04152020 BUSINESS

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business@tribunemedia.net

WEDNESDAY, APRIL 15, 2020

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Govt’s $20m small business loan facility 60% oversubscribed By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net THE government’s $20m small business support initiative has already been oversubscribed by some 60 percent, data provided to Tribune Business revealed last night. Figures supplied by the Small Business Development Centre (SBDC) showed that micro and small business (MSME) applications to the Business Continuity Loan programme to-date are collectively seeking more than $32m in financial support to ride out the fall-out from the COVID-19 pandemic. Some $1.2m has already been disbursed to these companies, with $5.5m worth of applications approved to-date by the SBDC and the initiative’s lenders. The data shows 63 MSME applications have been approved, with 563 completed submissions received and another 1,120 in a state of partial completion. The applications cover companies that collectively employ 2,656 full-time, and 664 part-time, workers. “It has surpassed the $20m expected,” an SBDC spokesperson said of the demand for the Business Continuity Loan initiative. “The government will make announcements regarding an increase once a decision has been taken. “We believe the impact will be significant, as it will allow businesses to maintain a favourable position with obligations during the economic shutdown and to brace themselves for economic recovery. Economic recovery recommendations will soon be finalised in consultation with the government and MSME stakeholders.” A breakdown of applicants by industry reveals that around one-quarter, or $8m, of the total financial assistance being sought relates to applications from MSMEs in the services sector. A further $6.334m, or 20 percent, has been requested by those in the retail sector, and $6.881m by firms classified as “other” industries. Manufacturing applicants have sought a combined $3.23m, amounting to ten percent of the total, with those in finance, insurance and real estate and construction requesting a total $1.657m and $2.146m respectively. MSMEs in the wholesale industry, and transportation, communications, gas and sanitary services, have requested $1.68m and $1.282m, respectively. The SBDC data suggests that the $50m estimated by small business consultant, Mark A Turnquest, as being necessary to meet the demand for help by MSMEs may not have been too far off the mark. K Peter Turnquest, deputy prime minister, told the House of Assembly in late March that almost 75 percent of the $20m small business loan facility has been covered by the nearly400 applications received at that date. He said at the time that existing applicants had requested close to $15m in assistance from the Business Continuity Loan initiative, and disclosed that the government had expanded its MSME assistance by $5m to enable employers to meet staff payroll through grants ranging from $2,000 to

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Top auto dealer lays-off 80 staff By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

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MAJOR auto dealer yesterday confirmed it is temporarily laying-off 80 staff as the industry prepares to make its case to the government for a partial opening amid the COVID-19 lockdown. Fred Albury, the Auto Mall’s principal, told Tribune Business that the company planned to follow the lead established by the likes of Atlantis, Baha Mar and Cable Bahamas in paying employees an additional sum on top of what they will receive from the National Insurance Board (NIB). Disclosing that the Shirley Street-headquartered

• Auto Mall: No option in COVID-19 uncertainty • Industry to petition govt for partial opening • Argues customers ‘must keep cars running’ business had paid all due salaries through to the end of this week, he said the continued uncertainty over how long the COVID-19 pandemic and associated economic shutdown will last had left Auto Mall with little choice but to reduce costs given that it is earning zero revenues. Mr Albury, who is also the Bahamas Motor Dealers Association’s (BMDA) president, revealed that the industry is readying its arguments to be allowed to open its parts and service departments “in a limited

capacity” so that vehicles can receive much-needed repairs. He added that his business, as well as other dealers and auto repair shops, were fielding frequent customer calls including from workers in “essential services” that are exempt from the shutdown and “need to have their cars running”. Pointing out that government vehicles will also require attention, Mr Albury said BMDA members were willing to open for a limited time and comply with social distancing

protocols plus the need for all consumers and employees to be wearing protective masks. Reiterating his belief that new vehicle sales will decline by at least 50-60 percent in 2020 due to the pandemic, Mr Albury predicted that the industry and wider Bahamian economy will encounter “rough going until about August/September” with revival prospects hinging on when - and to what extent - tourism activity revives.

THE International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) projection yesterday that The Bahamas will swiftly rebound from COVID-19 despair with 6.7 percent GDP growth in 2021 “must be taken with a grain of salt”. Gowon Bowe, Fidelity Bank (Bahamas) chief financial officer, told Tribune Business that any economic growth projections at this point in the pandemic “are simply a punt” based on economic models whose underlying assumptions are likely to change rapidly as the virus evolves. Warning Bahamians not to place their hopes on such forecasts, even though they represent a glimmer of hope for both private sector and workforce, Mr Bowe said it was impossible to predict how long and deep any COVID-19 related recession will be.

