08152018 BUSINESS

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business@tribunemedia.net

WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 15, 2018

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Moody’s still has the blues despite growth forecast By NATARIO MCKENZIE

Tribune Business Reporter

nmckenzie@tribunemedia.net

M

OODY’s said yesterday strengthening in The Bahamas’ tourism sector and continued foreign direct investment (FDI) projects will help sustain growth in the range of 1.5 to two percent over 2018-2019. Despite this the credit ratings agency - in its updated credit opinion on this nation yesterday maintained the country’s Baa3 credit rating with a negative outlook. This outlook, it said, “reflects potential downside risks to the fiscal consolidation process posed by weaker-than-expected growth, exposure to climate-related shocks in the form of hurricanes, and implementation risks associated with measures to rein in expenditure growth and increase revenue intake”. Moody’s’ warned that absent successful fiscal consolidation, The Bahamas’ fiscal and credit profile

MINISTER OF FINANCE K PETER TURNQUEST

PRIME MINISTER DR HUBERT MINNIS

would likely weaken. “In addition, the sovereign is exposed to contingent liabilities stemming from state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and the Bank of The Bahamas, which, should they materialise on the government’s balance sheet, would lead to a further deterioration in the government’s fiscal strength,” said Moody’s. It warned it would downgrade the rating if, over the next 12-18 months, it observes that government’s

fiscal consolidation efforts are “unlikely to reduce deficits to levels that would reverse the trend of rising debt ratios and lead to a stabilisation in government debt metrics”. “Downward rating pressure would also emerge if economic growth were to underperform relative to government expectations, negatively impacting revenue and overall fiscal metrics. We would also consider a downgrade if contingent liabilities

stemming from Bank of The Bahamas – or other SOEs – materialise on the sovereign’s balance sheet, leading to a material worsening of government debt metrics. “Factors that could lead to an upgrade We would change the negative outlook to stable if the government’s efforts to reduce the fiscal deficit lead to the reversal of the debt trend such that The Bahamas’ fiscal strength and policy effectiveness would be consistent with a Baa3 rating. Evidence that measures implemented to rein in expenditures and enhance fiscal policy controls would remain in place over the coming years, ensuring greater fiscal discipline and providing the government with more fiscal space to face shocks, would also support the stabilisation of the outlook,” the ratings agency said. In response to Moody’s announcement Finance Minister K Peter Turnquest said: “The ratings

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Ready or not - Sept 1 deadline for new gaming taxes By NATARIO MCKENZIE

Tribune Business Reporter

nmckenzie@tribunemedia.net THE twin five percent levies on customer deposits and over-the-counter (OTC) lottery sales will take effect on September 1, Tourism Minister Dionisio D’Aguilar, pictured, confirmed yesterday while at the same time acknowledging some gaming houses were still not ready for roll-out. Speaking with reporters ahead of yesterday’s Cabinet meeting, Mr D’Aguilar said: “When we consulted with the gaming houses, they said they were not ready. They were still not ready and we shifted the date to the first of September. “We are trying to accommodate them, they said they simply were not ready to roll it out, they’re close but it would have been a muddled roll out, some of them were ready some of them were not, so we decided in the best interest of keeping everything fair and equal, that we would accommodate those that had not had an opportunity to roll it out to put it to the first of September. I was advised that that was the recommendation

of the Gaming Board to the Ministry of Finance and they agreed.” Gaming house operators have warned the new taxes will discourage many of its patrons from gambling, with FML Group of Companies CEO Craig Flowers suggesting it could lead to a loss of one third of the industry. Once in force, patrons will pay the five percent levies on deposits and over-thecounter (ORTC) lottery sales. Christiansen Capital Advisors, in a study commissioned by The Bahamas Gaming House Operators Association (BGHOA), predicted the taxes would suck between $13.3m and $19.9m annually from the pockets of Bahamian gaming patrons and alter consumer behaviour. The delay in implementing the taxes stem from the need to “re-certify” web shop systems and games.

RBC scam shows direct downside on debit cards By NATARIO MCKENZIE

Tribune Business Reporter

nmckenzie@tribunemedia.net A LEADING accountant and fraud expert yesterday urged Bahamians to be aware of the fraud risks associated with debit card usage, noting its duel benefit has been a “blessing and a curse”. Kendrick Christie, a Grant Thornton partner and certified fraud examiner, told Tribune Business that while consumer debit cards once were only ATM cards, most banks operating in The Bahamas have

KENDRICK CHRISTIE turned them into VISAs as well. “This has been a blessing and a curse as it benefits consumers who

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Family Islands need planned airlift strategy By NATARIO MCKENZIE

Tribune Business Reporter

nmckenzie@tribunemedia.net THIS nation must develop and implement a “sustainable airlift plan” for the Family Islands using Lynden Pindling International Airport (LPIA) as the hub, a tourism executive said yesterday arguing the “opportunity is ripe”. Kerry Fountain, the Bahamas Out Island Promotion Board’s (BOIPB) executive director told Tribune Business: “We must take the necessary action

KERRY FOUNTAIN and not just continue to pay it lip service. We must develop and implement a sustainable airlift plan using LPIA as a hub. Approximately 365,000 empty seats arrive in Nassau every year

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HURRICANES HAPPEN. ARE YOU PREPARED? HURRICANE SAFETY TIPS TIP #

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