02182020 BUSINESS

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business@tribunemedia.net

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 18, 2020

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ZHIVARGO LAING

Ex-FNM minister: 6% unemployment rate ‘improbable’ By YOURI KEMP Tribune Business Reporter ykemp@tribunemedia.net THE prime minister’s pledge that the unemployment rate will be slashed to a 21st-century low of six percent within 18 months was yesterday branded “highly improbable” by an ex-FNM Cabinet minister. Zhivargo Laing, former minister of state for finance in the Hubert Ingraham administration, told Tribune Business: “I think that anything is possible, but I think it is highly improbable. “You have to have substantial investments take place. I’m talking about substantial investments. You are creating thousands of jobs over the next 18 months, and then those jobs can’t merely be construction jobs. You can have a project take place, and a construction team in place for six months, seven months, eight months, and the job can come to an end. “But for the next several months there might not be anything to take them up, so when they are asked ‘are you working’ or ‘are you looking for work’, they might say ‘yes’ [to the latter] and they would be regarded as unemployed even though they worked the previous months before,” Mr Laing continued. “So you have to have a net sustainable number of permanent workers engaged at the time of an employment survey in order to calculate and register an unemployment rate of the order of what the prime minister mentioned.” Pointing to the period between 1992 to 1997, Mr Laing said: “The unemployment rate dropped from 14.8 percent to about just under ten percent, so you are looking at a four percentage point drop in unemployment, or basically a little around a percentage point per year. “If you look at the economy’s growth at that time, you were having growth on an average of maybe of 2.5 to three percent. This was during the period of Atlantis. In that period of time, given that enenormous

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‘North of $120m’ offer for Out Island airports By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

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HE government’s aviation chief yesterday said he has received a Bahamian-generated offer to provide the “north of $120m” financing needed to kickstart overhauls of the major Family Island airports. Algernon Cargill, director of aviation, told Tribune Business he will later this week start to schedule meetings with the Ministry of Finance to select, and gain approval for, the best private-public partnership (PPP) funding proposal while describing the Bahamian package as “more complete”. Declining to name the source of this offer, he revealed that the government is seeking to finance the redevelopment of the Exuma, north Eleuthera, Long Island (Deadman’s Cay) and Great Harbour Cay (Berry Islands) airports in this financing round, as well as essential repairs to Abaco’s Leonard Thompson International Airport post-Dorian.

ALGERNON CARGILL Pegging the north Eleuthera and Long Island costs at $65m and $15m, respectively, Mr Cargill said the PPP financing also needed to provide the $37m “balance” of the $55m price tag attached to Exuma’s new airport. The remaining $18m will come from an aviation sector-related Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) loan, while Great Harbour Cay’s transformation will require a further $3m to $4m. And Dionisio D’Aguilar, minister of

tourism and aviation, yesterday told the House of Assembly that the Leonard Thompson International Airport is in line for a $3m post-Dorian injection. Asked whether the government was seeking around $120m to finance the first round of airport transformations, Mr Cargill revealed it will “probably be a little more than that”. He emphasised, though, that this will not add to the soaring national debt due to the planned off-balance sheet financing structure, with the monies set to be repaid from the income stream generated by passenger user charges. “We have been talking to local capital providers, and we have a proposal from them to provide the funding required to support the IDB monies for the redevelopment of the airports,” Mr Cargill confirmed to this newspaper. “The next step will be for me to meet with the Ministry of Finance

A BISX-listed bank’s loan book has performed “better post-Dorian” than before the storm, a top executive revealed last night, adding that it has set an initial $26m profit target for full-year 2020. Gowon Bowe, Fidelity Bank (Bahamas) chief financial officer, told Tribune Business that the commercial institution was “confident” it can replace the annual profit income lost from selling its 50 percent stake in former merchant banking affiliate, RoyalFidelity Merchant Bank & Trust. Disclosing that this would put the bank “on target” for $26m-$26.5m in 2020 annual profits if expectations are met, Mr Bowe added that the bottom line outcome could be even greater

to approve the funding that will support what we already. “We have a very good proposal from a local provider which I’m happy about. We have a local proposal that provides support for all of them [airports]. We have a lot of interest, but there is one from a local provider that is more complete. It’s a comprehensive proposal for all airports.” The “provider” referred to by Mr Cargill is likely to be one of the major investment houses, such as RoyalFidelity Merchant Bank & Trust, CFAL, Providence Advisors, Leno Corporate Advisors or even a consortium of them working in tandem to raise the necessary financing. The aviation director, though, said the government was open to receiving multiple offers as he revealed that international proposals and expressions of interest

