04242020 BUSINESS

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business@tribunemedia.net

FRIDAY, APRIL 24, 2020

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Bahamas financing need ‘close to’ $1bn By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

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STANDARD & Poor’s (S&P) analyst yesterday said The Bahamas will need “close to $1bn” to finance this year’s fiscal deficit while predicting “a strong economic recovery” in 2021 and 2022. Jennifer Love, the associate director who heads the rating agency’s assessments on this nation, told a webinar that the government will continue to rack up “large” amounts of red ink over the next two fiscal years due to the revenue

• S&P: ‘Large’ deficits for next two years • Govt debt to soar to around 70% GDP • But ‘strong’ recovery to start in 2021

loss/increased spending associated with both Hurricane Dorian and the COVID-19 pandemic. “In the fiscal year 20192020, I think we anticipate the financing needs to be close to $1bn - I think under that. It will be in excess of their present plan of $677.5m, but under $1bn,” Ms Love said of The Bahamas. Her forecast is in line with the revised $800m deficit predicted earlier this

week by K Peter Turnquest, deputy prime minister, who told the Old Fort Rotary Club via video conference that the government’s tax income had dropped by 70 percent compared to prior year levels due to a combination of tourism shutdown and the wider COVID-19 lockdown. S&P, in materials accompanying the webinar, is projecting that the government’s net debt as a percentage of gross

domestic product (GDP) will soar from around 50 percent in the prior fiscal year to near 70 percent come end-June 2020. It will remain at or close to that level for the next two years through 2022 due to the lingering effects of COVID-19 and Hurricane Dorian, the latter of which was estimated to have inflicted some $3.4bn in damages and losses when

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Private islands are ‘hot like fire’

By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

A BAHAMIAN realtor yesterday said “the private island market has gone hot like fire” as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, adding: “It’s social distancing at its finest.” Gavin Christie, CA Christie’s managing partner and broker, told a Business Unusual webinar on how the virus has impacted Caribbean real estate that private islands and remote Family Island locations were increasingly being viewed as “the new luxury” by wealthy buyers seeking to escape the threat to their health. Revealing that his firm has seen “online activity almost double in the last 14 days”, Mr Christie said

• Luxury properties ‘social distancing at its finest’ • Local realtor sees online activity ‘double’ • Urges market to exploit ‘captive audience’ The Bahamas needed to send the message that it remains “open for business” despite the border closures and travel bans associated with the global response to COVID-19. He told the webinar, moderated by Alexander Britell, the Caribbean Journal’s editor-in-chief, that the pandemic still represented “a huge opportunity” for Bahamian and regional realtors as they could now engage “a captive audience” forced to remain at home in front of their computers by curfews, lockdowns and other restrictions. While yet to see sustained

Judge brands realtor ‘stranger to the truth’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net A SUPREME Court judge has branded a realtor “a stranger to the truth” after finding he sold the same land to two different buyers - Sir Franklyn Wilson and a Bahamian retail entrepreneur. Justice Indra Charles, in an April 17 ruling, said Anthony Ramond Munnings appeared to “have practised a web of deceit over many years” after awarding Andrew Wilson, Quality Business Centre’s

(QBC) principal, some $207,600 in damages. She ruled that Mr Wilson and QBC, an electronic goods retailer, had been “deceived” into purchasing nine western New Providence lots by the “fraudulent misrepresentation” of Mr Munnings who failed to disclose he had sold the same land five years’ earlier to Sir Franklyn’s Harmony Homes company. QBC had initially sought $287,600 in damages, broken down into the $260,000 purchase price;

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Tourism focusing on core markets ‘bang for buck’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

TOURISM must focus on “getting the biggest bang for our buck” with post-COVID-19 marketing strategies given that it will not escape governmentwide budget cuts, a Cabinet minister said yesterday. Dionisio D’Aguilar, minister of tourism and aviation, told Tribune Business that his ministry would likely have to “defer” targeting new markets to concentrate on building confidence among American and Canadian travellers that The

Bahamas is a “safe” and healthy destination. “I think tourism is going to have to live, as most ministries are, with a reduced budget. We’re no different from anyone else,” he said. “We obviously have to market the country when the time comes, but there’s a certain amount of headwind. “Our key market is the US, and it’s in a tailspin. There are 25m unemployed, and a 25 percent reduction in GDP. Their economy is being devastated by this virus, and that’s our core market. You add on top of

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efforts to negotiate prices downwards on purchases already in motion, Mr Christie said both residential and commercial tenants are seeking to renegotiate rates and terms with their landlords. He noted, in particular, that there were large companies typically paying between $40,000 to $60,000 per month in rent who were closed and earning zero income to service this. Mr Christie said he was encouraging buyers to “use this time wisely” and “do their groundwork” and research on properties that they would potentially like to purchase. And he was

also urging sellers that “now is the time to go” given that the COVID-19 pandemic will have driven away “a lot of the tyre kickers” to leave serious buyers only in the market. “When this pandemic really started to hit home and I realised all the world’s borders were closing, I saw this as a huge opportunity,” Mr Christie told the webinar. “It’s the first time you have the entire world sitting down in front of a computer or smart device. I saw it as a huge opportunity to have a captive audience.”

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Extend jobless benefits to 26 weeks, govt told By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net THE Chamber of Commerce’s labour specialist yesterday urged the government to extend unemployment benefits to 26 weeks to prevent companies from having to terminate workers. Peter Goudie told Tribune Business he was “very hopeful” that the Minnis administration would repeat its post-Hurricane Dorian practice of doubling the period during which unemployed storm victims were able to receive benefits from the National Insurance Board (NIB). He argued that this was the best way to deal with the conundrum presented by reforms to the Employment Act enacted under the Christie administration, which stipulate that after 12-13 weeks - around 90 days companies must provide due statutory/termination pay to employees who may have been laid-off or sent home. Hundreds of businesses have temporarily furloughed thousands of Bahamian workers in response to the COVID-19 shutdown with the intention of re-hiring many once the economy re-opens. However, with no end in sight to the pandemic locally or internationally, some firms are getting increasingly fearful that the “90-day” clause will kick-in and they will be required by law to pay full severance. This is a cost many can ill-afford to bear and, while employees may be relieved to receive a large financial package, they will still have little prospect of securing regular employment and incomes given the ongoing crisis. “If you remember from Hurricane Dorian they extended the unemployment benefit from 13 weeks to 26 weeks,” Mr Goudie told this newspaper. “I believe

PETER GOUDIE they’re looking at that again given this pandemic. “I don’t think people want to be paid out and not have a job, and not have any prospects of a job. If there’s some way that the government can fund NIB to increase the unemployment benefit; some way to extend it, it makes sense. “I don’t think people really want to be paid out. I think people really want a job. It’s fine to get a pay out, but what do you do when the country is shut down. It’s an awful situation to be in because you have no permanent separation,” Mr Goudie continued. “So I’m very hopeful, and I use that word strongly, that the government will seek to extend the unemployment benefit like they did with Hurricane Dorian.” Backing the government’s efforts, led by the prime minister and Dr Duane Sands, minister of health, to control COVID-19’s spread in The Bahamas, Mr Goudie said success here was critical to the speed and extent to which the country’s economy opened back up. “I brag about this to people in other countries because they’re doing a good job, and I’m glad it’s the doctors in charge,” he added. “I’m really hopeful that if we can control COVID-19 in our country we can increase commerce even more than we have now. “There are recommendations coming from the

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