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TUESDAY, MARCH 3, 2020
$4.43 DPM: Coronavirus economic fall-out receiving scrutiny By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net THE deputy prime minster yesterday revealed the government is “contingency planning” for the potential negative impact that the coronavirus may have on economic growth and fiscal projections. K Peter Turnquest, deputy prime minister, told Tribune Business that the virus’s continued spread was a “concern” that could not have arisen at a worse time with The Bahamas still trying to rebound from Hurricane Dorian’s devastating impact. Declining to give any estimates for how much Bahamian GDP growth and the government’s finances may be impacted, Mr Turnquest said the Ministry of Finance had been analysing risk mitigation strategies for the past week. The coronavirus outbreak is creeping closer to The Bahamas, although no confirmed cases had been reported here as Tribune Business went to press last night. Florida yesterday reported its first two cases, while the Dominican Republic revealed its first on Sunday. “Obviously it’s a concern, and we’ll continue to watch it,” Mr Turnquest told this newspaper. “We are contingency planning, and have been for about a week or so. We’ll make whatever contingency plans we can to avoid any fall-out, but we continue to hope for the best and that any effects will be minimal and short-lived. “It’s unfortunate timing but again this is something we have no control over so we have to deal with it. We can only stand by and see what happens. We are taking some steps in the interim and firming up other contingencies in case something happens.” Mr Turnquest agreed that the coronavirus outbreak highlighted the need for The Bahamas to extend its disaster risk management and planning framework beyond hurricanes, adding: “We’re also looking at that as an element in the new budget.” The Central Bank of The Bahamas, in its monthly economic report for January 2020, confirmed that the virus’s impact on the global economy could also impact forecasts for flat Bahamian gross domestic product (GDP) growth in
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Minister: GB poised for six-fold visitor increase By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net
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RAND Bahama is poised for a near six-fold increase in visitor arrivals from two projects that will be “the catalyst for tourism’s rebirth” on that island, a Cabinet minister revealed yesterday. Dionisio D’Aguilar, minister of tourism and aviation, told Tribune Business that Carnival’s cruise port will combine with the ITM Group/Royal Caribbean redevelopment of the Grand Lucayan and Freeport Harbour to bring an extra 3.5m tourists to Grand Bahama annually once both become fully operational. Hailing yesterday’s agreement signing with Holistica, the ITM Group and Royal Caribbean joint venture, as “monumental” and “transformational” for both the island’s tourism industry and wider economy, Mr D’Aguilar said it would restore confidence in Grand Bahama and spur further Bahamian and foreign investment. He argued that the deal’s closing also justified the government’s
• Carnival, Royal Caribbean deals to bring extra 3.5m • Govts Lucayan purchase: ‘Benefits outweigh costs’ • ‘Ball in Hutchison’s court’ over next airport moves
GRAND Lucayan Heads of Agreement signing. much-criticised move to purchase the Grand Lucayan in September 2018 as “absolutely the right decision”, with the benefits generated from 3,000 new jobs and increased economic activity set to more than outweigh the cost to Bahamian taxpayers from the initial $65m investment. The government will receive a net $50m from the resort’s sale due to the
$15m credit Holistica will receive out of the Dorian insurance recovery (see other article on Page 1B), while the more than $30m it has spent to subsidise the Grand Lucayan’s operating losses during 18 months of ownership has taken the taxpayer’s total outlay on the deal to at least around $95m. Mr D’Aguilar, though, hit back at the government’s
THE Hotel Corporation’s chairman yesterday blasted that critics of the government’s Grand Lucayan deal have been “left with egg on their face” as it prepares to receive a net $50m from the sale. Michael Scott, who also headed the resort’s board, told Tribune Business that transferring the property to the ITM Group/Royal Caribbean joint venture represented “the first step in redressing a legacy of failure” that has haunted Freeport’s mega hotel and wider tourism sector. He revealed, though, that the government will receive a net $50m from selling the Grand Lucayan because ITM Group/Royal Caribbean - and their Holistica joint venture - will receive a credit from the
political opponents and other critics of its ownership by suggesting that yesterday’s developments showed “we were right, and they were wrong”, not to let the Grand Lucayan become another Royal Oasis. He admitted, though, that Grand Bahama International Airport’s redevelopment is “a must”
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Bay Street’s ‘survival’ fears on Royal Caribbean PI deal By YOURI KEMP Tribune Business Reporter ykemp@tribunemedia.net BAY Street retailers yesterday reacted furiously to revelations of Royal Caribbean’s planned Paradise Island “beach break” destination, and questioned: “How will we survive?” Leon Griffin, Treasure Bahamas general manager, told Tribune Business he was “p***** off” about the cruise line’s efforts to combine Crown Land at Colonial Beach with private property it has already purchased. Querying “how will Bay Street businesses survive” if Royal Caribbean’s ambitions are realised, Mr Griffin said: “We depend solely on the cruise passengers and those who are residing in the hotels who come downtown to purchase. “But if they have their own spot, like how they have got the different cays, and when you go on the different cays nobody else
