09012017 business

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business@tribunemedia.net

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 1, 2017

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Sir Franklyn targeting $10m Jack’s Bay raise By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net ROYALFIDELITY has been hired to raise $10 million in financing for Sir Franklyn Wilson’s partnership with Tiger Woods in the Jack’s Bay development, Tribune Business can reveal. Sir Franklyn confirmed the move to Tribune Business yesterday, adding that the project “represents a new day for Eleuthera” following recent developments that will aid its progress. The Sunshine Holdings chairman was

May seek more funding via RoyalFidelity

By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net MOODY’S yesterday slashed its 2017 economic growth forecast for the Bahamas to “below 1 per cent”, and warned that there was little mediumterm momentum beyond Baha Mar. The credit rating agency, releasing its full Bahamas country analysis, said there were “signs” that this nation had endured a third consecutive year of recession in 2016, following the one-off blow from Hurricane Matthew. It is projecting that the Bahamas’ real GDP will expand by a modest 0.8 per cent in 2017, following a 0.3 per cent contraction last year, further showing how much work is required to turn this nation’s $8.9 billion economy around. “Over the coming years we expect that growth will gradually recover. We forecast growth below 1 per cent in 2017,” Moody’s said. “The full operations of Baha Mar will likely provide a short-term boost to economic activity in 2018.

Suggests 2016 third consecutive year of recession ‘Structural rigidities’ hurt medium term prospects “Thereafter, economic growth would return to potential (1-1.5 per cent). In our view, the Bahamas’ medium-term outlook remains constrained by structural rigidities that include high energy costs and the bureaucratic burden that private sector agents face.” Moody’s revised 2017 growth forecast is 60 basis points lower than the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) own predictions, which were cited by K P Turnquest, deputy prime minister and minister of finance, during the May Budget presentation. The rating agency’s analysis highlights the need for what Central Bank governor, John Rolle, described as the “planting of seeds” to ensure greater medium-term economic See PG B2

FOCOL’s stock split to ‘spread the wealth’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net FOCOL Holdings’ planned stock split is designed to “spread the wealth” from its increased profitability and growth prospects, its chairman said yesterday. Sir Franklyn Wilson told Tribune Business that the ‘three-for-one’ split was intended to make the petroleum products provider’s stock more accessible to retail investors, and boost liquidity and trading activity. He added that the stock price had enjoyed “a remarkable run” in reaching yesterday’s $9.79 close, and suggested there was pent-up demand for FOCOL Holdings’ shares given that there are more outstanding ‘Buy’ than ‘Sell’ orders. “We’re bullish about the future, and want more and more people to benefit from it,” Sir Franklyn

‘Three for one’ move to boost liquidity, access Chairman: ‘We’ve had remarkable run’ Board believes growth trend ‘sustainable’ told this newspaper. “In terms of what we want to accomplish, we are hoping the three-for-one split will increase liquidity and trading in the stock. “If you have nine of something, you may be more inclined to sell three rather than if you have three, and may only be inclined to sell one. What has happened is that FOCOL has evolved into a real ‘widows and orphans’ stock. See PG B5

Bond payout exposure ‘low’ for 3-5 years DPM assessing if Resolve needs full-time staff

By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

Island in ‘continual decline for 35 years

MOODY’S CUTS BAHAMAS GDP GROWTH ‘BELOW 1%’

BOB’S THREAT TO GOVT ‘CONTAINED FOR NOW’ - MOODY’S

Bail-outs cost Bahamian public over $300m

Tiger partnership ‘new day for Eleuthera’

speaking after he and his fellow investors hosted an event at Jack’s Bay, for which Mr Woods was See PG B4

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SIR Franklyn Wilson with Jack’s Bay developer partner, Beacon Land Development.

Unchecked spending boosted Govt deficit by 3.5% pts of GDP By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net UNCHECKED spending by the Christie administration added a sum equivalent to 3.5 per cent of GDP to the 2016-2017 deficit, Moody’s estimated yesterday, warning that Bahamian fiscal policy credibility has been undermined. The rating agency, in its annual full country analysis, said constant revisions to fiscal deficits and other targets, coupled with a lack of transparency, had damaged confidence in the Government’s forecasted figures. “In our assessment, the Government’s small size limits its capacity to formulate and effect fiscal policy, as evidenced by material deviations from fiscal policy targets,” Moody’s said. “Uneven transparency regarding fiscal numbers, particularly with respect

Moody’s slams fiscal transparency woe, target misses Predicts Bahamas’ debt at 80% of GDP this year to arrears, also weighs on fiscal policy credibility.” It argued that the former Christie administration’s own fiscal consolidation plan, unveiled in 2013, should have provided a ‘road map’ for then-government to achieve its own objectives. Yet Moody’s added: “The weak state of the economy, expenditure rigidities, and exogenous shocks such as hurricanes have caused deviations from the deficit targets. We note, too, that fiscal deficit figures have tended to be revised after being presented in mid-year See PG B4

THE Government has “contained for now” the fiscal dangers represented by the $300 million-plus Bank of the Bahamas (BOB) bail-out, Moody’s believes. The rating agency, in its full Bahamas country analysis, said the risk of the Government having to assume liability for the ‘toxic’ loans transferred from BOB to Bahamas Resolve was “low” for the next three-five years. Moody’s latest report, released yesterday, warned that the taxpayer could become liable to pay the interest due on BOB’s bonds if Bahamas Resolve is unable to sell or recover the collateral - mostly real estate assets - securing these ‘bad’ loans. It added that Bahamas Resolve, the special purpose vehicle (SPV) created as a ‘bad bank’ for BOB’s problem loans, was moving to obtain a government-guaranteed loan that will pay out the bonds handed to the bank to fill the ‘hole’ left on its balance sheet. Those bonds start coming due this year. Moody’s identified the BISX-listed bank, which is 82.6 per cent majority-owned by the Government, as a major credit risk for the Bahamas’ sovereign credit rating along with state-owned enterprises (SOEs). Its concerns come as K P Turnquest, the deputy prime minister, told Tribune Business that the Government was assessing whether Bahamas Resolve needed a full-time staff to aid what is now an expanded collection effort given that the SPV recently received a further $166 million in ‘toxic’ loans. “I am looking at that,” he replied, when questioned by this newspaper. “That is a very current and active issue we are giving consideration to. We’ll have to see real soon how we deal with it. “I know the current arrangement we have has not provided the kind of results we had hoped, and the previous government had See PG B4


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