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THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 10, 2020
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make council ‘Serious foreign currency’ Don’t a ‘political football’ needed by 2020 year-end
By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net
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BAHAMIAN economist yesterday warned that The Bahamas will face “serious concerns” unless it earns “major foreign currency inflows by year-end” as uncertainties over tourism’s return persist. Rupert Pinder, who also lectures at the University of The Bahamas, told Tribune Business that the domestic economy’s re-opening “cannot sustain” over the longer term without the US dollars provided by the tourism-dependent export sector to finance the country’s import bill. Speaking after K Peter
By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net
• Economist: ‘We cannot sustain’ without inflows • External reserves hit $2.1bn as govt borrows • Concern over ‘value-added’ loss from tourism Turnquest, deputy prime minister, told the House of Assembly that The Bahamas’ foreign currency reserves presently stand at $2.1bn or 38 weeks’ worth of import coverage, Mr Pinder said the tourism industry’s re-opening model will seemingly take away the “value-added” benefits the industry has previously brought to the domestic economy. He added that the “Vacation in Place” strategy, the euphemism for the 14-day quarantine that all visitors must undergo upon arriving in The Bahamas, effectively
transforms the tourism industry into an all-inclusive model where guests stay on property and do not venture out to let the wider community benefit from their spending. While Mr Turnquest yesterday voiced optimism that domestic economy’s re-opening will be able to “carry” The Bahamas until tourism returns in sufficient strength, Mr Pinder argued that this will not be sufficient to sustain the external reserves and one:one fixed exchange currency peg with the US dollar indefinitely.
“Any reopening of the domestic economy without some serious inflows of foreign exchange cannot sustain,” he told this newspaper. “It’s not sustainable over the long-term. The economy produces very little, so there’s a heavy dependence on foreign exchange. It is what it is. We can talk about the domestic economy opening but we need those foreign reserves.... “If we don’t see some serious inflows by the end of the
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Govt revenues 23% off due to lockdown By YOURI KEMP and NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Reporters THE deputy prime minister yesterday revealed August’s economic shutdown dropped government revenues 23 percent below projections as he warned the country “cannot afford” further lockdowns. K Peter Turnquest, pictured, told the House of Assembly that the Public Treasury’s income for the first two months of the 2020-2021 fiscal year was equal to 77 percent of what had been forecast after much of the economy was closed in August in a bid to halt COVID-19’s further spread. Giving an update on the government’s fiscal and economic plans, he warned that any further pandemicrelated lockdowns would
• DPM: ‘We cannot afford’ further shutdowns • Warns of trouble if no tourism ‘jump start’ • ‘No magic wand’ to marry health, economy
cause “significant and painful adjustments” to the fiscal forecasts. And he acknowledged that the Ministry of Finance’s planners would face “a more troublesome scenario” come year-end if the tourism industry’s
Bahamas not a ‘fly by night’ borrower By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net THE Ministry of Finance is taking the “if it sounds too good to be true, it probably is” approach to low-cost financing and other “no strings attached” offers, the deputy prime minister said yesterday. K Peter Turnquest, asked by Tribune Business to respond to concerns that the government is not taking advantage of attractive debt financing proposals, said The Bahamas as a sovereign
nation cannot afford to act as a “fly-by night” entity in evaluating any proposals that come its way. He added that the country had to first carry out extensive due diligence to ensure those offering the government financing were credible and operated with integrity, and they have the necessary wherewithal to finance/arrange what they are promoting. Mr Turnquest said The Bahamas can ill-afford to borrow from institutions
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Regulator dismisses Cable, BTC warnings
By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net
REGULATORS have dismissed warnings by The Bahamas’ two communications providers that the imposition of preventative wholesale broadband Internet measures will deter future investment. The Utilities Regulation and Competition Authority (URCA), unveiling its decision on the imposition of price regulation on what Cable Bahamas and the Bahamas
Telecommunications Company (BTC) charge smaller niche operators for bandwidth capacity, said this business only represented a “small share” of their business. Suggesting that the two companies’ warnings were overblown, URCA said: “Concerning Cable Bahamas (and BTC’s) concerns on the potential adverse impact of the proposed regulation on SMP (significant market power) operators’ investment incentives and
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re-opening from October 15 onwards fails to produce the “jump start” that the industry and wider economy so badly need. Mr Turnquest promised to give a further update next month when then impact of tourism’s re-opening, and traveller demand for a Bahamian vacation, were clearer. COVID-19 infection rates and trends in this country’s major source markets, as well as in The Bahamas, will also be vital. And, conceding that there was “no magic wand to reconcile” the sometimes competing health and economic objectives amid the COVID-19 pandemic,
the deputy prime minister urged all Bahamians to play their part in controlling the virus’ spread as “no one wants to live in or travel to a COVID-19 hotspot”. “Although partial and complete lockdowns and curfews are effective in flattening the curve of the pandemic, and have been a necessary response in the interest of saving lives, early performance indicators for July and August clearly demonstrate their significant dampening effect on revenue receipts,” Mr Turnquest said. “For the first two months
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A FISCAL Responsibility Council member yesterday urged both the government and opposition not to make the body “a political football” after it became the focus for a House of Assembly confrontation. Gowon Bowe, who holds the Bahamas Institute of Chartered Accountants (BICA) seat on the council, told Tribune Business that both political factions needed to take “a more mature stance” over the role it will play in validating the government’s fiscal performance and compliance with the Fiscal Responsibility Act. He spoke out after K Peter Turnquest, deputy prime minister, and his opposition shadow, PLP finance spokesman, Chester Cooper, traded blows over the council’s supposed failure to submit its report to the House of Assembly by July 31. House speaker, Halson Moultrie, who ordered that some comments by Mr Cooper be struck from parliament’s record, ended the row by saying that since the council’s five members were appointed by himself he would write to Kevin Burrows, its chairman, to seek an explanation as to why the report had not been submitted by the deadline set out in the Fiscal Responsibility Act. Mr Turnquest said he previously explained to the House that the council’s report had been delayed as a result of COVID-19 and Hurricane Dorian “throwing everything out of whack” - a situation that still exists today. Denying that there was any lack of transparency on the government’s part, he said it had also taken time to complete the now-settled
GOWON BOWE Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with the council that sets out how the latter manages its affairs and interacts with the Ministry of Finance - particularly when it comes to handling sensitive non-public information. Mr Bowe yesterday confirmed that the council’s long-awaited MoU had been completed bar the signatures as he urged both sides in the House of Assembly not to politicise its role and work. “I know this is going to become a political football between the government and opposition,” he told this newspaper. “Both sides need a more mature stance. “The government does not need to be defensive on what’s happening, and equally on the opposition side there’s no need to create conspiracy theories. The politics of the Fiscal Responsibility Act need to be set aside by both government and opposition.” Mr Bowe emphasised that the council’s role was “not going to be the protector or arbiter of what fiscal policy should be”, but rather to assess whether the government is in compliance with the Fiscal Responsibility Act and if it has met its fiscal objectives for a particular year. And he reiterated that there were provisions in the Fiscal Responsibility Act
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