04232020 BUSINESS

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business@tribunemedia.net

THURSDAY, APRIL 23, 2020

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‘No rebound for six months’

By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

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TOP banking executive yesterday said The Bahamas “won’t see any rebound in the economy for six months” at least as the “first wave” of loan deferral requests hits the industry. Gowon Bowe, an exChamber of Commerce chairman, told Tribune Business that the economic fall-out from the COVID19 pandemic could “last for many months” given that The Bahamas’ core US tourism source markets still appeared to be near

from COVID-19 will have to take the form of a “publicprivate partnership (PPP)” rather than be a “government-driven stimulus” due to the Public Treasury’s cash-strapped condition and long-term consequences of loading Bahamian taxpayers with massive amounts of new debt. “The reality is this could extend for many months. We don’t know,” Mr Bowe told this newspaper of the pandemic’s economic

By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

GOWON BOWE

devastation. “All we can say is that traditionally in The Bahamas the September/ October period is the slow months. The summer used to be slow, but it has picked up in recent years. “If they’re not open by May 1, the hotels in terms of any meaningful occupancy will not see that until that until Thanksgiving..... I think we’re going to have to be open-minded, but I’m fairly

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Most Eleuthera firms suffer 90% drop-off By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

ELEUTHERA’S private sector yesterday called for an 18-24 month construction sector tax break package after the national lockdown caused a “greater than 90 percent” drop-off for most businesses. Thomas Sands, president of the island’s Chamber of Commerce, told Tribune Business that the construction industry should be targeted for incentives due to its “tremendous potential for restarting the economy” amid the gradual easing of COVID-19 restrictions. With 83 percent of firms canvassed by the Eleuthera Chamber revealing that business activity has come to a virtual standstill due to the national lockdown, Mr Sands urged the Minnis

• Some 83% say business has dried up • Call for 18-24 month construction stimulus • Fully re-open COVID-free islands internally

THOMAS SANDS administration to backup Sunday’s decision to re-open construction and associated building materials suppliers on the Family Islands with a well thoughtout stimulus package. He argued that VAT concessions and other

Escape virus crisis through ‘currency swap’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net A MULTI-BILLION dollar “currency swap” with the US Federal Reserve would provide The Bahamas with the necessary foreign currency to recover from the COVID-19 crisis, it has been advocated. Dr Johnathan Rodgers, the well-known “eye doctor”, writing in on Page 2B in Tribune Business today, argues that The Bahamas would merely be following other countries by agreeing to exchange Bahamian for US dollars with the American Central Bank. While the Bahamian dollar is a non-convertible currency, Dr Rodgers suggests these holdings could be recycled and used to acquire loss-making stateowned enterprises (SOEs) such as Bahamasair and Bahamas Power & Light (BPL). He added that “the ultimate goal” would be turning them into profitable,

efficient operations in which Bahamian investors also have equity ownership. Dr Rodgers says the government has no choice but to “take some unconventional and creative steps” when it comes to rescuing the Bahamian economy from the COVID-19 fallout due to its own high debt levels, the costs associated with further local and foreign currency borrowing, and the need to maintain the fixed exchange rate peg with the US dollar. “It is imperative that the government find a source of inexpensive US dollars,” he argues. “In my opinion, the cheapest and most readily available source of such US dollar funding would be through means of a currency swap between the US Federal Reserve and the Central Bank of the Bahamas. “Over the past two weeks, Central Banks in numerous countries have entered

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tax breaks should also be provided to connected industries, such as a real estate, in a bid to “re-ignite” buyer interest in deals that were either cancelled or put on hold due to the government’s COVID-19 measures. And Mr Sands urged the government to give serious thought to re-opening all businesses on islands such as Eleuthera where no trace of COVID-19 has yet been found, pointing out that all aspects of their economies are interconnected and cannot function properly without sectors that are missing. Confirming that

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General insurers say: ‘Show some respect’

• Thanksgiving next chance for major resort occupancy • Fidelity chief called for PPP over economic recovery • March ‘a mirage’ as banks brace for loan deferrals

the peak of their infections/ death surge. He suggested that endNovember’s Thanksgiving holiday likely represented the first chance for Bahamian resorts to enjoy “any meaningful occupancy”, given that the industry has now missed the balance of the peak winter season, and even that was uncertain. Mr Bowe, Fidelity Bank (Bahamas) chief financial officer, added that this nation’s economic recovery

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Eleuthera’s private sector has not been spared from the nationwide lockdown, Mr Sands revealed in e-mailed replies to Tribune Business questions: “The Eleuthera Chamber of Commerce launched a survey earlier this week to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on businesses. “Our initial results indicate that 83 percent of respondents have experienced a decline of greater than 90 percent in business activity. This is significant.” Nor was the island immune from the global tourism

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PROPERTY and casualty insurers yesterday urged the government to “show some respect for the industry” after they were blindsided by inclusion in the government’s premium deferral initiative. Anton Saunders, RoyalStar Assurance’s managing director, told Tribune Business that ministers and their officials simply needed to “pick up the phone” and discuss their intentions with companies set to be impacted by legislative reforms and policy decisions. He was backed by Patrick Ward, Bahamas First’s president and chief executive, who confirmed that property and casualty underwriters had been “caught by surprise” through the government’s decision to include the segment in its latest Emergency Powers (COVID-19) (Special Provisions) (Amendment) Order 2020 dated April 16.

Farmers see ‘quadrupling’ of interest By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net THE Bahamian public’s interest in farming and growing their own produce has “quadrupled” due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the head of an agriculture group said yesterday. Caron Shepherd, president of the newly-formed Bahamas Agro Entrepreneurs Group, told Tribune Business yesterday that while “it’s sad that it took a pandemic event for the populace to understand” the industry’s value

Revealing that his staff “are analysing right now what the impact might be”, Mr Ward said both the government and industry would “benefit from a higher degree of consultation” before such initiatives were finalised and took effect. Both men were responding after the government decided to include all segments of the Bahamian insurance industry in its expanded consumer protection coverage. This had previously only applied to the life and health insurance industry, excluding property and casualty insurers such as Bahamas First and RoyalStar. Tribune Business previously revealed how the initial version of the order left life and health insurers “up in arms” after as it required underwriters to continue paying multi-million dollar claims without receiving any premium income in return for the duration of the COVID-19 lockdown something several likened

SEE PAGE 6 it has also provided farmers with much-needed attention. And, with the head of the United Nations’ (UN) World Food Programme this week warning numerous countries face a “famine of biblical proportions” due to COVID-19’s impact on agricultural production, Ms Shepherd argued that The Bahamas needed to “take the bull by the horns” and take clearly-defined strides towards improved food security. “This is something that has been on the agenda for quite some time but has never got any attention, and it’s only now that we’re realising how much attention it needs,” she added of food security. “The minister [Michael Pintard] is trying to

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