05202020 BUSINESS

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business@tribunemedia.net

WEDNESDAY, MAY 20, 2020

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BISX-listed firms warn on dividends By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net SEVERAL BISX-listed companies have warned shareholders against “undue optimism” that dividend payments will continue given the need to preserve cash and liquidity during the COVID-19 pandemic. Both JS Johnson and Family Guardian cautioned investors in their recent 2020 first quarter results filings that the regular capital returns many Bahamian investors have come to regard as routine may be paused due to the ongoing uncertainty over how long and severe any downturn will be. Alister McKellar, JS Johnson’s managing director, disclosed that profits at its agency/brokerage business were down 21 percent year-over-year for the three months to end-March 2020 due to a combination of Hurricane Dorian payouts and COVID-19. “It’s doubtful anyone could have predicted the level of disruption that COVID-19 would cause around the globe,” he wrote. “The pandemic has cost many Bahamians their livelihoods, as closed businesses have had to lay-off employees to cut costs. We were also initially ordered to close, until the government re-classified insurance companies as ‘essential’ and we were allowed to re-open on a limited basis under strict protocols... “On the business front, our agency division experienced a 21 percent decline in profits for the quarter, from $749,646 to $589,038, as a result of lower-thanexpected premiums and a loss of dividend income. We’re still recovering from Dorian and the first quarter was actually shaping up to be positive until the pandemic arrived.” As for Insurance Company of The Bahamas (ICB), the underwriter through which JS Johnson places much of its property and casualty business, net income rose eight percent as a $422,570 increase in contracts with customers offset a $379,909 paper or “unrealised” loss on the value of its investments portfolio. “Overall, net income fell by just over six percent from $1.574m to $1.476m year-on-year,” Mr McKellar added. “This provided the board with enough confidence to declare a dividend of 14 cents per share this quarter.” However, he was quick to warn that such payouts may not continue. “To be prudent, we’d like to caution against undue optimism regarding future dividend levels given the longerterm effect that COVID-19 will likely have on the economy,” the JS Johnson chief wrote. “Times are extremely uncertain at the moment, and all businesses face serious threats to their profitability, with hurricane season also just around the corner.” Mr McKellar’s warning was echoed by Norbert Boissiere, Family Guardian’s chairman, in his 2020 first quarter update to shareholders. “The financial performance of the group will undoubtedly be tested as we continue to

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Web shops heat up govt closure battle By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

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EVERAL web shops yesterday “lit the candle under” their attorney to file legal action against the government by tomorrow “at the latest” over their continuing COVID-19 closure. Wayne Munroe QC, who is representing Paradise Games and TIG Investments, trading as The Island Game, told Tribune Business his clients had ordered him to fast-track litigation and not bother offering the government a chance to reconsider its actions. Blasting the Minnis administration’s treatment of domestic gaming as “unfathomable”, Mr Munroe said he hoped to file the necessary legal papers

• Legal action filed ‘by tomorrow at latest’ • QC: Industry’s treatment ‘unfathomable’ • To fight COVID-19 regulations, their use

WAYNE MUNROE QC with the Supreme Court registry either today or tomorrow. He confirmed that the action will challenge “the validity” of the government’s Emergency Powers regulations in the first

instance and, should that prove unsuccessful, he and his clients will target their use in “singling out gaming houses” as the only industry that cannot provide delivery, drive through or curb side services to patrons. Mr Munroe said he had still been writing the letter, which he had hoped to send to the Prime Minister’s Office last Friday, giving it an opportunity to reverse course and provide the medical explanation for closing domestic gaming once again, when his clients decided to quicken the pace. “We were working on the letter when I spoke to them this morning,” he revealed. “We’ve decided to just file

the action. They pointed put to me that they feel, as a result of the article in your newspaper [on Friday], the government has already had an opportunity to react and didn’t react. “They don’t feel there’s any point wasting time writing to them. I’ve been told I need to, as it were.... they lit the candle under me. I’ve been told to task it, and get it done as quickly as possible.” Describing the mood of his clients and the wider domestic gaming industry, Mr Munroe added: “For most of them it’s more a matter of, I wouldn’t say

A BAHAMIAN retailer yesterday urged the government to “stop picking winners and losers” in determining which businesses are COVID-19 “essentials” after he was forced to fully terminate 20 staff. Egan Kemp, president of Eunison Company, the Shoe Depot parent, reiterated his call for the Minnis administration to provide a medical explanation for the “disparity” in how some businesses and industries have been allowed to re-open while others in the same or different sectors have not. He argued that the restaurant industry was a prime example, as fast-food restaurant chains such as Wendy’s, Burger King and KFC have all been permitted to remain open via drive through services, while those at Arawak Cay and

among them - who have been unable to open due to the restrictions imposed by the government’s Emergency Powers (COVID-19) Orders. Pointing out that it was now two months since the COVID-19 restrictions and lockdowns were imposed, Mr Kemp questioned how it was possible for still-closed businesses to exist without a single cent of revenue income for that period. Although Shoe Depot’s had re-opened on Monday to offer curb-side and pickup services, he revealed that “the numbers are already not adding up” sufficiently to justify continuing this given the fixed utility and labour costs the retailer has to continue meeting.