• Merchants: ‘How can the govt allow this?’ • Say going to affect ‘whole of downtown’
PARADISE Island lighthouse. benefits except themselves [the cruise lines], how could the Government of The Bahamas allow such a thing to happen?” “It’s terrible. It’s going to affect the whole of Bay Street whether we like it or not, and this government needs to rethink what they are doing because they are not thinking for
the people. I’m p***** off about it to be honest with you. When I heard about it I didn’t understand what they were doing, but now I realise. How could the government do something like that? They continue to give away the people’s properties, and yet when Bahamians apply for crown land it’s a hell to get through with.” Tribune Business exclusively revealed yesterday that Royal Caribbean has applied to lease around ten acres of the 17-acre crown land parcel on Paradise Island’s western end, which it will combine with its acquisitions of private residential property to create a destination that will cater to the hundreds of thousands of passengers it will bring to Nassau annually. This newspaper also reported complaints by
Govt earns ‘$50m net’ from Lucayan disposal By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net
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• Chairman: Critics ‘left with egg on their faces’ • Deal aims to redress GB’s ‘legacy of failure’ • Hotelier: Economy has ‘hit rock bottom’
MICHAEL SCOTT insurance recovery on the resort’s Hurricane Dorian claim. The “gross price” remains the $65m that was agreed when both parties signed the Letter of Intent (LoI) for the Grand Lucayan deal in late March 2019, and Mr Scott disclosed that the property had submitted an insurance claim for between
$27m to $28m that was still “in process”. “It’s $65m but we’re giving them some credit from the insurance recovery,” the Hotel Corporation chairman explained of the “net” figure. “The price is $65m less the credit we’re giving them out of the insurance recovery. “The net price is $50m; the gross price is $65m. The claim is in for $27m to $28m, and has been in process for a little while now.” The Grand Lucayan’s insurance is understood to have been placed through Bahamas-based property and casualty insurer, RoyalStar Assurance. The government’s political opponents, and other
critics of its decision to commit $65m worth of taxpayer monies to meet Hutchison Whampoa’s full asking price for the resort in September 2018, are likely to seize on the differences between the gross and net proceeds that will be received from the Holistica partners. However, Mr Scott argued that the Progressive Liberal Party (PLP) had little basis on which to criticise because the former Christie administration had previously failed to resolve the post-Hurricane Matthew situation at the Grand Lucayan which resulted in the departure of Canadian hotel operator, Memories.
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Toby Smith, the Bahamian principal of Paradise Island Lighthouse & Beach Club Company, that the government was pressuring him to accept an “inferior” crown land parcel to the one contained in a lease agreement issued to him just two months ago so that Royal Caribbean’s desires can be accommodated. Michael Bayley, Royal Caribbean’s chief executive, yesterday confirmed that the cruise giant plants to create a destination called the Royal Beach Club on Paradise Island’s western tip, pledging that it would be a “win-win” for all concerned including Bahamians. However, Royal Caribbean’s plans and the government’s actions raise multiple questions that have
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$4.39 Nassau/PI hotels enjoy 18% room revenues growth By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net MAJOR Nassau/Paradise Island resorts shrugged off a modest one percent room revenue fall-off in December to post an 18 percent gain for the 2019 full year, it was revealed yesterday. The Central Bank of The Bahamas, in its monthly economic update for January 2020, revealed that the post-Hurricane Dorian impact had only slightly weakened the gains posted by New Providence’s tourism industry earlier in the year. However, the category five storm’s impact was more pronounced in the vacation rental and second home market that Abaco traditionally thrives on. Total room nights sold on the island during January dropped by almost onethird year-over-year, with bookings for entire places and hotel comparables down by 32.4 percent and 24.5 percent, respectively. “Developments within the hotels segment reinforce a comparatively subdued month of December outcome, but with the overall uptrend secured for the calendar year,” the Central Bank said. “Information provided by the Bahamas Hotel & Tourism Association (BHTA) and the Ministry of Tourism showed a one percent fall-off in room revenue for Nassau and Paradise Island properties during the month, but an 18 percent gain for the year. “The contrast reflected negative marketing pressures that the industry was still steadily countering since the hurricane. For the year, properties sustained gains in the both number of room nights sold of 11 percent, and in the average daily rate of 6.5 percent to $266.92, while the average occupancy rate rose by 5.4 percentage points to 67.1 percent.” Drawing on information provided by AirDNA for January 2020, the Central Bank revealed that in the vacation rental market there was “a 5.3 percent decline in the total room nights sold, fuelled by a 6.1 percent decrease in bookings for entire place listings, which outstripped the 0.9 percent rise in hotel comparable bookings. “In addition, the average daily room rate (ADR) for both entire place listings and hotel comparables contracted by 9.6 percent and 1.5 percent to $371.75 and
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