03302021 BUSINESS

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business@tribunemedia.net

TUESDAY, MARCH 30, 2021

$4.81 Nassau/PI hotels suffer 90% room revenue decline By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net NASSAU/Paradise Island hotels suffered a 90 percent year-over-year decline in January room revenues to highlight just how slow the initial post-COVID rebound actually was. While that revival now seems to be gaining some momentum as the industry heads into its traditional Easter peak, the Central Bank’s report on February’s monthly economic developments exposed just how dire the post-New Year performance was by revealing that total visitor arrivals for the prior month were down 96.6 percent - a year-overyear fall of 663,000. “Tourism metrics for the month of January revealed that the sector’s output remained contracted, as globally imposed travel restrictions associated with COVID-19 resulted in air traffic recording historically low levels of visitors and with sea arrivals largely eliminated,” the Central Bank said in something of an understatement. “Official data provided by the Ministry of Tourism showed that total foreign arrivals by first port of entry fell to 23,619 visitors during the month, markedly lower than the 687,200 arrivals in the same period last year. In particular, sea arrivals were virtually absent, relative to the 10.8 percent gain in 2020, while air arrivals reduced considerably by 83.4 percent, extending the 3.5 percent decline in the previous year. “A disaggregation by major islands indicated that in New Providence total arrivals corresponded to a mere 3.8 percent of the 2020 volumes, reflective of decreases in both sea (99.7 percent) and air (88 percent) traffic,” it continued. “Further, arrivals to Grand Bahama were only 2.8 percent of the prior year’s outturn, as air arrivals reached 23.9 percent of the previous year’s level. Similarly, visitors to the Family Islands corresponded to 3.1 percent of the previous year’s volumes.” This, not surprisingly, was reflected in the hotel industry’s January performance. “Data from The Bahamas Hotel & Tourism Association (BHTA) and the Ministry of Tourism, which covers a sample of large hotels in New Providence and Paradise Island, confirmed the deterioration in the hotel sector performance.”

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‘Terrifying proposition’ of COVID third wave By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

R

EIMPOSING COVID-19 restrictions to combat a “third wave” of infections was yesterday branded “a terrifying proposition” for Bahamian businesses already struggling with pandemic-inflicted devastation. Ben Albury, Bahamas Bus and Truck’s general manager, told Tribune Business that reverting back to lockdowns and other measures employed in 2020 would “destroy” the progress this nation has made to-date in reviving its vital tourism industry. Speaking after public health officials yesterday voiced concerns that rising infections suggest The Bahamas is on the brink of suffering a COVID-19 “third wave”, Mr Albury urged the government to only reimpose restrictions “under the most extreme circumstances” given that many businesses “are very close to failing” due to the events of the past 12 months. Robert Sands, the Bahamas Hotel and Tourism Association’s (BHTA)

• Action urged ‘only in most extreme circumstances’

BEN ALBURY

SIR FRANKLYN WILSON

ROBERT SANDS

president, yesterday declined to comment on what he described as “speculation” about how the government may react to rising COVID19 case numbers. However, he confirmed that any new restrictions would be a major setback for the country’s tourism re-opening as it would disrupt “the momentum that is growing week by week” due to the “encouraging booking pace” that is being felt across all sectors of the Bahamian tourism industry. And Sir Franklyn Wilson, the Arawak Homes and Sunshine Holdings chairman, echoed by Mr Albury

by asserting that renewed COVID-19 health restrictions are “the last thing this country needs” since they could be “a real pathway to some dark days”. The trio spoke as Dr Nikkiah Forbes, The Bahamas’ top infectious diseases specialist, yesterday confirmed public health officials were on alert amid a growing belief that the recent increase in COVID-19 cases has placed this nation on the brink of enduring a “third wave” of infections. She confirmed it was “fully possible” that cases may further skyrocket due to family and social interaction

over the upcoming Easter holiday weekend, adding: “There is a sustained uptick in the number of cases and that is very concerning, and there could be an increase in cases after the holiday weekend if we are not following the health instructions.” Some 167 new COVID19 cases were recorded last week, followed by 160 the previous week. This is understood to have concerned the government, sparking discussions at the Cabinet level over whether certain islands may now need tighter restrictions, with some public

HARBOUR Island resort operators yesterday revealed business activity is at 90 percent of pre-COVID levels for Easter and beyond as they hailed a “phenomenal” rebound from the pandemic. Joseph Dargavage, partner at Romora Bay Resort & Marina, told Tribune Business that business levels for the next six to seven months were some 20 percentage points higher than he had anticipated in his original forecast. “Harbour Island is really looking great for Easter. We are not only looking forward to Easter being great but all the way through to July,” he disclosed. “It’s better than expected. At Romora Bay, I was budgeting over the next six to seven months to do about 70 percent of 2019 numbers,

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Minister issues challenge: Develop ‘projects of scale’