JAMES SMITH

He added that “the earliest” anyone could accurately predict The Bahamas’ GDP (economic output) will probably be June, as he urged against “false prophesising” that was either overly optimistic or preached “doom and gloom” when it came to this nation’s prospects. Mr Bowe was backed by James Smith, former

minister of state for finance, who yesterday told Tribune Business that the IMF’s forecasts were best described as “guesstimates”. He added: “I don’t see 2021 being any more robust for anyone really. “I can see this thing stretching out in the best of circumstances into 2022, and maybe longer for us. We’re closer to this thing even if

Tourism grapples with ‘new normal’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

it’s all speculative at this stage. Our major hotels are closed and we have no idea whether when they open they’ll do so at full capacity because that depends on demand from the US. It’s going to be a long and slow road coming back.” Mr Smith said much hinges on how rapidly travel and tourism confidence rebounds from the COVID19 health fears, and the willingness of persons to travel again on airlines and cruise ships. And he warned that companies were likely to re-open with muchreduced workforces. “Once you send that amount of people to the unemployment line, it doesn’t follow that when

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• 2021 Bahamas prediction ‘simply a punt’ • June ‘earliest’ for accurate GDP review • Ex-minister brands it as ‘guesstimate’

GOWON BOWE

DIONISIO D’AGUILAR

A CABINET minister yesterday said the tourism industry’s “contact sport” must grapple with a “new normal” focused on health and safety in a postCOVID-19 environment. Dionisio D’Aguilar, minister for tourism and aviation, told reporters outside the Cabinet Office: “We are now grappling with the period after lockdown and curfew. We are trying to determine how best to get tourism cranked up and moving again. “Tourism, as you can imagine, is a contact sport and, as the COVID-19 virus has demonstrated, coming into contact with people leads to community spread. So we have to devise a product, and devise a tourism industry, that lessens the contact but allows for the experience.” Mr D’Aguilar added: “We have to figure out how a business could operate, a hotel or restaurant, in this new norm. How do we social distance in a business that, by and large, requires a lot of human contact. “So businesses have to think how they are going to operate because a customer is going to want to know when I come to your place, I am not going to get sick, and the person that operates the place is going to want to know that when you come, you don’t make me sick. So we have to put in place protocols to ensure that everybody can operate in a safe and healthy environment.”

Take IMF’s 6.7% growth forecast ‘with grain of salt’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

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Realtor urges 50% sales tax rate cut By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

A PROMINENT realtor yesterday urged the government to slash the tax rate on property sales by 50 percent and “cut all the red tape” to stimulate “real money” inflows to The Bahamas. John Christie, HG Christie’s president and managing broker, called on the government to “get proactive” in stimulating real estate sales on the basis that the industry potentially represents this nation’s best source of foreign currency earnings amid the COVID-19 lockdown and its immediate aftermath. He told Tribune Business that the VAT rate on real estate sales should be temporarily cut in half, a move that would drop it to five percent for all property valued above $100,000 and just one percent below that benchmark, arguing that Turks & Caicos had already done this and seemed to be enjoying some success. Noting that tax cuts appeared to have stimulated a $42m private island

• HG Christie chief: ‘Cut red tape and free economy’ • Says real estate now ‘main currency inflow source’ • Predicts industry sales to fall 50% due to COVID-19

JOHN CHRISTIE sale in The Bahamas’ southeastern neighbour, Mr Christie argued that such a move - which would not be a permanent tax cut - could generate much-needed economic activity and Public Treasury revenues at a time when its main tourism source has all but dried up. The HG Christie chief also called for the “opening up of the Family Islands” to foreign buyers when it came to large Bahamianowned land tracts greater than two acres. He argued

that the government’s previous reluctance to approve such deals often blocked potential exit routes for Bahamian owners, while also discouraging investment that could turn such land into job-creating, productive properties. And Mr Christie also urged the government to revamp its predecessor’s Homeowner Protection Act as a way to free-up mortgage financing availability for Bahamians. He argued among the Act’s unforeseen consequences was that it had further discouraged banks and other institutions from lending due to the increased difficulty of realising collateral security for delinquent loans. Predicting that Bahamian real estate volumes will decline by 50 percent in 2020 due to the loss of “two quarters of sales” due to COVID-19, Mr Christie said the market’s comeback

will depend on the timing - and extent to which - the world opens up once the pandemic’s health concerns. “The government needs to get proactive about encouraging real estate sales as one way of getting real hard money coming in,” he told Tribune Business. “I know Turks & Caicos reduced their transfer tax by 50 percent for that reason to encourage sales, and they’ve put a $42m private island under contract because of that. “That encouraged people to buy because they save money but you also still get money into the Treasury, so we should start doing the same thing; not indefinitely but while this lasts. Right now everybody has stopped, is not doing anything and is waiting to see what happens. If they cut the VAT sales/transfer tax to 5 percent, more sales happen and you make more money

cutting it than by keeping it where it is. “They’re [the Treasury] not making any money anyway, so this will be an incentive to push that along. Turks & Caicos has already implemented it and having success with it. This [tax cut] is not something we’re committing long-term; it’s just to get money into the Treasury,” Mr Christie explained. “With no tourism, real estate is the main source of money coming in from the outside world.” Urging the government to streamline the real estate investment approval process, the HG Christie chief said it “is crazy” that the Cabinet - through the Investments Board and National Economic Council (NEC) - have to approve all purchases by non-Bahamians of more than two acres in the Family Islands. Arguing that this has stifled economic growth and development in many Bahamian islands, Mr Christie added: “We need to get that going, and the government to open up the Family

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