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Bahamian airline defeats GB airport’s $372k claim By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net GRAND Bahama Airport Company’s demand that a prominent Bahamian airline pay it $371,353 in “outstanding airport fees” has been rejected by the Supreme Court. Senior justice Estelle Gray-Evans ruled that the Grand Bahama International Airport operator had failed to prove its claim that Western Air owed this debt for “services rendered” after the airline moved into its own purpose-built terminal on September 5, 2015. The verdict comes after both sides’ facilities received a devastating blow from Hurricane Dorian’s storm surge in early September 2019, forcing each to operate from temporary facilities. It has also been handed down as the airport company’s 50/50 owners, Hutchison Port Holdings and the Grand Bahama Port Authority

• Western Air’s terminal move sparked dispute • Supreme Court: Airport failed to supply proof • Allegedly pressured airline to use its services

THE WESTERN Air terminal at GB airport after Dorian. (GBPA), mull selling the vital infrastructure asset to the government. The airport’s dispute with Western Air centred on seven invoices issued over a twomonth period between mid-February and mid-April 2016, which was several months after the airline relocated from Grand Bahama Airport Company’s facilities into its own $6m terminal. The move followed a

lease and operating agreement signed between the two parties on October 1, 2009, which gave Western Air a three-acre site next to the airport’s domestic terminal park lot for a 20-year term. The deal also set out the terms of their relationship, and it was only after the airline discontinued its presence in Grand Bahama International Airport’s terminal buildings following its

• BISX-listed bank eyes $26m full-year profit • ‘Confident’ of replacing merchant bank’s effect • Pledges not to sacrifice profits for loan growth

GOWON BOWE depending on how the wider Bahamian economy performs post-Dorian. He revealed that Fidelity Bank (Bahamas) had taken a relatively firm line with delinquent borrowers impacted by Dorian, using insurance proceeds to settle or pay down

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Minister: No WTO membership ‘for at least five years’

• Bahamian proposal ‘most complete’ • Aviation chief seeks Finance approval • Five-strong package won’t hit govt debt

Fidelity’s loan portfolio ‘better than pre-Dorian’ By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

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non-performing loans that had been past due for a long time. Mr Bowe also explained that the bank had tailored loan payment “waivers and holidays” to the particular client’s circumstances, rather than give an automatic exemption to all borrowers in Abaco and Grand Bahama, as this created an opening for potential abuse. Reiterating Fidelity Bank (Bahamas) stance that it was not sacrifice profitability for the sake of growth, he added that it would be happy “to observe a slight contraction” in its $432.336m lending portfolio to escape being on “the wrong side” of any economic slowdown. “Looking forward we

know Hurricane Dorian is going to have some impact in the wider economy,” Mr Bowe told Tribune Business. “Our underwriting policies to-date have proven to be prudent. The loan portfolio has performed better post-Dorian than pre-Dorian. Some of that is due to insurance proceeds being used to settle longstanding non-performing loans, which is not a popular move.” Mr Bowe, though, said Fidelity Bank (Bahamas) and its fellow commercial banks were justified in taking such action if delinquent borrowers had made no effort to come bank into

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September 5, 2015, move that the legal battle began. Senior justice Gray-Evans said the seven invoices sent by Grand Bahama Airport Company were for security, passenger facility usage and departure fees allegedly incurred by Western Air from the period October 2015 to April 2016. After the airline refused to pay, it claimed it was in breach of both the lease and operating agreement and initiated legal proceedings. Western Air admitted in its defence that the Grand Bahama Airport Company had offered to reduce these charges by $6, from $18.50 per passenger to $12.50 per passenger, which it rejected with a

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IRAM LEWIS By YOURI KEMP Tribune Business Reporter ykemp@tribunemedia.net A CABINET minister yesterday said full Bahamian membership of the World Trade Organisation (WTO) “cannot happen for at least within the next five years”. Elsworth Johnson, minister of financial services, trade and industry and immigration, told the House of Assembly: “Recently we had the experience with the World Trade Organisation, and I note that there was a lot of furore in the community as to whether or not The Bahamas would join or not join, but now we know that that cannot happen for at least within the next five years.” Mr Johnson’s views echo those previously voiced by the government’s WTO chief negotiator, Zhivargo Laing, who said that joining in the current administration’s term was “95 percent unlikely”. He also added that it may not happen within the next decade. Meanwhile, Mr Johnson also said: “Our international partners as well as our chief negotiator and my predecessor in office [Brent Symonette] all recognise that the accession process to WTO was purely aspirational. But coming out of that experience we have to continue our educational process in terms of how we approach the whole question of how we join the WTO.” Noting that The Bahamas is the only country in the Western Hemisphere that is not a full WTO member, Mr Johnson said this will affect The Bahamas whether it is “at the table or whether you are not at the table. “There is a number of legislation that are important to our way of life in The Bahamas, and I would just like to

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