries in terms of the number of cases per million per day. We’ve got to get that under control and it’s going to require a really aggressive approach and deviation from the current approach.” Reiterating that The Bahamas has not been testing as much as it needed to, Dr Sands said The Bahamas still has the chance to become a safe tourist destination “pace setter” if it adopts the more rapid form of antigen testing, which is said to provide COVID-19 results within 15 to 30 minutes. Some 120m of these
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Sands Beer comeback a ‘survival difference-maker’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net
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BAHAMIAN brewery yesterday hailed the return of its own-brand beers as the difference between “being in business or out of business” after surviving for a year on just 35 percent of normal revenues. Jimmy Sands, the Bahamian Brewery and Beverage Company’s founder, told Tribune Business the firm had struck “a hell of a milestone” as the “first full run” of its Sands and Sands Light beers came off the production line almost 13 months after its manufacturing plant was devastated by Hurricane Dorian’s storm surge. Disclosing that the vertically-integrated brewer, wholesaler and retailer “has a chance of survival now that we’re back in business”, Mr Sands said the loss of brewing capacity meant the firm had to ride out the past year and COVID-19 without 65 percent - almost two-thirds - of its regular income streams. Praising his workforce and expatriate German technicians for “a real team effort” to rebuild the Bahamian Brewery and Beverage Company, he
• Brewery lasts year on just 35% of revenues • Aims to return all 140 staff by end-October • Targets November to produce other brands
INSIDE the Bahamian Brewery’s Grand Bahama warehouse. Jimmy Sands, right, is pictured with Minister Kwasi Thompson, centre. voiced optimism that all 140 will be operating at 85-90 of his staff will be able to percent capacity for some return to full-time employ- two months as it “gets all ment by end-October with the tweaks out of” its new the restoration of brewing equipment, the Bahamian Brewery and Beverage chief capacity. While the COVID-19 said he aimed to begin propandemic initially forced duction in November on all him to furlough 100 work- the company’s other lines ers, Mr Sands said some 120 - Strong Back Stout, High were now “back to work” as Rock Lager, Bush Crack he unveiled a second target Beer, Triple B Malt and to accomplish before Octo- Sands Passion Radler. And, having seemingly ber’s close - that of ensuring Sands and Sands Light were survived the loss of “tens of once again fully distributed millions of dollars” due to the loss of Dorian, Mr Sands throughout The Bahamas. Although the brewery expressed hope that the
BAHAMIAN commercial banks saw loan defaults spike by $83m in August as the sector started to feel the COVID-19 chill, with one senior executive saying: “The accounting is catching up with reality.” Gowon Bowe, Fidelity Bank (Bahamas) chief executive, told Tribune Business it will likely take 18 to 24 months before the industry gains a complete picture of the pandemic’s fall-out for borrowers after it was revealed that loan arrears among individuals, households and businesses rose by some 13.1 percent during August compared to the prior month. The Central Bank of The Bahamas, in its monthly economic developments report, attributed the increase to the end of COVID-19m
company’s comeback will serve as an inspiration to other Freeport and Grand Bahama business owners that there is “light at the end of the tunnel” as they, too, seek to rebound from the twin perils produced by Dorian and COVID-19. “It’s a very important step we have taken here,” Mr Sands told Tribune Business of brewing’s restart. “It may mean being in business or out of business. Between Dorian, which destroyed the brewery, and COVID-19, which delayed the rebuild, and the result is that for 12-and-a-half months we we have not been able to produce anything. “Now we’re back in business we have a chance at survival, and making this brewery bigger and better that it was before. This is a hell of a milestone. If it had played out any longer we would have had some problems.” The sale of Sands Beer and the other domestic brands had accounted for 65
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Fisherman: ‘Risk outweighs rewards’ over oil exploration
By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net
A PROMINENT fisherman yesterday voiced his opposition to oil exploration near “some of the most critical dive and trap areas on the Bahama Bank”, adding: “The risks far outweigh the rewards.” Paul Mailis, director of the National Fisheries Association of The Bahamas, told Tribune Business that even a small oil spill from the well that Bahamas Petroleum Company (BPC) is aiming to spud before Christmas 2020 could threaten the investment made by fishermen in “tens of thousands” of lobster condos and traps laid in the area. While acknowledging that “opinion varies” among fishermen depending on where they live, as BPC’s plans were “out of sight, out of mind” for some, Mr Mailis urged the government to impose a “pause” on all BPC’s activities and
