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THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 28, 2019
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Ex-minister fearful on $130m spending cut By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net A FORMER finance minister yesterday warned that the forecast $130m cut in government spending this fiscal year could undermine Bahamian economic growth and job creation. James Smith cautioned the Minnis administration against cutting recurrent expenditure too quickly and deeply on the basis that it remains a critical component of this nation’s annual gross domestic product (GDP), accounting for almost 20 percent. While praising the government for seemingly being on track to hit, or even better, its full-year deficit target for 2018-2019, he expressed concern that it seemed “laser focused” on fiscal goals and was in danger of neglecting the bigger economic picture.
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Opposition: Govt all ‘head, no heart’
By NATARIO MCKENZIE
Tribune Business Reporter
nmckenzie@tribunemedia.net THE opposition yesterday predicted an “even greater revenue shortfall” and missed fiscal deficit targets, arguing that the midyear budget “did nothing to inspire confidence”. Chester Cooper, pictured, the Progressive Liberal Party’s (PLP) deputy leader and finance spokesman, accused the Minnis administration of managing The Bahamas for the International Monetary Fund
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Govt $185m ‘short’ but will beat deficit By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net
THE government yesterday forecast it will narrowly beat this year’s fiscal deficit target despite a $185m revenue shortfall caused by VAT, gaming and enforcement underperformance. KP Turnquest, pictured, unveiling the 2018-2019 mid-year budget in the House of Assembly, said the Minnis administration was on track to limit the fullyear deficit to around $230m - some $5m-$10m less than the “red ink” target set last May. The deputy prime minister said the government
• DPM eyes ‘red ink’ $5m-$10m under budget • Thanks to $130m recurrent spending cuts • VAT, gaming taxes, compliance all undershoot will be able to achieve this, and offset its revenue gap, through “significant spending restraint” that is projected to slash recurrent expenditure by five percent compared to initial forecasts. This, based on Tribune Business’ calculations, amounts to a $130m cut to projections that it would spend some $2.589bn on its recurrent or fixedcosts - typically civil service salaries, benefits and
THE Ministry of Finance’s top official yesterday revealed collections in the current “revenue-rich” quarter were “promising”, with the government’s fiscal “game plan” firmly on target. Marlon Johnson, the acting financial secretary, told Tribune Business that the revenue numbers for the first two months of the 2019 calendar year were “in line” with the government’s expectations. The January-March period is typically when the government earns the bulk of its annual revenues, as it coincides with peak economic activity stemming from the winter tourism season, and is also the period when business licence fees, the bulk of real property taxes and commercial vehicle licences are paid.
MARLON JOHNSON
It represents the third quarter of the government’s fiscal year, and Mr Johnson said: “What we are seeing is the third quarter numbers so far have been promising. It’s in line with our anticipation that revenue flows will be a little more robust in the third quarter. “The numbers so far for almost two months of the year show some promising
ROBERT MYERS
‘Phenomenal’ if lower deficit forecast holds By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net
signs. I haven’t seen anything to lead me to believe the [full-year fiscal] targets won’t be met.” Mr Johnson was speaking after KP Turnquest, deputy prime minister, unveiled a mid-year budget in the House of Assembly in which he forecast that the 2018-2019 fiscal
GOVERNANCE reformers yesterday hailed the government’s prediction that it will shrug off a $185m revenue shortfall - and beat its full-year deficit target as “phenomenal” if it comes true. Robert Myers, the Organisation for Responsible Governance’s (ORG) principal, told Tribune Business that the Minnis administration would set the Bahamian economy on course for “a massive” boost if it hits its 2018-2019 fiscal goals. Reacting after KP Turnquest, the deputy prime minister, projected that the full-year deficit is on track to come in between $5m$10m below its $237.6m target, Mr Myers conceded it was “a big under-forecast” if revenues come in seven percent below the initial $2.649bn projection. Mr Turnquest, though, said the revenue shortfall will be offset through “significant expenditure
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rents - this fiscal year. Mr Turnquest yesterday identified the 12 percent VAT rate’s delayed introduction in key sectors such as hotels and construction, coupled with the government’s web shop taxation settlement and later-thanexpected creation of the Revenue Enhancement Unit, as the key factors behind why revenues are now forecast to fall seven
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Top official eyes ‘promising’ rich revenue quarter By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net
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