03192020 BUSINESS

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business@tribunemedia.net

THURSDAY, MARCH 19, 2020

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$4.4bn economic blow: ‘Playbook out window’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

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HE coronavirus and Hurricane Dorian are threatening to deal The Bahamas an “unprecedented” $4.4bn blow, with the deputy prime minister revealing yesterday: “The playbook is out the window.” K Peter Turnquest, speaking to Tribune Business after revealing that the COVID-19 outlook is “tilting” towards projections of a $1bn loss for the four months to end-June 2020, described the pandemic as “hopefully a once-in-a-lifetime event” that was impossible for government planners to anticipate. Agreeing that The Bahamas had never before in its history experienced such economic and fiscal stress, Mr Turnquest said the Ministry of Finance remained confident that - for the moment - the government can handle a projected $147m COVID-19 related fiscal hit from the additional

• DPM: $1bn virus loss adds to Dorian • Holding to deficit despite new $147m hit • Accessing IMF’s $200m facility last resort • External reserves to shrink $900m in 2020

K PETER TURNQUEST $508m in net new borrowing recently approved by Parliament to finance Hurricane Dorian reconstruction. Confirming that the government is seeking to remain within the expanded $677.5m post-Dorian deficit limit, he added that it was “reprioritising and rearranging” its financing to both “meet the health and security needs” of Bahamians and provide financial support to hardpressed businesses and

COVID-19 ‘worst ever catastrophe’ for the workforce By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net A TRADE union leader yesterday branded the coronavirus as “the worst catastrophe” Bahamian workers have ever faced due to the uncertainty over how long it will last. Obie Ferguson, pictured, the Trades Union Congress (TUC) president, told Tribune Business that the situation had exposed what he described as a legal loophole in that there are no provisions in Bahamian statute mandating that employers continue to fully pay staff

who have been sent home on a temporary furlough. He added that the crisis has also highlighted the need for Bahamian workers to engage in better financial planning, and to save a portion of what they earn, rather than persist with “pay cheque to pay cheque” living that leaves them vulnerable to a global pandemic. “I think this is probably the worst situation we have experienced in terms

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Govt praised on virus measures given ‘limitations’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net PRIVATE sector executives and union leaders yesterday praised the government for striking the right balance between its fiscal woes and propping up workers and the economy against COVID-19. Robert Myers, the Organisation for Responsible Governance’s (ORG) principal, hailed the Minnis administration’s focus on assisting vulnerable workers and small businesses from within its recently-approved $677.5m deficit rather than engage in more borrowing.

ROBERT MYERS Acknowledging that the government’s lack of “rainy day money” had made the coronavirus “so scary”, Mr Myers argued that taking on more debt financing to mitigate the fall-out could “be far more destructive” if it led to the Bahamian dollar’s devaluation.

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persons likely to either lose their jobs or income. With Dorian having already inflicted an estimated $3.4bn in losses and damage on the Bahamian economy, Mr Turnquest said “there’s no denying we are in challenging times” given the potential $1bn hit that the coronavirus now appears ready to deliver. “To have another $1bn in loss to the economy on top of a $3.4bn loss from Dorian is, for most people, unimaginable,” the deputy prime minister told this newspaper, “and the cash requirements and level of social assistance required is certainly unprecedented. “It’s a very significant challenge. These are issues that we could not have originally planned for - even with the supplementary budget - but

we have to reprioritise and rearrange our finances to ensure we meet our commitments and the needs of the Bahamian people.” Referring to the coronavirus specifically, Mr Turnquest added: “This whole pandemic is hopefully a once-in-a-lifetime event and, certainly, I don’t think we’ve ever had a circumstance where this is both a local issue with the shutdown of businesses and an international issue with the closure of our major source tourism markets. “This is uncharted territory, and we’re making the playbook as we go, quite frankly. I don’t think anybody has this kind of matter on their radar. Even when we had SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome) and

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Water sports sector near total shutdown By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

WATER sports operators yesterday revealed the industry is almost completely shutdown due to the coronavirus pandemic. Kamar Chandon, general manager of KC Watersports Bahamas, told Tribune Business: “They shut down the cruise ships and stuff, so we are closed down for business until further notice. With no idea on how long he will be closed, Mr Chandon added: “It depends. We are waiting on the ‘OK’ from Sandals, and if they decide they are going to close down then everything is just shut down, but 30 percent of our business comes from the cruise lines.” “The hotel doesn’t support my business enough, because mostly their guests are pre-booked, so they take excursions with the bigger companies and go out like to Exuma and things like that.” Mr Chandon, though, continued: “In terms of the government closing [things] down, it’s a good move. The government has to try because otherwise the virus will multiply and get worse, so you have to get it under control. I feel like you have

to take a loss to get a gain in the long-term. “With the cruise lines, a few thousand people come on that ship and it is easier to get infected that way... Trump decided to put a clamp down on the cruise lines for 30 days, trying to get control of the situation, so us in The Bahamas we have to go along with the flow. We had a lot of cancellations, and we had to refund fully without any penalties due to the situation. It is not the customer’s fault, so we can’t give them a hard time.” Mr Chandon said his business does not plan to lay-off any staff, and said, “We have a small staff, just two workers. It’s a family business and I will talk to my family members about looking into the unemployment benefits for ourselves.” Meanwhile, Raymond Lightbourn, general manager of Exuma Watersports, said: “The stores are going crazy over here. It’s totally affected us. We have had pretty much all of our reservations cancelled now, something close to 700 reservations that we had and we’re on the verge of closing.

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