No decision ‘yet’ on shedding civil service retirees

By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

Mr Kemp added that some customers had already voiced their anger and frustration at not being allowed to enter the stores physically, with one exchange even reaching to “the point of confrontation”. “It’s very difficult. It’s costly,” he told Tribune Business of the present operating “normal” faced by his business and many others. “The numbers are already not adding up. I’ve already told my people that if the numbers don’t improve it’s better to stay closed than open on the curb-side because of electricity and labour costs. It will not be doable. It’s been very hard.

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• Retailer seeks reasons for opening ‘disparity’ • Forced to terminate 20 Shoe Depot workers • Urges: ‘Set parameters, let us operate’ Potter’s Cay Dock have been ordered shuttered. Suggesting that the government was effectively “discriminating against their own” by this, Mr Kemp said it needed to get out of the way and “let us operate” on a level playing field with a common set of “parameters” and health protocols such as restrictions on the number of customers allowed in a store based on its square footage size. Emphasising that he had no quarrel with those industries and companies allowed to open, he explained his concerns were not just for himself or Shoe Depot as there were many other retailers - clothing, electronics and jewellery vendors

K PETER TURNQUEST

THE government had made no decision “as yet” on whether it will seek to cut the $670m civil service wage bill by shedding all public sector workers who have reached retirement age. K Peter Turnquest, in brief messaged replies to Tribune Business questions, said “fundamental decisions” have yet to be made about next week’s 20202021 budget which will set out the government’s short and medium-term plans for tackling the combined economic and fiscal fall-out from Hurricane Dorian and COVID-19. Voicing optimism that the government will successfully be able to obtain the debt financing it needs from both the Bahamian and international capital markets, Mr Turnquest described next week’s presentation to the House of Assembly as a “very pivotal budget once again in terms of the medium and longterm outlook”. He denied, though, that any binding decision has been made to retire all civil servants who have either reached the 65 years retirement age or been in the public service for over 40 years as a means to cut the government’s wage bill. “No decisions have been made in this regard as yet,” Mr Turnquest replied. To bring the government’s costs in line with vastly reduced revenues as a result of COVID-19, many observers have argued that the Minnis administration must reduce recurrent (fixed) expenditure, and the civil service wage bill - together with $83.815m in allowances - remains among its largest expense line items.

‘Stop picking virus winners and losers’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

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Bahamas urged: Break with fiscal ‘false reality’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net BAHAMIANS were yesterday urged by a governance reformer to “take off the rose-coloured glasses and get real” over a post-COVID-19 predicament that has pushed the country “over the fiscal edge”. Robert Myers, the Organisation for Responsible Governance’s (ORG) principal, told Tribune Business that The Bahamas had “kicked the can down the road as far as we can” as the government prepares to further add to a national debt burden that already stood at $8.4bn at year-end 2020. With Hurricane Dorian reconstruction costs already projected to take The Bahamas’s fiscal debt towards the $9.5bn mark, and many observers fearing that 2020-2021 borrowing could fall in the $1bn-$2bn range, Mr Myers called on Bahamians to break with the “false reality” sold by past administrations. This, he argued, had involved persistent fiscal

• Governance reformer: Country ‘over the edge’ • Faces choice between ‘status quo’ or stability • Calls for Recovery Committee transparency

ROBERT MYERS deficits and borrowing to fund a bloated public sector and social benefits that each administration left its successor to cope with knowing that The Bahamas’ rate of gross domestic product (GDP) growth and tax revenues were insufficient to ultimately repay this. Suggesting that muchimproved governance was the most critical element in ensuring The Bahamas can make it through COVID-19’s coming economic

storm, Mr Myers said uncertainty over the timing and strength of tourism’s return means it cannot be “business as usual”. “That’s the biggest change that has to happen post-Dorian and postCOVID-19,” he told Tribune Business. “From a government standpoint they’ve got to become more efficient, they’ve got to become more accountable and they’ve got to become more productive, as well as getting to a balanced Budget. “Nobody expects that to happen overnight, and now is not a great time to be talking about that, but I don’t believe we’re on the fiscal edge. We’re over the fiscal edge, and the correction is not recommended; it’s absolutely paramount. The correction in the way the government has been doing business is not up for debate any more. We’ve kicked the can as far down

the road as it can go.” Acknowledging the financial emergency that the government and Bahamian economy find themselves in as a result of the double blow inflicted by Hurricane Dorian and COVID-19, Mr Myers added that trying to borrow a way out of this predicament will simply result in the country’s debt level and associated interest costs becoming unsustainable. “We can keep borrowing from predatory lenders just as a drug addict keeps smoking cocaine,” he said, “but the cost of doing that is irreversible, just like the drug addict that overdosed. What happens if we have another crisis.” Should another hurricane, COVID-19 virus strain or global recession strike, the ORG chief warned that The Bahamas will “have less and less headroom when the inevitable comes along”.

He added: “The longer we procrastinate, the more likely it is we will encounter failure. It’s just a question of facing the reality. I just think we need to take off the rose-coloured glasses and get real. This is not sustainable. One thing is going to happen. It’s either the end of the status quo or the end of our fiscal stability. One of those things is going to happen. Either way, one of those two things is going to play out over the next 24 months.” Mr Myers argued that The Bahamas still needed to focus on generating sufficient private sector growth to absorb workers from a slimmed down public sector. “I’m not saying we should have a 20 percent cut back in the public sector workforce, or 30 percent cut in public sector pay,” he added. “We must make it a priority to shift five percent of that workforce into the private sector annually. There’s too many people in the public sector, and that recurrent expenditure is killing is and we’re not

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