• NFA director fears for ‘critical dive and trap area’ • Tells govt to ‘pause’ and not feel COVID pressure • Activists say petition closing on 17,000 signatures not feel pressured to go head because of the economic and fiscal devastation caused by COVID-19. “We’ve discussed these concerns about oil drilling,” he said of the fisheries sector, “because it’s taking place in some of the most critical and important dive and trap areas on the Bahama Bank. “We feel it’s something we’re not prepared for. Fishermen now have very real and tangible investments out there, the lobster traps and condos. There’s tens of thousands of them there. There’s a lot of fishermen invested there, and the threat to the reef and lobster out there is tremendous even from a small spill. We’re looking at this with great concern.” BPC and its chief executive, Simon Potter, have repeatedly pointed out that
their plans for a first exploratory well in Bahamian waters, named Perseverance One, comply with all Bahamian and international regulatory standards and best practices. Romauld Ferreira, minister of the environment and housing, confirmed last week that the Environmental Authorisation and all such necessary approvals have been granted to BPC, leaving it clear to proceed, with the Minnis administration repeatedly insisting it is merely honouring an obligation made by its predecessors. And BPC has also argued that the well will not be seeking to extract commercial quantities of oil but merely confirm the presence of hydrocarbons beneath the sea bed, thereby minimising
COVID ‘reality’ hits banks: Loan defaults spike $83m By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net
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• Increase caused by deferral initiative end • Banks face 18-24 month pandemic work-out • Senior executive predicts ‘bumpy road ahead’
GOWON BOWE payment deferral plans for borrowers who accounted for some of the $1.85bn - almost one-third - of outstanding bank credit that went into forbearance after the pandemic struck. “Banks’ credit quality indicators weakened during the review month, led by an increase in short-term
delinquencies. Specifically, total private sector arrears rose by $82.8m (13.1 percent) to $714m, while the accompanying ratio moved higher by 1.5 percentage points to 12.64 percent,” the Central Bank said. “Contributing to this development was an $80.6m (42.3 percent) growth in short-term arrears (31-90 days) to $271.m - signaling the conclusion of some banks forbearance programmes — and corresponding to a 1.4 percentage points firming in the attendant ratio to 4.8 percent. “In addition, non-performing loans grew by $2.3m (0.5 percent) to $442.8m, resulting in a 4 basis points
rise in the relevant ratio to 7.84 percent.” Breaking this down by loan type, the Central Bank said consumer loans - those for vehicles, furniture and other items - saw the greatest rise in defaults followed by credit extended to private sector businesses. “Disaggregated by loan type, the increase in total delinquencies was led by a $48.4m (26.7 percent) expansion in consumer loan arrears to $230.1m, as both the short and long-term segments increased by $45.2m (81.3 percent) and $3.2m (2.5 percent), respectively,” the Central Bank added.
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the possibility of any spill or pollution. However, Mr Mailis questioned whether either of the government and BPC “have a plan” to address such an incident. “If several thousand traps are covered in oil, who’s going to pay for that and cover the environmental damage from that?” he asked. “That’s going to impact fishermen for decades if it does happen. What’s the plan? I’ve not seen anything from the government. Does the company have a plan? The fishermen feel this has to be done very cautiously. “I personally am against the oil drilling because the profits will only go to a small amount of people. The majority will not profit. How
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$3.95 Govt ‘front loading’ aid for reserves By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net THE Central Bank yesterday said the government’s “front loaded” foreign currency borrowing meant the expected decline in The Bahamas’ external reserves will be “delayed” until 2021. The regulator, in its monthly economic developments report for August, said the Minnis administration’s borrowing to fund an anticipated $1.3bn deficit for the 2020-2021 fiscal year had increased the external reserves by $145.3m compared to July to hit $2.128bn by month’ end. Indicating that the previously projected drawdown on the reserves to $1bn by year-end 2020 will now not happen to such an extent, the Central Bank suggested there will be sufficient foreign currency to maintain the one:one US dollar peg into 2021. “While private sector net foreign currency drawdowns are projected to continue through the end of the year, external reserves are forecasted to end the year higher than in 2019, largely supported by the front loading of government’s external financing operations,” the Central Bank said. “As a consequence, the cumulative reduction in external balances is expected to be delayed to 2021. This continues to be in line with only gradual recovery prospects for tourism, utilisation of private sector reinsurance proceeds still committed to hurricane reconstruction, and outflows on imports of goods and services, due to the various fiscal stimuli. Nonetheless, external balances are estimated to remain more than adequate to sustain the Bahamian dollar currency peg.” Elsewhere, the Central Bank said tourism’s July reopening attracted just 23,398 visitor arrivals compared to 650,353 for the same month the previous year. “In particular, air arrivals amounted to 14,970, in contrast to a 7.7 percent growth to 175,971 in the same month of 2019. Further, sea arrivals totaled 8,428, relative to an 8 percent expansion to 474,382 a year earlier,” it added. “By major port of entry, total arrivals to New Providence declined to 7,899, contrasting with a 2.9 percent uptick in the prior year to 329,520, with the
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