business@tribunemedia.net
THURSDAY, MAY 6, 2021
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Near ‘border line’ over govt debt write-down
By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net
T
HE government was yesterday urged to “tread very cautiously” because banks and other institutions are at “the border line” of incurring credit losses on their holdings of its bond debt. Gowon Bowe, Fidelity Bank (Bahamas) chief executive, told Tribune Business the Minnis administration’s fiscal actions could have a significant impact on bank, pension fund and insurance company incomes and balance sheets as a result of the multiple credit rating downgrades The Bahamas has suffered from Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s (S&P). Revealing that his BISXlisted institution has already downgraded its government debt holdings from “stage one” to so-called “stage two”, he warned that any pre-election spending binges or other imprudent moves could force his bank
• Top banker urges: ‘Tread very carefully’ • Warns don’t ‘balloon’ spend for election • National debt jumps $1.3bn in nine months
GOWON BOWE and others to take what he termed “a paper loss” by writing down the value of these investments to comply with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). Warning that “there is a lot at stake”, Mr Bowe said Fidelity Bank (Bahamas) had effectively given the government’s fiscal policies “a thumb’s up” by converting some of its cash holdings into one-year bonds. Yet he warned that The
Bahamian aviation no longer ‘a poor orphan’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net A BAHAMIAN aviation attorney yesterday said the industry will “no longer be neglected like a poor orphan child” after this nation ended a near 60-year wait to charge planes for using its air space. Llewellyn Boyer-Cartwright, pictured, who has established his own legal practice, Harley James, said the introduction of an overflight regime - a cause that has been solely championed by The Tribune in recent years - showed the industry
is finally “getting the attention it deserves”. Speaking after Dionisio D’Aguilar, minister of tourism and aviation, said The Bahamas could earn up to $40m annually from the
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QC rejects AG’s assertion on PI crown land fight By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net THE QC acting for a Bahamian developer in his Paradise Island crown land lease dispute yesterday rejected the attorney general’s assertion that his client’s legal case was “going nowhere”. Wayne Munroe, who is acting for Toby Smith and Paradise Lighthouse Beach Club in their action against the government, said they had already obtained a June 23, 2021, date before Supreme Court justice Ian
WAYNE MUNROE QC Winder for a case management hearing. Such hearings are normally held to settle the process for holding a full trial, and Mr Munroe said
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Bahamas’ downgrade to non-investment grade or ‘junk’ status meant that the Minnis administration needed to be especially prudent, notwithstanding this nation’s so far “excellent record” of repaying investors, if it wanted to retain their confidence and ensure ready domestic and foreign appetite for its bonds remains amid elevated postCOVID financing needs. “The government has to tread very cautiously because non-investment grade status does trigger a couple of issues,” Mr Bowe explained to this newspaper. “Up to the end of 2020, we calculated the expected credit loss [on our government debt holdings], and it was not material enough, but it was border-lining. “It is an accounting treatment; it is not an actual loss, but based on our credit
rating there is a possibility of default, so the government has to balance - in the domestic and international markets - the actions it has to take. “They have to be careful that they are not ballooning debt, which is a risk in an election year, and they have to show they are careful in planning expenditure but not at the expense of capital growth.” Fidelity Bank (Bahamas) just-released 2020 audited financial statements highlight the growing risk presented by The Bahamas’ current “junk” creditworthiness, revealing: “Investment securities with credit risk principally comprise debt securities issued by the Government of the Commonwealth of The Bahamas, which were
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‘Very confident’ of hitting fiscal goals while deficit triples By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net
THE Ministry of Finance’s top official yesterday said the government remains “very, very confident” it will meet this fiscal year’s $1.327bn deficit target after running up $878m in “red ink” year-to-date. Marlon Johnson, the acting financial secretary, told Tribune Business revenues were trending “very much in that trajectory” with value-added tax (VAT) collections up 20.9 percent quarter-over-quarter for the three months to endMarch 2021 as the economy continued its post-COVID re-opening. “If you extrapolate out, and assuming we are able to keep the same measure of commercial activity going on, we feel very, very confident we will stay within the predicted deficit,” he said. “We’re trending very much in that trajectory. Barring the unforeseen, we feel very, very confident that we’ll meet that target.” The Ministry of Finance focused on rebounding VAT
MARLON JOHNSON revenues, which are directly tied to transactions and purchases in the economy, as a sign that the economy - and especially tourism are continuing a slow but steady revival that began late last year following a summer and fall plagued by COVID-19 restrictions and lockdowns. “Consistent with the signs of recovery in economic activity, VAT receipts, budgeted at a dominant 44 percent of tax revenue, strengthened to $183.4m in the third quarter from $151.7m in the second quarter and $134.7m in the opening quarter of fiscal year 2020-2021,” the ministry added.
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