By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

A CABINET minister has challenged Bahamian entrepreneurs to develop “projects of scale” that can accommodate hundreds of cruise ship passengers in similar manner to Atlantis. Dionisio D’Aguilar, minister of tourism and aviation, told Tribune Business that he and his officials have been “banging our heads against the wall trying to figure out” how The Bahamas can develop tours and excursions of sufficient size to cope with thousands of visitors set to arrive in Nassau when the industry resumes sailing from south Florida. Arguing that the government cannot develop such businesses by itself, and can only act as a facilitator, Mr D’Aguilar said it was up to Bahamian business owners with the vision, experience and ability to raise the necessary capital to solve a

• Larger attractions needed for cruise growth • Tourism ‘banging heads on wall’ over issue • Says ‘govt cannot solve these problems’

DIONISIO D’AGUILAR long-standing problem. He added that Atlantis’ success in becoming the leading shore excursion for cruise passengers pre-COVID-19 was partly due to its scale as its waterbased theme park is able to accommodate several thousand passengers per day. While many Bahamian entrepreneurs have developed successful tours,

destinations and excursions that can cater to around 100 cruise passengers, Mr D’Aguilar said there simply were not enough of these to cope with the 12,000 passengers that controlling shareholder, Global Ports Holding, expects to come across Nassau Cruise Port’s wharves daily when its $250m upgrade is completed. Speaking after Tribune Business revealed that 43 percent of cruise ship passengers coming off their vessel in Nassau spent less than $50 during their visit, and that 2019 per capita spending was lower than yields in 2013, Mr D’Aguilar said he was more focused on the 10.3 percent increase in total spending in the Bahamian capital to $325.78m that year.

• Destination branded ‘insanely busy’ for Easter • Business exceeds resort forecast by 20% pts • Operators eye rebound going into summer but the way it’s looking now we’re going to be in the order of 90 percent of 2019. “We’re almost getting back. My guess is that the boating and yachting sector will be getting close to preCOVID-19 numbers by the end of the summer.... Over the last three weeks, and now through Easter, Harbour Island is actually at 100 percent occupancy on the hotel side and 80 percent occupancy on the marina side. It’s very strong for Harbour Island and the Out Islands.” Benjamin Simmons, proprietor of The Other Side and Ocean View properties, echoed Mr Dargavage in telling this newspaper: “We’ve had a phenomenal

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SAM DUNCOMBE

Activists demand • Restriction return would ‘destroy’ tourism revival 90-day extension • And choke-off ‘momentum growing week-by-week’ to Disney review

‘Phenomenal’: Briland at 90% of pre-COVID levels By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

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month. It’s right up there to 2019 levels. We’ve probably, between Christmas and Easter, ten percent off what we did in 2018 and 2019, and leading up in 2020 when all hell broke loose. Easter is looking great.” He added that his resorts are also set to benefit from the “huge backlog” of destination weddings that have built up after COVID19 lockdowns and other restrictions meant 25 such occasions that were on their books for 2020 had to be postponed. “A handful cancelled but most stuck in there,” Mr Simmons said. “It’s happened all around the world. People couldn’t tie the knot. Now there’s a shortfall in

capacity because all these other people were booked in for 2021. We’re trying to schedule people [from 2020] back in, but there are also people booked for 2022 who want to move up to 2021. “It’s created demand for the off-season. We’re doing four weddings in July and normally we wouldn’t do any in July. May, June, July and August, it’s booked out for a wedding every weekend at either property. And the same again from November when the winter season starts. The wedding market is really expanding.” Mr Simmons said the need for visitors to obtain a negative COVID-19 PCR

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He admitted, though, that “there’s a certain element of destination fatigue” with Nassau given that many cruise passengers have already visited the destination and believe there is nothing new for them to do. While the investment being made by Global Ports Holding and (eventually) and Bahamian investors in the new cruise port will not automatically increase cruise passenger spending by itself, Mr D’Aguilar added that it should nevertheless act as a catalyst to entice more passengers off their vessel to explore Nassau. “It’s up to our entrepreneurs, and through the Tourism Development Corporation they’re fighting

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By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net ENVIRONMENTAL activists yesterday urged the government to extend the consultation over the Lighthouse Point project to 90 days while accusing it of leaving the process “in Disney’s hands”. Sam Duncombe, reEarth’s president, yesterday told Tribune Business that the public consultation over the planned cruise destination appeared to be akin “to the fox guarding the chickens” given that it was Disney and not the Department of Environmental Planning and Protection (DEPP) - that had taken over responsibility for receiving and collating public feedback. “The reality is that the clock should have started running from the time they presented the Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA),” Mrs Duncombe said of the activists’ bid for a 40-day extension to the consultation period allowed by the government. “Disney is accepting comments on the project, and the EIA has not even been put on the DEPP’s website. They are not asking for comments. They have basically put the entire process in Disney’s hands. If that’s not the fox guarding the chickens, I don’t know what is. “I find the government’s position egregious in that they are allowing a foreign developer to guide the conversation about what should and shouldn’t happen in this country. The EIA has major gaps and holes in it.” Mrs Duncombe said she and other Bahamian environmental groups are still studying the 551-page EIA, but identified one of the alleged flaws as the seeming absence of any study on bonefish migration. Arguing that Disney Cruise Line had held the activists “at arm’s length and struck us out of the ball park” by failing to engage with their concerns, she added that the EIA did not address the impacts and consequences of climate change fully enough.

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